Eurozone Crisis: Standard And Poors Downgrades Euro Bailout Fund

Euro

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 17/01/12 09:16 GMT Updated: 17/01/12 09:16 GMT

The eurozone's bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) has been downgraded by the rating agency, Standard & Poors (S&P). The move was inevitable following Friday's mass downgrade of nine sovereigns in the single currency area, and serves to highlight the waning confidence in European leaders' plans to end their debt crisis.

On Friday, S&P cut the ratings of nine European countries, including France and Austria, which lost their AAA-grades, and Italy, which fell two notches from A to BBB+. The EFSF was subsequently cut from AAA to AA+.

The fund was designed to borrow from the capital markets at relatively cheap rates, based on its AAA-rating, which gives investors confidence in being paid back. That money would then be passed on at cheap rates of interest to sovereign countries, such as Greece and Italy, which are struggling with unmanageable debt and high costs of borrowing.

The other two leading rating agencies, Fitch and Standard & Poors, have so far maintained their top ratings, although losing a top rating from S&P makes it more difficult to raise this capital.

In a statement on Monday, Klaus Regling, the EFSF's CEO, said that the downgrade would not prevent the fund from using its €440bn in existing capacity, before its successor fund, the European Stability Mechanism, begins to function in the summer of 2012.

“The downgrade to 'AA+' by only one credit agency will not reduce EFSF’s lending capacity of €440 billion. EFSF has sufficient means to fulfil its commitments under current and potential future adjustment programmes until the ESM becomes operational in July 2012,” Regling said.

The reason for the downgrades on Friday was principally the failure of European sovereigns to balance the need for austerity - which has been called for by markets and politicians in equal measure - and the need for economic growth. The former without the latter will not lead to any meaningful reduction in debt.

The eurozone is widely predicted to slide back into recession in 2012.

"This is yet another milestone on the Eurozone's descend into a downward economic spiral," Sony Kapoor, managing director of the Re-Define think tank, said in an email. "Things are likely to continue to get worse as the Euro area enters what may turn out to be a deep recession."

"This is more a reputational blow for the EU that had so prided itself on being a 'AAA' entity than anything with much economic significance. Unless the EU reverses course and shifts the focus to growth and away from its single minded obsession with austerity, the wave of downgrades will continue."

The mass downgrades added a layer of complexity to an already worrying situation in Southern Europe. The Greek government is locked in critical talks with its private sector creditors to arrange a write-down on its debt.

In October 2011, Greece had agreed on a 50% "haircut" on its debt, but that figure is no longer considered sufficient to bring the country back towards solvency. The Institute of International Finance (IIF), which has been negotiating on behalf of Greece's private sector creditors, is back in negotiations, after announcing a "pause for reflection" on Friday.

Greece has a €14.4bn bond maturing on March 20, and, without many options for financing remaining - absent an intervention by the European Central Bank (ECB) - it may well be facing a default before the end of the first quarter.

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The eurozone's bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) has been downgraded by the rating agency, Standard & Poors (S&P). The move was inevitable following Friday's mass downgrad...
The eurozone's bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) has been downgraded by the rating agency, Standard & Poors (S&P). The move was inevitable following Friday's mass downgrad...
 
 
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Michael II
Neither the one, nor the only
03:20 PM on 01/17/2012
Not wanting to put to fine a point on it: "The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) today sold €1.5 billion of securities a day after the bailout fund lost its top credit rating."

http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2012/0117/breaking20.html
01:07 PM on 01/17/2012
Why the dragon continues to be chased must be the question to be asked.

Unless the Euro is scrapped and all countries go back to their own currencies, Germany to their Deutschmark, Italy to their Lira, Spain to their Potato etc the whole of the Eurozone will remain doomed.

Not long before all countries within the Eurozone and EU will lose their AAA, AA, BBB, BB, ratings and wind up with ZZZ ratings when all economies will be in deep sleep.

Time for our government to wake up and allow a referendum on the UK remaining in the EU

MUST BE NOW!
Craigzz
God must like pinball
12:15 PM on 01/17/2012
Greece is quite literally the trogen horse in the Euro crisis, and to think Cameron is contemplating a Uk bailout for the Eurozone, when economists are already saying we are in recession, will only lead to a UK downgrade before long.
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Pali Dumtur
02:04 PM on 01/17/2012
The UK should have been downgraded anyway given its debt.
Question : EU or not EU, with whom is the UK doing a lot of business? Exactly. Cameron has the UK in mind when he tries to prevent the domino effect started by Greece. The USA know that it's a global economy.
Craigzz
God must like pinball
05:31 AM on 01/18/2012
It seems clear Osbourne is looking to China to forge new trade with, a clear indication of lost confidence in Europe, and something which the US is also looking towards, to boost its own economy. Europe needs to get its house in order, and until it comes up with a viable plan for Greece, no country will have any confidence in Europe. It seems Greece are happy for bailouts, but refuse to implement austerity. As a UK citizen, i certainly dont wish to pour good money after bad, into what has become a seemingly endless money pit. The 'toxic' effect of Greece, is already poisoning the big players in Europe.

Markets need confidence in Europe, Greece appears to have fewer and fewer options against its default. I propose that Greece secures itself by using what is perhaps its last real asset, Greece itself, in what might be called a long term mortgage, secured against the land value of the country.
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AceNewsServices
Changing The World One Step At A Time
11:29 AM on 01/17/2012
By changing its name from EFSF to ESM and creating another vehicle will not detract from the fact that by buying increasing amounts of debt from countries totally ill equipped to repay their present repayments, it will not save the present situation.

The first and most fundamental change has to come from firm foundations of how does the country receiving any bailout fund repay the amount they borrow. They need trade contracts that are secured with the funds not idle promises of support.
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Pali Dumtur
02:05 PM on 01/17/2012
I completely agree.
Michael II
Neither the one, nor the only
03:14 PM on 01/17/2012
Ireland and Portugal are doing reasonably well, as it happens. Greece, alas, is a case all its own.
10:18 AM on 01/17/2012
I think the markets are telling us what they think of S&P. Stocks up, Euro up, Sovereign debt yields down.

Sorry all you anti-EU doom mongers but the Euro is not going to collapse because of S&P.
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rabidrightwatch
Green lefty & active environmentalist
10:29 AM on 01/17/2012
absolutely correct Orthrus - succinct as usual...
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Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
12:21 PM on 01/17/2012
Thanks for saving me the effort of writing the same thing! -:)
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MRstoner2udude
I'm a human being? What about you?
01:49 PM on 01/17/2012
Why do you think the Euro will survive? Just curious, I don't know one way or the other. Or is it just the S and P rating you have trouble with being the catalyst?
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
09:58 AM on 01/17/2012
George Osbourn needs to take notice and bin his extravagent plan to give Europe more taxpayer's money.
10:45 AM on 01/17/2012
I agree, we're going to need all we've got.
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Pali Dumtur
10:50 AM on 01/17/2012
Yeah that way, Europe can stop subsidizing UK agriculture.