Asteroid With Power Of H-Bomb To Miss Earth, Experts Say

Posted: 15/03/2012 21:22 Updated: 15/03/2012 21:22   PA

Asteroid 2012 Da14

A 164ft (50m) long space rock with the destructive power of an H-bomb will narrowly miss the Earth next year, scientists predict.

Asteroid 2012 DA14 is due to whizz past the Earth on February 15 2013, at a distance of just 14,913 miles (24,000km) - closer than many commercial satellites.

Scientists say there is no chance of an impact, but despite tiny odds such a possibility cannot be completely ruled out in years to come.

If it did enter the Earth's atmosphere and explode, the force would be enough to destroy an area the size of Greater London.

The asteroid was spotted last month by a team operating from the La Sagra Sky Survey observatory near Granada in Spain.
The observatory uses automated telescopes to track small asteroids and comets.

2012 DA14 was discovered after the astronomers decided to search areas of the sky where asteroids are not usually seen.

Dr Gerhard Drolshagen, a near-Earth object observer from the European Space Agency's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) office, said: "The object is roughly 50 metres across and at that size it could do some damage if it exploded over an inhabited area. It would have the force of the biggest nuclear weapon."

In 1908 an asteroid estimated to be 131ft (40m) across exploded over Tunguska in Siberia, flattening 772 square miles (2,000 sq km) of forest.

"That is an area the size of Greater London," said Dr Drolshagen. "This asteroid is a little bigger."

He said there was "no chance" of the rock hitting the Earth next year. The asteroid is expected to make its closest approach shortly after 6pm, UK time.

"Next year it will be nice to watch through a pair of binoculars, but there is nothing to worry about," said Dr Drolshagen. "In future times the possibility of a collision cannot be completely excluded. It is highly unlikely, but the chance is greater than zero."

An estimated 500,000 near-Earth objects measuring up to 98ft (30m) are believed to be undiscovered.

Dr Detlef Koschny, also from the SSA, said: "We are developing a system of automated optical telescopes that can detect asteroids just like this one, with the goal of being able to spot them at least three weeks before closest approach to Earth."

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A 164ft (50m) long space rock with the destructive power of an H-bomb will narrowly miss the Earth next year, scientists predict. Asteroid 2012 DA14 is due to whizz past the Earth on February 15 20...
A 164ft (50m) long space rock with the destructive power of an H-bomb will narrowly miss the Earth next year, scientists predict. Asteroid 2012 DA14 is due to whizz past the Earth on February 15 20...
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09:55 PM on 03/28/2012
Panic - it's the stuff liberal fear-mongers, many of whom inhabit the Huffington ant colony. This asteroid passed by in mid Feb this year at just less than 7 lunar-orbit distances (about 1.75 million miles) and will be much closer next year. But even then it is a number of Earth diameters away and so poses no threat.

It's very interesting since it does demonstrate the potential for space to be dangerous to us. An object of this size (40-50m) would be devastating to a large metropolitan area or a coastal area even if it detonated in the atmosphere. There are many asteroids which are bigger and also MUCH bigger which cruise by here regularly. Presently, we are defenseless against such objects. Blowing them up in their trajectories is probably the worst choice we could make.
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02:59 PM on 03/24/2012
so why does the NASA simulator have .0E-4 as distance on 02.16.13? http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2012+DA14&orb=1
04:57 PM on 03/16/2012
Do you think these scientist would be able to tell the general public that a large asteroid is going to hit the earth with all the fear of panic speading. I don't think so!
04:29 PM on 03/16/2012
An object this size could leave a crater up to 2,500 mters across (about 1.5 miles) and cause flash burns as far away as 100 miles. It would be far more destructive than the Siberian impact of 1908. That was beleived to be a chunk of ice about 15 metres across and released its energy high in the atmospere, none of it even reach the ground.
Three weeks warning is not much, certainly not enough to launch an intercept mission in an attempt to deflect it with a series of nuclear strikes.
05:23 AM on 04/02/2012
I do believe your info on the Siberian impact is wrong....that Asteroid was a little bigger (approx) about 40 meters. But, everywhere you read it seems everyone has a different measurement....so who really knows....lol
06:08 AM on 04/02/2012
You may be correct. My information was from an article in New Scientist some time ago and it may have said 45 metres and I remembered it as feet. The article said that it is beleived that the chunk of ice had been on an elongated eliptical orbit around the sun and came in from the outer solar system and hit the atmospere at an extremely high velocity. I don't remember the numbers but they calculated the mass from the estimated energy that was released.
04:06 PM on 03/16/2012
I was looking for a centre piece rock for my garden. A little large at the moment but on entry it would probably be about the right size. Just need to figure out how to slow it down a tad. Any ideas?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dnietz
politics is obsolete
02:52 PM on 03/16/2012
"""We are developing a system of automated optical telescopes that can detect asteroids just like this one, with the goal of being able to spot them at least three weeks before closest approach to Earth"""

