Andrew Lansley's Claims Of NHS Reform Based On Falling Productivity Refuted In The Lancet

Nhs Lancet Andrew Lansley Productivity David Camer

The Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 13/02/2012 07:03 Updated: 13/02/2012 07:03

Pressure on Andrew Lansley and his NHS reforms was taken up another notch on Monday morning as the influential medical journal The Lancet comprehensively challenged the Tories' long-standing claim that productivity in the NHS is falling.

The latest attacks on the grounds for the Health and Social Care Bill come a day after David Cameron threw his support behind his beleaguered health secretary, saying he and Lansley were "at one".

But the PM"s support follows a difficult seven days for Lansley, during which Number 10 staff allegedly briefed against him and three Cabinet ministers told ConHome that they wanted the reforms to be dropped.

A study of quality of healthcare and mortality in the Lancet published on Monday morning suggests the popular consensus shared by many politicians - particularly Tory ones - is a myth.

The researcher, Nick Black, shows how many previous assumptions about productivity were based on incomplete or narrow interpretations of data. He writes that when the parameters for judging performance were drawn up in 2005, the Department of Health itself warned it was impossible to get the full picture from them.

Despite these warnings the Office of National Statistics kept dutifully pumping out figures showing a decline in productivity, the initial warnings about the reliability of the data were ignored, and over time the false assumptions were fuelled by "journalists seeking bad news", who failed to challenge the statements made by Tory politicians.

The report concludes: "By 2008, with the prospect of an imminent general election, repeated warnings from experts to treat the estimates cautiously were a forlorn hope."

Under new analysis in The Lancet report, productivity, patient outcomes and satisfaction in fact continued to increase right through to 2009. Yet in the same year Andrew Lansley told The Independent newspaper: "NHS spending has rightly increased. The tragedy is that costs went up and productivity went down. Labour has demonstrated that you can spend more to get less."

The Lancet report concludes: "We cannot prevent myths developing but we should remain vigilant, spot them as early as possible, and attempt to minimise the harm they can do in distorting understanding and misleading policy makers."

The Department of Health made no attempt to challenge the latest analysis, saying only: ""We have always been clear that productivity in the NHS needs to improve and are committed to better outcomes for patients across the country."

But Dr Richard Horton, Editor of The Lancet, said: “One of the reasons the current government gives for its radical and widely unpopular health reforms is the decade-long decline in productivity of the NHS. As Nick Black shows, this alleged decline is a myth. In fact, a fuller account of the evidence reveals likely substantial gains in productivity-gains in evidence-based practice, patient outcomes, and patient experiences.

"If the main reason for the Health and Social Care Bill is a lie, the upheavals it will produce are entirely unnecessary. This is further evidence to kill this damaging and dangerous Bill," Horton added.

On Monday the Health and Social Care Bill continues its passage through the House of Lords, with the prospect of peers making further amendments to the legislation.

On Sunday Simon Hughes, the deputy leader of the Lib Dems, said he thought Andrew Lansley should step aside in the second half of the current parliament.

His comments are likely to be taken by Lib Dem MPs as a sign to increase the pressure. The party grassroots have been lobbying their MPs to be more critical of the reforms, which appear to be opposed by practically every major body in the medical profession.

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Pressure on Andrew Lansley and his NHS reforms was taken up another notch on Monday morning as the influential medical journal The Lancet comprehensively challenged the Tories' long-standing claim tha...
Pressure on Andrew Lansley and his NHS reforms was taken up another notch on Monday morning as the influential medical journal The Lancet comprehensively challenged the Tories' long-standing claim tha...
 
 
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11:18 PM on 02/13/2012
As far as I am concerned, the McKinsey manipulations and now the Lancet intervention mean that Lansley is disgraced in no uncertain terms. If Cameron doesn't get rid of him forthwith, it will be the end of him and his government.
06:20 PM on 02/13/2012
It seems that just about everybody in the country does not agree with these so called reforms of the NHS, in other words the opinion is general, when the opinion is general, it's generally right. Cameron and his croneys ought to think again, for all his talk of how he respects the NHS and how he relied on it for his tragic son do you REALLY believe that? If you were a millionaire several times over would you REALLY go to the NHS? I wouldn't trust him with OUR NHS in a million years.
05:07 PM on 02/13/2012
Time for the bill to be dropped, Lansley to resign and PM to apologise to the country for wasting billions on reforms, scrapping projects which have ended up costing more than they would have if completed. Oh and then resign
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
05:32 PM on 02/13/2012
Well Said Neil'...This charade has gone on too long'...Anyone who has half a brain can see through this Tory Spin'..This is the central plank of Tory Policy'...About time they got the Tories' to walk it...uh?...No Top Down Re-organization of the NHS'...Who are they trying to kid?...But an apology from Lansley' would be a mealy-mouthed one anyway...He should just resign and scrap this misserabe bill in any case.
05:00 PM on 02/13/2012
I would trust the health care professionals, the BMA and RCN etc who work within the health service and know what they are talking about rather than politicians who were elected without any mandate to rip the NHS apart. Cameron and Lansley are too thick skinned and more worried about being seen to do a 'U' turn than doing the right thing, and scrapping these reforms. When these politicians are long gone we will still be suffering the damage that they have done. If they are that convinced about their plans for the NHS then maybe they should call a general election and see what we think about them.
04:24 PM on 02/13/2012
Democracy? What democracy. The British voters are too thick to vote to save their own skin. That's why Cameron and Clegg are in power and are taking everything away from the British voters right down to the NHS.
Once privatised, there is no recovery as it will be too expensive to buy back from the foreign owners, just like all the other assets New Labour sold off cheaply.

