Autumn Statement: Credit Easing, Housing, Banks And Growth - What Are We Expecting George Osborne To Announce?

George Osborne Beer Tax

Huffington Post UK   Dina Rickman First Posted: 27/11/11 12:19 GMT Updated: 27/11/11 12:27 GMT

Saturday’s warning that the UK could slip back into recession could not have come at a worse time for the chancellor. George Osborne will deliver his Autumn Statement to parliament on Tuesday amid flat-lining growth, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) slashing growth forecasts, unemployment rising as consumer confidence falls and a crisis in the eurozone, which is seen as even more threatening than the economic crunch of 2008.

Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, of course, have said the Autumn Statement should be an opportunity for the government to change its course. In a blog for the Huffington Post UK, the Labour shadow chancellor urged Osborne to make “the right choice”. “He can plough on regardless with a plan that is hurting, but not working to get the deficit down. Or he can stop blaming everybody else for his own mistakes and change course,” he said.

On Sunday morning the chancellor stood firm, telling the BBC: "We have got a deficit reduction plan that has brought us record low interest rates... we are absolutely going to stick to that plan."

But it’s not just the opposition who are urging the government to change its approach. Even business pressure group the CBI have called for Plan A+ to kick-start the UK economy as the eurozone sovereign debt crisis and weak domestic demand weigh on the country's growth prospects.

So what are we expecting from Tuesday’s statement and will it help produce a much-needed boost to UK PLC?

Growth forecasts

The OBR will cut its projections for growth for the next few years as the economic outlook continues to worsen, Osborne confirmed on Sunday. Ed Miliband has already said the slashed forecasts will deliver a "catastrophic blow" to the credibility of the coalition's deficit reduction strategy.

Credit easing

As trailed on Sunday, George Osborne is to detail a new government scheme to underwrite billions of pounds of bank lending to businesses. The plan is an attempt to get credit flowing to Britain's struggling small firms.

Youth unemployment

We know about the £1bn ‘Youth contract’, which will attempt to create hundreds of thousands of work placements for young people in a bid to tackle the growing cohort of 16 to 24-year olds out of work and education. But what is still unclear is how it will be funded – and if it goes far enough. The IPPR think-tank has recommended a different approach to tackling unemployment across the board, calling for the government to introduce a “job creation scheme” for anyone who has been out of work for more than 12 consecutive months, matched by an obligation to take up the offer.

Petrol

The government has come under increasing pressure to halt January’s planned fuel duty increase – and there have been plenty of hints that Osborne will announce a cut on Tuesday. But with suggestions a cut in benefits for the unemployed and the disabled could be used to help hard-pressed motorists, and Nick Clegg promising “the broadest shoulders will carry the heaviest burden", will the government be able to pull off such a move?

Train fares

The rise in fares is expected to be capped at 6% rather than 8%. Labour has already said the move will only bring fares down from "eye-watering" levels. "Commuters are facing a fares fiddle unless the government also reverses its decision to allow train companies to average out the revised fare rise across a range of tickets, meaning many tickets will still rise by a shocking 9% in the New Year."

Red tape

The government is all about reducing the burden of red tape – and have even recruited ultra-libertarian head of the Institute for Economic Affairs think-tank Mark Littlewood to help them with the cause. Top of the list is employment law. Vince Cable has already announced some changes – will we see more in the chancellor’s statement on Tuesday?

Toll roads

Toll lanes on congested motorways could be built to relieve traffic and kick-start the economy, according to recent reports. Alan Cook, the current non-executive chairman of the Highways Agency, recommended that tolls should be built on any new motorways in a Whitehall-commissioned report.

Infrastructure

What those on the left and right agree on is the need to bring forward investments in infrastructure, whether it is the Crossrail project in London or regeneration projects elsewhere.

Ian Brinkley, director of The Work Foundation, said: “While the Coalition has identified many of the right priorities on innovation and investment, it has yet to back them in a large-scale or co-ordinated fashion. With the UK facing one of the slowest economic recoveries on record, now is the time for the government to demonstrate its commitment to growth by moving forward in these areas on a far larger scale.

