UK Economy Is Stagnating: Chambers Of Commerce

Closing

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 11/10/11 01:06 BST Updated: 11/10/11 01:06 BST

The risks of stagnation and recession in the UK economy have risen, according to the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC).

A survey by the BCC showed that the domestic market, exports, business confidence, cashflow and investments in plant and machinery have all weakened over the past quarter.

Businesses surveyed by the BCC show that companies are struggling with both confidence and cashflow, as the economy shows signs of stagnating.

Gross domestic product figures (GDP) from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) released last week showed that growth had come in under forecast at a meagre 0.1 per cent for the quarter.

The manufacturing and service sectors have taken a hit, with cashflow balances at -8 per cent and -6 percent, respectively, as they struggle with unfavourable payment terms and difficulties in accessing capital, according to the BCC.

In a statement accompanying the launch of the study, John Longworth, the BCC’s director general, said that government will need to take action.

“The pace of the UK recovery will remain slow,” he said. “We can avoid a recession, but this relies on the government making some tough policy choices. While it is imperative that the government perseveres with its deficit-cutting plan, there must be a significant reallocation of priorities within the overall spending envelope. We need a much greater focus on those policies that will help businesses expand, take on more staff, export and invest.

“Businesses need continuous reassurance that there is a plan for fiscal stability and a clear road map which will steer us towards a strong recovery. Government must recognize that business is good for Britain, and put in place measures to bolster confidence and support those companies that have the potential to grow. That includes a commitment to a Plan A+ for growth, with alternative paths at the ready in case of further shocks from foreign shores.”

Ahead of employment figures on Wednesday, which are expected to show a further deterioration in the UK’s job market, the BCC found that fewer manufacturers added to their workforces in the third quarter, and that most firms seem to be pessimistic about future expansions.

Business and consumer confidence have both shown significant weakness in recent days. On Monday, a Deloitte survey of chief financial officers showed that 43 percent believe that the UK will slide back into recession, and that companies are trimming back their investments in anticipation of worsening conditions.

On the same day, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said that the UK’s composite leading indicator, a sign of the future direction of an economy’s growth, showed that the country was now in a slowdown.

FOLLOW HUFFPOST UK

 
 
  • Comments
  • 3
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Bloggers
Recency  | 
Popularity
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Lawyer13
retired Lawyer, General and Psychiatric Nurse, wit
04:10 AM on 10/11/2011
Well that comes as no surprise with these severe cuts, and banks not lending to SME's and even supermarkets seeing drops in their profits.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
carl cid inting
There are no tyrants where there are no slaves
03:46 AM on 10/11/2011
This was long predicted by leading economists, as soon as the Cameron government announced its policy of austerity and spending cuts. Economists like David Blanchflower, Adam Posen and Paul Krugman warned that austerity was precisely the worst policy to employ under deflationary conditions. They warned that the economy would contract, unemployment would rise and living standards would go down. Precisely what is happening now.

It's unfortunate that such an incompetent government is leading Britain in these economically difficult times. Now, allegations of corruption are coming to the fore. Corruption, incompetence and critical times add up to a perfect storm.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
John michael Adams
03:11 AM on 10/11/2011
western economies are stagnating, not just britain. the west is the largest consumer market in the world and since the west's living standards are decreasing so would their spending power.
the only thing that will continue this imagined stagnation is to boost public spending, not in socialized welfare programs, but in spending in public infrastructure, community development, charter schools inclined to science and engineering, and protect british businesses' interests in foreign policy formation.