Vince Cable: QE Consequences 'Very Imperfectly Understood'

Posted: 02/03/12 19:17  |  Updated: 02/03/12 19:17   PA

Vince Cable Qe

The consequences of injecting massive amounts of new cash into the economy to stave off a depression are only "very imperfectly understood", the Business Secretary has said.

Speaking at the Liberal Democrats spring conference in Inverness on Friday, Vince Cable described quantitative easing as "unorthodox", and "an experiment" which the Government does "not know where it will lead".

He said: "Quantitative easing is a kind of new, unorthodox way of running monetary policy and it stems from the experience of the 1930s when one of the factors that was notable in the great depression, which was certainly worse than the many previous, was the fact that the money supply drastically contracted.

"So when we had this major crisis three years ago there was an understanding that to counter that, the Federal Reserve, the Japanese, the UK, and latterly the European Central Bank realised that they had to create money - others use the expression 'printing money' but that is not quite what is involved here - to expand the money supply in order to prevent us going into a great and deep recession.

"Now the technique that is actually utilised is that the Bank of England creates cash and puts it into the financial institutions by buying bonds from them.

"It pumps liquidity - cash - into the system in the hope that it will find its way into the wider economy and free up investment and so on.

"This is an experiment. We don't know where it is going to lead. So far it has almost certainly headed off a very deep depression. It has almost certainly been one of the factors pushing down the Sterling exchange rate.

"But its wider consequences, whether this will lead to inflation, the wider impacts on bank lending, these are things that are only very, very imperfectly understood.

"But my judgment when I was first confronted with this was that it was something that we had to try, because the alternative was probably a disaster."

Speaking after the conference, Mr Cable said a decision on the location of the new Green Investment Bank (GIB) is expected "within the next few days" pending approval by the Government.

The new institution is designed to provide investment for new green energy projects, with Edinburgh and London considered to be amongst the strongest candidates for its headquarters.

However, Mr Cable said the future of all UK institutions "would be questioned" if Scotland voted for independence.

He said: "There are a whole lot of UK institutions (in Scotland) already.

"A few weeks ago I established the Glasgow headquarters of a UK-wide centre for work on renewable energy technologies, and it's a collaboration between Glasgow and the North East of England - English and Scottish universities.

"So if you had independence the future of all of those institutions would be questioned.

"There's nothing specific about the GIB, and we're judging the location on its merits."

On whether the future of an Edinburgh-based GIB would be in doubt after independence, Mr Cable said: "We're dealing with double hypotheticals here. You are assuming it's coming to Edinburgh and you are assuming there will be independence.

"The first we haven't decided on, and independence is improbable.

"There are a whole lot of UK institutions about which this question could be asked, and there's nothing specific to the GIB.

"So we're working on the operating assumption in all of these decisions that the UK will continue."

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The consequences of injecting massive amounts of new cash into the economy to stave off a depression are only "very imperfectly understood", the Business Secretary has said. Speaking at the Liberal...
The consequences of injecting massive amounts of new cash into the economy to stave off a depression are only "very imperfectly understood", the Business Secretary has said. Speaking at the Liberal...
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
22:13 on 04/03/2012
If anyone else other than government attempted to print money, they would be locked up and the key would be thrown away.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
22:07 on 04/03/2012
We got into this mess in the first place because we forgot a simple rule of money: never spend more than you earn.
21:50 on 04/03/2012
Money pours in. Interest rates are low. So money goes int equities. Stock market rises. Stock market is over-valued. It creates false confidence. Our credit is good. So we suck in more imports. The crisis deepens but the experience of it is postponed by QE. This is not clever.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
21:49 on 04/03/2012
"So when we had this major crisis three years ago there was an understanding that to counter that, the Federal Reserve, the Japanese, the UK, and latterly the European Central Bank realised that they had to create money - others use the expression 'printing money' but that is not quite what is involved here - to expand the money supply in order to prevent us going into a great and deep recession."

The same people who did not see the credit crunch coming are charge of getting us back to where we were. You don't need to be an economist to know we are on a hiding to nothing.

If the ordinary guy in the street does something wrong, the authorities come down on him or her ike a ton of bricks. They still haven't arrested and charged anyone with starting the credit crunch which has put millions of people across the world out of a job and out of their homes. Useless or what?
11:13 on 04/03/2012
QE, why don't we put all our debts into one account and pay it all off in manageable monthly amounts?
You can't just print money you know, to get yourself out of debt!
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
15:10 on 04/03/2012
...Or get a massive loan from Wonga.com'.?..lol..!!
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10:05 on 04/03/2012
Why didn't he object to the MOD giving £billions of ship building to South Korea instead of our ship yards.The MOD said "to save the taxpayer money" I'm a taxpayer and would welcome our ship builders to build our ships.
northern git
fed up with all the political crap in life
11:56 on 04/03/2012
not to forget the train jobs that went to germany
21:52 on 04/03/2012
If they did that with every contract what will there be to defend?
northern git
fed up with all the political crap in life
08:44 on 03/03/2012
QE it putting money too slowly into the coutry and even then it goes into the wrong place.

It won't be spent where it is needed and the places it goes to won't be the ones to spend it in the every day economy.

Surely it needs to but put where people spend and the money gets quickly into circulation. It is no good giving it to banks they way they are, it is just going in bonuses and other greed driven waste.

The people who would actually spend the money are those that spend any way, even if it is irresponsibly. those therefore who are in debt and still earning (in work) should have their debt written off. They would continue to spend and the economy recovers, life returns to normal and everyone can afford to put fuel in thier cars.

two thousand years ago they did this , in the middle east, when debt was written off after twelve months, so it was in no ones interest to lend too much for too long to people who could not pay it back.

perhaps it is an idea that should be revisited
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jessjesskk
Benevolent Zombie Power
07:06 on 03/03/2012
We are in a crisis of too much debt... QE allows to pump inflation because inflation kills debt (and savings).

It's not like there are any other options...
21:55 on 04/03/2012
I think behind our backs they are wishing inflation would rise to around 8% for around three years. After the Callaghan/Thatcher bout of inflation (76-83) the economy recovered and went into growth for 20 years. But unemployment fell very slowly.
23:23 on 02/03/2012
I am puzzled. If I try to get out of a financial hole by printing money, its forgery and it's illegal.
If the government tries to get out of a finacial hole by printing money, it's quantative easing and it's legal.
00:21 on 03/03/2012
of course its legal did you not know they THINK they are above the law,thats born out by their fraudulant expenses claims,their blatent disregard of our rights,the way they are able to issue statements that are discimative towards benefit claimants,accusing / insinuateing ALL claimants are fraudsters,where as if WE make a statement on those lines we would be charged with insighting violence / hatred / discrimination & no doubt sent to one of HM"s luxury 5X hotels for several years !!