“If any short-term stimulus is required, it must be targeted at investment in areas which will also boost long-term growth, such as bringing forward more public investment projects, rather than on unsustainable tax breaks.”

What to watch out for:

Who Will Pay
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George Osborne hinted at a further tax on banks on Sunday morning - watch out for that, and how any cuts or reduced rises are funded.
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Saturday’s warning that the UK could slip back into recession could not have come at a worse time for the chancellor. George Osborne will deliver his Autumn Statement to parliament on Tuesday amid f...
Saturday’s warning that the UK could slip back into recession could not have come at a worse time for the chancellor. George Osborne will deliver his Autumn Statement to parliament on Tuesday amid f...
 
 
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06:46 AM on 11/29/2011
he is going to announce that they lied and failed todo what they said they would.. but the good news is they have made themselves a small fortune doing it
03:53 PM on 11/28/2011
Autumn Statement: Credit Easing, Housing, Banks And Growth - What Are We Expecting George Osborne To Announce?

Easy peasy. Rich get richer, poor get poorer.
lastpost
see biography
11:55 AM on 11/28/2011
"underwrite billions of pounds of bank lending to businesses."
If only the notion of having a bank or banks that cater for the bread and butter requirements of the country had occurred, before practically giving away what we had already purchased. Though that might have required some sort of joined-up economic strategy to be in play.
12:00 AM on 11/28/2011
http://hhhets.blogspot.com/
12:00 AM on 11/28/2011
Keep on fighthing!
09:48 PM on 11/27/2011
Osborne the king of hot air he knows if he tells the truth about the state this country is really in he will feel DCs boot
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Roy Fowler
I try....I really do!
07:38 PM on 11/27/2011
Here is how i see it going;

Osborne will first bull, bluster and tell us how "well" we are doing with low inflation and a triple A credit rating;
Then he will proceed to tinker and twiddle number and figures and like a good magician pull numbers of those who will benefit and get back to work out of his ministerial backsi....sorry, hat; in closing he will remind us all its all "Labours fault" we are in this position and that "We are all in it together".

Anyone expecting real, decisive, thoughtful, agressive and visionary use of our limited funds for the betterment of the people and the nation, instead of aiming to point score the opposition had better look elswhere.............
04:43 PM on 11/27/2011
How about a millionaires tax on those that have prospered so much the past few decades.

How about a financial transaction tax so that the banks that created this mess can help pay for it.

How about taxing the underground and cash based economy. There must be ways to get at this unreported and under reported income. Everyone needs to pay their fair share. The tax doggers included.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
06:33 PM on 11/27/2011
Any tax increases in a highly taxed economy will just encourage more people and businesses to leave the UK for good, for a fairer tax regime abroad. Those left will have to pick up the slack and pay more tax to compensate.
06:35 PM on 11/27/2011
Taxing tax doggers is not a tax increase.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
03:47 PM on 11/27/2011
Anyone expecting a sudden shot-in-the-arm for business growth to get the economy firing on all cylinders, is deluded. The government is forced to deal with debt to keep the markets happy and to keep the wolves from the door, so, there will be no change to Plan A.

The IMF said after the credit crunch hit, that it would take us twenty years to get back to where we were. That was before they knew that countries like Greece can also go bust. Despite what our self-serving politicicians say, many people will be pushing up daisies long before this problem is fixed.
09:59 AM on 11/28/2011
Odd though isn't it how they can spend many billions on wars abroad - "busy giddy minds with foreign quarrels"...and that's not to mention the bank bail-outs, tax dodgers like Boots who have moved their HQ abroad, or the actions of MPs themselves. This is not an economic crisis. It is a political crisis in the sense that the money actually is still there - it's how it's been redistributed that is the big scandal of the age.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:06 PM on 11/28/2011
The money is going from the bottom to the top. They need to find a way to send it back down again, where its needed..