Autumn Statement: Public Sector Job Losses Will Spiral To 710,000 By 2017

Osborne

The Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 29/11/11 16:11 GMT Updated: 29/11/11 16:11 GMT

The number of public sector jobs expected to be lost because of spending cuts has nearly doubled from initial estimates, an economic forecaster warned, as George Osborne delivered a gloomy outlook for Britain's economy.

Some 710,000 jobs are expected to go by 2017, a major leap from the 400,000 initially predicted, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said on Tuesday.

Robert Chote, the director of the OBR, said the latest figures were based on the government "deepening and extending" its programme of spending cuts for an extra year.

However the forecaster said it expected the public sector job losses to be offset by the creation of 1.7 million private sector jobs by 2017.

The chancellor was forced to acknowledge that he would miss his target of eliminating the UK's structural deficit by the end of this parliament in 2015.

And there was more bad news for Osborne, as the OBR revised its growth prediction down to 0.9% for this year and 0.7% next year.

Speaking in the Commons, Osborne also said he plans to cap public sector pay rises at 1% when a current wage freeze ends.

Many areas of the public sector had been expecting to be able to grant 2% pay rises once the current two year pay freeze expired in 2013.

"In the current circumstances the country cannot afford the 2% rise assumed by some government departments thereafter. So, instead, we will set public sector pay awards at an average 1% for each of the two years after the pay freeze ends," Osborne said.

According to the OBR, overall unemployment will rise from its current level of 8.1% to 8.7 in 2012, before dropping to 6.2% by 2016.

Bob Crow, leader of the Rail, Maritime and Transport union, said the government was engaged in class warfare less than 24-hours before the biggest public sector strike in decades.

"George Osborne has ratcheted up the class war and has made it clear through his attack on pay and employment rights that he wants the workers to keep taking the hit while the rich get richer," he said.

Ian Brinkley, from The Work Foundation, said the OBR's unemployment forecast was "too optimistic" and said Osborne had not done enough to stimulate the economy.

“The chancellor has signalled some of the right long-term priorities – investment in infrastructure, support for enterprise and more help for young people," he said.

“However, there is little that will put demand into the economy in the short-term, and the longer term measures outlined are too small in scale. There is still too much reliance on a spontaneous revival of the private sector.

“There are huge risks this forecast will turn out worse than expected. The OBR’s outlook on jobs and unemployment looks far too optimistic. Unemployment is likely to get higher and remain higher than the forecasts assume.”

In his statement today, Osborne outlined a series of measures that he hopes will stimulate growth in the British economy.

He told MPs that fuel duty rises will be postponed and major investments will be made in small business lending, infrastructure and regional development.

Shadow chancellor Ed Balls said Osborne's economic plan was "in tatters" and called for a change in direction.

"It is clear the chancellor's plan is not working," he said. "The OBR knows it. The markets know it. The IMF know it. We know it."

"But we all know why the chancellor can't change course ... It is because to change course now would mean to admit he's got the key economic judgment of this parliament absolutely, catastrophically wrong."

He added: "I believe we either need a new chancellor or new plans."

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The number of public sector jobs expected to be lost because of spending cuts has nearly doubled from initial estimates, an economic forecaster warned, as George Osborne delivered a gloomy outlook for...
The number of public sector jobs expected to be lost because of spending cuts has nearly doubled from initial estimates, an economic forecaster warned, as George Osborne delivered a gloomy outlook for...
 
 
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
08:16 PM on 11/30/2011
Years ago, Labour decided to cave in to Union demands to give public sector workers better pay and living conditions in order to secure their vote. They were subsequently kicked out of office when they had spent all the money. The new lot are trying to live with the biggest government debt in history and need to get costs down. Meanwhile, the people who caused the problem in the first place are laughing up their sleeves hoping that the electorate will soon get sick of the current lot in power and throw them out. This will allow the culprits to get back in again and spend even more of our money buying votes. The whole thing is a shambles paid for the the ordinary man in the street.
07:32 PM on 11/30/2011
I think people using the photo as an argument against George Osborne are absolutely absurd. The photo is of the man making a quick retort, and others laughing in the background. This happens on both sides of the Commons, many times a day. If anything, HuffPost using such a picture alongside an article with a title such as this is more than a little biased. And while I accept this is a blogging site, which runs for comments and debate, this isn't an opinion piece.