Wow. I'm glad they are developing what they can. But 3 weeks doesn't make me feel that safer.

In Houston, we had a hurricane that was coming towards us a couple of years ago (IKE). It was Category 3 (not the worst). People started to evacuate, but it wasn't everyone. Most people were calm. It was just a hurricane and it was predictable. Some people were staying behind and everyone pretty much knew that a hurricane is not the same as a nuclear bomb. It was highly likely that your home would still be there when you came back and insurance would repair it.

The evacuation was horrifying. People were stranded on freeways with no gasoline, food, water or bathrooms. Lots of people died. Normal people became cruel and aggressive.

What do you think would happen if a major city is told that it is in the blast zone of one of these asteroids and it is coming in 2 weeks?........... Everyone has to absolutely leave and take everything with you....... All your possessions are gone.....  If you don't get out in time, you and your family are done........

not only that, but a hotel 50 miles away won't do it, you have to get hundreds of miles away to be safe.A gallon of gasoline will be the most valuable thing you can have in that situation and if you don't have it..........
02:16 PM on 03/16/2012
As much as it is nice to be able to pick up on asteroids approaching earth and predicting that they will miss by whate ever margin. It would be even better if we could speed up the technology that would actually deflect or damage a truly dangerous asteroid. Sharing the pool with a 50m lump of space rock would be messy to say the least!
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Oregonlib
Micro-bio empty
02:10 PM on 03/16/2012
Asteroid With Power Of H-Bomb To Miss Earth

I'm more interested in hearing about the one who won't miss.
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Prelldarunner
Thinking outside the Box to be inside the Box!
02:04 PM on 03/16/2012
Not to say that the Earth will never be hit by an Asteroid, but how many times we hear about an Asteroid coming toward the Earth and then they say it will miss us?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dnietz
politics is obsolete
03:00 PM on 03/16/2012
That is because they don't tell us until after they are sure it is NOT going to hit. Some of us doubt whether they will actually tell the public if one is going to hit a major population area.

There is plenty of records regarding the ones that have hit in the past. The next one like the 1908 asteroid will probably kill millions.

1908 wasn't that long ago right ?!  It isn't like these things are not real.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
--Terminus--
All nature is but art unknown to thee
01:56 PM on 03/16/2012
Nice. Closest approach is on Galileo Galilei's birthday.
01:42 PM on 03/16/2012
I take my hat off to the sky watchers who do this work. They are underfunded, understaffed and under appreciated. Comments about how this story isn't a story because it is a non-event are written by to55ers who don't understand or even want to understand that this sort of thing has happened before and it will happen again. There are just too many of these objects out there to rule it out. Remember it was this sort of thing that done the dinosaurs in, and it wasn't just the idnosaurs either. By the time the Gulf of Mexico was formed there was nothing left alive biger than a mouse. Chances are we'll all be dead and gone and perhaps several dozens of generations to follow will be likewise, but it is sure to happen. Maybe by then we'll be able to do something more about it than just report it in the news.
01:39 PM on 03/16/2012
Asteroids don't hit earth cuz its only 6,000 years old...duh!
01:33 PM on 03/16/2012
where's Bruce Willis when you want him....
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Hillrick
Still inconceivable...I'm just not smiling anymore
01:31 PM on 03/16/2012
We need to do something about this and fast! Bruce Willis is starting to get up in years and not many of the new action stars can handle this level of emergency.
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anothervoice
How many trees have you planted in your life?
01:26 PM on 03/16/2012
Dr Detlef Koschny, also from the SSA, said: "We are developing a system of automated optical telescopes that can detect asteroids just like this one, with the goal of being able to spot them at least three weeks before closest approach to Earth."

Just enough time to get your affairs in order.