There is plenty of money to be earned from sick people when the NHS is privatised. It is not like trying to persuade people to buy cars, is it.
When ill health hits you and you are in pain or will die if you do not receive treatment, then you have no choice but to hand over whatever money you have saved up or take out a loan at excessive interest rate or do a robbery to get money to hand over to the private health care provider who will be foreign anyway.
I wait to hear what sort of pay and bonus the top bosses of the future privatised health care providers will be getting. I bet their pay and bonus will be higher than bankers'; people surely need medical treatment when ill more than they need the services of banks.
04:13 PM on 02/13/2012
They talk of productivity they are not talking about a factory! Why doesn’t he resign?
03:54 PM on 02/13/2012
For the third time now our stubborn PM is backing a failure and lost cause when all but he can see the writing writ large! The man has appalling judgement!
03:46 PM on 02/13/2012
Simply everybody in the health service from nurses aides to consultants,don't want these changes. Now the Lancet comes out against the reforms. Doesn't DC have a person who gauges the temperature of the Nation on things like this? If so, he/she is doing a very poor job. DC should be told in no uncertain terms, that the ELECTORATE (us ordinary people), and the Medical profession as a whole, do not want this bill to go through.

Sit up and take notice DC!.
06:28 PM on 02/13/2012
you have hit the nail on the head.For a young man whose lifes ambition was to become the british prime minister ,he is not making a good job of it.His lack of judgment on serious issues of state is now worrying. he should abandon this health bill no one wants except his friends in the private sector.
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Allyb999
11:26 PM on 02/14/2012
How much do you bet that when the Tories lose an election be it the next or sometime in the future, if this bill is passed which essentially privatises the NHS. That both will be "consultants" for some or a quite a few private health firms, and their wages will be in the millions.
03:22 PM on 02/13/2012
I am costing an awful lot in prescriptive painkillers all because that naughty NHS keeps me waiting months and months for a simple replacement hip. False economy, I call it. It's not asking for much - just a simple little hip. It is not as if I want something really big, like a new heart or lung. I can promise to be really good and be out of that hospital in no time at all and not take up one of their valuable beds for longer than is absolutely necessary. In fact, I'd even be willing to pay for the op but having waited this long, it would seem silly to do so. And I really like the consultant who has promised to do the job. (Now where did I put that stick - and those pills?)
This comment has been removed.
04:27 PM on 02/13/2012
Hips cost £10,000. so not a little operation, however, having had 2, I sympathise with the agonies you must be in. My children have asked for mine to be left them in my will,as they then can use them as and when they need new ones!!
04:40 PM on 02/13/2012
I do understand it is not a cheap operation, but why not charge the patient something towards the cost? Many who are desperate like me, would be willing to pay something, but could not afford the full cost.
04:42 PM on 02/13/2012
Your idea of leaving your artificial hips in your will sounds a brilliant one (if it is feasible).
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rabidrightwatch
Green lefty & active environmentalist
02:57 PM on 02/13/2012
When a respected medical journal, with the unparalleled international reputation of the Lancet, refutes Mr. Lansley's claims, it's time to take notice.

It must be crystal clear by now, even to the most convinced Tory supporter, that this series of so-called reform measures, so explicitly promoted to facilitate private medical providers, should now be scrapped forthwith.
The reforms are neither necessary nor will they improve health care; quite the opposite by the sounds of it.

They are extremely unpopular, riddled with inconsistencies, viewed by many with arch suspicion and readily recognised to be driven by ideology, rather than common sense and good medical practice.

Even the Tories, never known for their ability to empathise with the electorate, must surely realise the depth of distrust & resentment such radical reforms are fomenting among the electorate.

But no, the PM and his cohorts must pacify the backwoodsmen/women on the Tory back benches with idealistic clap-trap...

From a personal standpoint, it's high time the LibDems did the honourable thing; withdraw from the coalition to facilitate an early General Election....

...but I'm not holding my breath...
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Allyb999
11:31 PM on 02/14/2012
Wll said rabid, finally decided you are worth being fanned. No offence meant just fussy who I fan.
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rabidrightwatch
Green lefty & active environmentalist
10:16 AM on 02/15/2012
no offence taken - I'm equally fussy..
02:41 PM on 02/13/2012
All I can say about this idiots plans are that when the NHS is privatised I hope that the people who suffer the most will be all the plonkers who believed dodgy Daves propoganda before the election that he would cut the defacit and not the NHS and voted for him, this coalition lot are out and out liars and cheats
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Norman Mitchison
01:04 PM on 02/13/2012
The Libdems seem as confused as everybody else over this fandango.Cancel it and lets have some peace.
12:17 PM on 02/13/2012
A politician is trained to tell lies. Cameron has had years of training and now believes his own lies. Not unlike all liars and conmen they are eventually found out. Cameron is due for a very, very big fall and his support for this Lansley's NHS bill borders on arrogance and an insult to the British people.
01:26 PM on 02/13/2012
What did you exspect from a a Public Relations man?
07:15 PM on 02/13/2012
You say Cameron was trained in the art of Public Relations ? What a waste of resources.
11:10 AM on 02/13/2012
We all know the truth about these reforms they will open the door to privatisation
11:08 AM on 02/13/2012
What Lansley thinks of the Lancet http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gjTRRpffJAA
05:15 PM on 02/13/2012
Everyone should listen to this. Lansley's arrogance is beyond belief.
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redsquad
Shootin' from the lip
05:58 PM on 02/13/2012
That made me so angry. That this fool can dismiss the most revered medical journal in the world because they say putting profits ahead of patients is a bad thing... This man is the "health secretary"?