I may well get lampooned as some pro-Tory, but I'm very far from such a position. The choice of photograph merely leaves a very unsavoury taste in my mouth.
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BlueGorilla
I Prefer Civilisation To Conservativsm
05:18 PM on 11/30/2011
I went on the pensions March in Plymouth today and feel angry that the right wing in government and the media have managed to spread rubbish that nurses,teachers etc are all living high on the hog at the expense of private sector workers..In the pages of Britain's hard right newspapers ,which is most of them,the agenda is based around dividing public and private sector workers..whereas the truth is that both public sector employees and the overwhelming majority of private sector workers are being screwed by the same people,the people who really do have gold plated pensions..triple platinum plated pensions if truth be told.
Government policy is now tailored according to the wish lists of this group,which includes the shadowy dealers of the City of London and a business class (led by the likes of Phillip Green),whose players are allowed to avoid and evade tax..
We hard working public sector workers along with many non-wealthy private sector employees are forced to subsidise the very wealthy, i e when the scammers of the 1% mismanage their companies ,dodge tax or are asked to pay very little of it .
This is the real unfairness of our age..and just one reason why today's marchers felt such a sense of injustice.
02:13 PM on 11/30/2011
Just look at the picture it shows what they think of ordinary working people they are beyond comtempt
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01:55 PM on 11/30/2011
what has cameron got to laugh about thinks its funny will see next year when they vote him out and his puppet
10:26 AM on 11/30/2011
Don't send a Bullingdon boy to do a man's job.
10:04 AM on 11/30/2011
The boom years when our leaders took their eye of the real financial planning issues and sacrificed all for profit,made gains then that are still locked up in banks now. Theres a price to pay if the gains are not put back into the economy to level things out. The policy is steady the ship and keep the fast buck us elite wont feel the pain. This is peoples lives that are being made a misery by austerity measures. Steady growth and a small gain is sensible proceedure.The fast buck culture happend and inballance because of it. Years of payback by those who put their trust in leaders is simply wrong. Dont borrow, release the gains, steady the ship and learn from past failure,There is no fast buck, its reckless.
09:47 AM on 11/30/2011
The end of this episode won't be pleasant...

http://rmiglobal.org/2011/11/30/rmi-speakers-corner-the-five-stages-of-britains-george-osborne-grief/
09:41 AM on 11/30/2011
you people sit up here and complain about the lack of jobs and health....WELL PRESIDENT OBAMA Tried to pass bills to help u people out, .....THEY DID NOT WANT TO PASS THE BILLS.....EVERY Progress he tries to make you have hateful people trying to stop progress and complaining all at the same time....

YOU WANT PROGRESS?...then stop harassing and stop giving President Obama a hard time in his efforts to help the AMerican people.....simple as that!
09:47 AM on 11/30/2011
Did someone pay you to post this? Yes methinks
07:34 PM on 11/30/2011
How ridiculous.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
08:30 AM on 11/30/2011
Nothing like a bit of divide and conquer between the public and public servants to take eyes off of a vicious Tory government
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
08:29 AM on 11/30/2011
No growth no jobs should probably read no jobs no growth,
07:35 AM on 11/30/2011
There is a problem with growth: it is an illusion. For decades the "growth" of the US and Europe has been achieved by raping other nations across the globe. They are bled dry and dying. And still the free market prophets repeat their mantras.

- unlimited growth is possible
- People out of work are just lazy
- Giving jobs to laves and children is good because it produces profit - or growth
- Those who have money EARNED it
- those who have no money do not deserve it anyway
- privatization is good for te people

And we, the people, still do not take a wet rag and whip those liars and parasites out of office with it.
01:46 AM on 11/30/2011
It is time the hard working people of Britain stood up against the parasitic public sector.

Every householder pays rates. We can go on strike too!

I call all UK ratepayers to withhold all 2012 Council Tax payments until the public sector thieves are regulated as follows:-
- their average pay across the board is cut to par with the average salary in this country, £28,200.
- they are paid daily, not monthly. Then if they continue to skive ad lib, they are simply unpaid.
- their phones & PCs are officially hacked and their workstations subject to CCTV to end the culture of establishment crime.
- their bullying unions, Unison & the rail unions in particular, are illegalized and the union system is restarted in honest hands.

The reason we are in recession is not over-borrowing. The economic decline is down wholly to negative growth.

The reason for this is half our jobs are not just unproductive, they destroy productivity in the other half. Insurance, health & safety, self-perpetuating management systems, the public sector black hole! The only way to start growth is to renew the public sector and rebuild with real, productive jobs. We need to be a nation of shopkeepers again.

What we have now is a communist cancer, with Unison cardholders playing the over-privileged party members.

710,000 is not enough! Nor is 2017 soon enough! Unless we act, the money saved will just be scavenged by the public sector survivors, not re-invested.
02:21 PM on 11/30/2011
One word idiot
01:29 AM on 11/30/2011
710,000. That's a good start! The bad news is there will be some 3/4 million more people looking for real work who never made such demands on the nation from the inner sanctum of the public sector retirement home.

Yet against this background, we have the nation's remaining parasites going on strike because they aren't fat enough on pensions stolen from hardworking people.

Is it not enough that they steal well above the national average wage for not even bothering to turn up to work? Have you ever found the same member of Council staff in the office for a whole week? It is impractical to sack them all, especially as they are protected my that mafia of trade unions, Unison.

Surely if these leeches just stash away the routine backhanders, that should see them safely through their dotage without looting our homes for more.

Take the guy who was fined for blackberrying in Surrey because it is "environmental policy to retain that for the wildlife". I have checked every available source and there is no such environmental campaign. The only gainers are the supermarkets who can charge through the nose for fruit (surprise, surprise!). So it is quite clear that this "law" was set up on the back of public servants taking incentives from the retail giants.

These are the criminals our kids are going short for us to keep. (continued)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Norma Ward
12:27 AM on 11/30/2011
While the inflation battle may have been won for the time being, central bankers are beginning to question whether their long-term policy of ultra-low interest rates may, in fact, be leading to something worse - deflation or stagflation. Here is an article discussing the possibility that a prolonged period of low interest rates could be leading to economic stagnancy as experienced by Japan during its lost decade:

http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/09/law-of-unintended-consequences-part-2.html

Central bankers need to learn two important lessons; first, economics is not a science and second, the behaviour of consumers is unpredictable.