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Aviation Expansion

First Posted: 05/07/11 14:05 BST Updated: 04/09/11 11:12 BST

Given the Conservatives' blanket opposition to expansion at Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted, and their conscientiously-crafted green image, you'd be forgiven for believing that airport expansion is firmly off the table. Far from it. Airport expansion in Britain is alive and well. Campaigners won a landmark high-profile victory when they defeated the plans for a third runway at Heathrow, and it appeared environmentalists could claim a comprehensive triumph. However now, out of the media spotlight, regional airports are seizing the opportunity to grow at the expense of their more famous London rivals.

With expansion at London's largest airports out of bounds but demand for flights increasing, regional airports are clamouring to market themselves as alternatives. Southend is the latest, last month announcing a ten-year deal with easyJet to offer cheap flights to Europe. The runway is being extended to accommodate holiday jets and, from April next year, they will be flying to destinations such as Ibiza, Barcelona and Faro. The airline is moving some routes from Stansted to Southend, claiming that it will fly 800,000 passengers through the new terminal next year.

According to Plane Stupid, which campaigns against airport expansion around Britain, 20 airports around the country have similar expansion plans, suggesting a stealthy increase in the number of flights, despite the well-publicised ban on the London airports. Joe Ryle of Plane Stupid explains: 'we have had a successful five-year battle. Now we have to focus on the regional airports, but the shift away from London has made it harder to motivate the media's attention'.

So far NIMBYs in the regions outside London have been much less successful that their London counterparts. As John Stewart, a trustee of Campaign for Better Transport, commented: "The regional campaigners have far fewer people affected by noise to call on and have not made the wider alliances, which were so important at Heathrow. They are not helped by the fact that the new Government, by doing very little on aviation, has taken the heat out of the situation."

Heathrow currently acts as Britain's main hub and it's at full capacity - hence BAA's pleading for the third runway. It serves just 171 destinations, while Amsterdam's Schiphol airport flies to 222, Charles de Gaulle in Paris serves 223 and Frankfurt has 262. No full-length runway has been built in the South East of England since the 1940s. The fear is that the UK is losing out on the number of flights to our European counterparts. Many aviation leaders and even Conservative MPs believe the Tories' aviation policy is damaging to business. There are widespread fears both in the City and at Westminster that Heathrow is on the verge of losing its international hub status.

While the government prevaricates, Boris Johnson has broken ranks, vociferously championing an estuary airport on reclaimed land to fill the gap of the third runway. But logistically this could only be realised in the distant future - if ever. Some Conservatives accuse the Mayor of political opportunism in offering a solution that is extremely unlikely to ever become a reality.

More probable is growth at Gatwick, once an agreement to suspend building expires in 2019. However, Gatwick is mainly for holidaymakers and will not necessarily help business links in the way that Heathrow does.

Last year's 'Vote blue, go green' opposition to Heathrow's third runway by the Conservatives looks increasingly suspect. Coalition policy has expanded the role for regional airports - at the cost of maintaining London as a business centre and without the benefit of freezing carbon emissions. Government opposition to expansion at Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted had little to do with carbon emissions, and everything to do with political expediency. The blocking of the third runway was a great result for NIMBYs in marginal seats and the Conservatives who pandered to them in exchange for their votes, but it has left British commerce at risk of losing ties with overseas business interest, whilst the environmentalists can claim only a flawed victory.

As Martin Rivers, an aviation commentator, points out 'the Tories made this policy a cornerstone of their election and a U-turn is now politically very difficult, despite dissent within the party and among UK businesses'. However, an incoherent policy on aviation is a concern to environmentalists and businessmen alike. Environmentalists are seeing carbon emissions set to increase on the quiet and business leaders fear that if London airports are unable to increase business flights to emerging market economies of Asia and Latin America, they will lose jobs and revenue to European competitors, as well as deterring emerging market business from setting up here.

Philip Hammond, the Transport Secretary, does not plan to enact a new aviation policy until April 2013. This means Britain will have gone without a coherent policy for over two years. Pushing flights outside London does little to help the environment and does great harm to the British economy. Even if the Government, or Boris Johnson for that matter, do find a workable approach, it's going to be a long wait.

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Given the Conservatives' blanket opposition to expansion at Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted, and their conscientiously-crafted green image, you'd be forgiven for believing that airport expansion is fir...
Given the Conservatives' blanket opposition to expansion at Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted, and their conscientiously-crafted green image, you'd be forgiven for believing that airport expansion is fir...
 
 
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06:24 PM on 07/06/2011
When you state "Pushing flights outside London does little to help the environment and does great harm to the British economy" - you presumably mean that it is better for the economy to fly from a London airport than a regional one. But as the vast majority of passengers are outbound UK tourists (apart from at Heathrow where inbound and outbound roughly balance) it is the act of expansion that is damaging to the economy by taking more of the UK disposable leisure spending abroad.
In 2008, the "tourism deficit" (the difference in inbound and outbound tourism spending) was £20bn. In 2009, due to the weak pound, this dropped to £15bn and yet domestic tourism rose. So it is clearly better for the UK economy to have less flying rather than more, and it does not really matter if it is Stansted, Gatwick or regional airports that are the cause of increased flying - they are all equally bad.
Heathrow is different only because it is the UK hub and therefore gets more long-haul inbound tourists who know it as London's airport - but it is still not a net benefit to the UK from a tourism point of view.
Many of the regional airports are hoping that the Olympics will kickstart new routes to them, but this is doubtful. Most routes from regional airports are to the usual suspects such as Alicante, Ibiza, Mallorca - places where Brits can go for some sun. There is little demand from foreigners
03:36 PM on 07/06/2011
What about a dedicated and single purpose high speed rail connector between
Manchester and London? The right of way is there. The technology is here.
And the travel time would be comparable to the trip from Gatwick to The City.
Manchester's Aerodrome is massive and modern. Let's use it to a greater effect.
08:41 AM on 07/06/2011
Hi, on the whole a good article, however you have focussed too much on environmentalists winning the campaign at Heathrow. It was very much a broad church politically with Conservative and Labour MPs and councillors sharing a podium. At the forefront where the villagers of Sipson, Harmondsworth and Harlington who protested long before it became a cause celebre for the environmentalists who were invited by the protest groups to assist them.

To call them NIMBYs is not exactly a way to portray them, other villages affected near Stansted and Gatwick also joined the protest to stop the Third Runway at Heathrow. Neither was the Hayes and Harlington constituency which contains Heathrow airport a marginal seat, the Labour MP John McDonnell has a five-figure majority.

In short, you really could do better with just a little more research.

Lastly, on the economics of air travel, for every £1 it brings into the country, it flies out £2.77.