Police expect a repeat of last summer's riots and are concerned about how budget cuts will affect their ability to deal with the unrest, according to a study into the disorder.
The majority of officers caught up in August's unrest believe similar rioting is likely, with many citing worsening social and economic conditions as the potential cause, the survey found.
They also fear their forces do not have the resources to cope with unrest on a similar scale.
A total of 130 officers from eight forces were interviewed as part of The Reading the Riots research conducted by the London School of Economics and The Guardian. Most gave anonymous accounts of the riots which spread across London, Birmingham, Liverpool, Manchester and Salford last summer.
Nearly all those interviewed described the unrest as the greatest physical and psychological challenge of their careers and officers of all ranks said they were astonished no colleagues were killed.
One superintendent from Greater Manchester Police said he expected more disorder within the year.
When asked if rioting will happen again, he said: "I think if you have bad economic times, hot weather, some sort of an event that sets it off...my answer is: yes, it could.
"Because I don't think anything has changed between now and last August, and the only thing that's different is people have thought: riots are fun."
Police generally rejected criticism of the tactics deployed during the trouble, but admitted they were stretched to the limit by the scale and speed of rioting and left totally overwhelmed in places.
Senior Metropolitan Police officers also accepted they struggled to deploy enough staff to contain the violence during the four days of disorder in the capital.
The study reveals the Met failed to activate a national alarm system to call for more resources until the third day of riots, and once officers from other forces did arrive they were hampered by poor communication with central command.
Forces across England also failed to fully act on intelligence gleaned from social media networks, which were used by rioters to outmanoeuvre police, the interviews revealed.
Officers from West Midlands, Merseyside, Greater Manchester, Cambridgeshire, Thames Valley, Hampshire, Surrey and the Metropolitan Police, were interview as part of the second phase of The Reading the Riots study.
Victims, so-called vigilantes and lawyers who dealt with the aftermath in the courts were also quizzed.
The first tranche of research, published in December, was based on confidential interviews with 270 rioters.
The latest data comes as the police service stares in the face of widespread budget cuts.
Paul McKeever, chairman of the Police Federation, said police would struggle to cope with further disorder if the proposed austerity measures went ahead and urged the government to take "urgent stock" of the results of the study.
He said: "This comprehensive analysis demonstrates what we have been telling the Government for two years now; that a 20% budget cut to policing will have a negative impact on public safety and that police numbers really do matter.
"Officers interviewed rightly identify and voice concern that, should the same circumstances occur again, the police service would struggle to cope and contain the situation with the loss of police officers numbers we are experiencing as a direct result of the cuts - over 5,000 last year alone."
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Police expect a repeat of last summer's riots and are concerned about how budget cuts will affect their ability to deal with the unrest, according to a study into the disorder.
The majority of offi...
Police expect a repeat of last summer's riots and are concerned about how budget cuts will affect their ability to deal with the unrest, according to a study into the disorder.
The majority of offi...
More than 1,200 people have been jailed for an average of almost 18 months following last summer's riots, figures showed on Thursday. Some 3,051 people...
Manchester could have been spared the August riots if police in London had acted sooner, according to the city's chief constable. Greater Manchester Police chief...
Public support for CCTV camera surveillance has been strengthened by its role in helping to identify and prosecute rioters in England, a survey has found....
Bernard Hogan-Howe, the new commissioner of the Metropolitan Police, has said he is "open minded" about transferring responsibility for counter-terrorism to the new National Crime...
Prince Charles and his wife Camilla on Wednesday visited the area where the England riots started, but not everyone in the neighbourhood welcomed the...
Exactly a year ago, hundreds of kids misbehaved really badly, so why has nobody asked the question? Have we - society, government, family - done something wrong? Why the loud silence? Oh, sorry, I forgot - they are they just nasty little rioters, and should go to prison. There is nothing else to ask. Where is the reflection, the understanding, the questions? Those arrested during the riots mainly came from deprived areas and had the poorest educational backgrounds. They set fire to their own communities, and looted consumerist goods − plasma TVs, "branded" fashionable electronics and expensive shoes. Why did they do what they did?
I heard on the radio yesterday a young policeman describing some rioters who had attached Stanley knives to sticks to use as weapons. This is gutting and the new statistics are stomach-churning. One of the things that I remember most from those evenings last year is the fear. That crippling feeling of the unknown. How close to our homes were they going to get? Why?
I believe that the riots were, in part at least, a consequence of keeping people in a permanently dissatisfied state and persuading them that their lives will be improved by owning something they haven't got, can't afford and almost certainly don't need.
Really ... this sounds a lot like a political rant by the Police authorities because of the cuts ... oh sear, the Police are going to have to work, what a shame ...
pduck321: Really ... this sounds a lot like a political rant
Politicians hide behind the fact that, "words will never hurt me." All these marches and protests have always been too easily ignored. The country is now coming to realise that the other half of the saying, offers more chance of attention.
mgibo1: Politicians hide behind the fact that, "words will never hurt
130 officers were interviewed about the riots, the rest said they didn`t know what was happening because when the trouble started they were running in the opposite direction.
vvkmt: 130 officers were interviewed about the riots, the rest said
Raise a Volunteer National Guard in readiness for emergencies ,ie Floods , Fire , any other natural disaster, Oh and civil disorders, riots that sort of thing
wAdrian: Raise a Volunteer National Guard in readiness for emergencies ,ie
mmmmmmm you might want to see if you can get hold of a few badges from 1939, in other countries they call them militia.
They do the work on behalf of Goverments who try to keep their hands clean when things are getting a little ruff
blowmeaway: mmmmmmm you might want to see if you can get
let it kick off......& why not........its called no one gives a f%$k because of diversity & not university....because no matter wot...the uk is getting more devided by the day...last year wasent the 1st & wont be the last....
dudthedude: let it kick off......& why not........its called no one gives
Thuis time?.....sounds like a threat.......law & order must be respected.....whatever the cost....to not do so would be anarchy.....maybe thats what they want..or even you want.....but it wont happen....Thank God.
malc19: Thuis time?.....sounds like a threat.......law & order must be respected.....whatever
the Polices performance here is shocking deliberately egging on the rioyters saying oohh look we are defenceless in the hope that when riots happen they will be given bigger budgets. This was the reason Chief officers held the forces back last year so that they could apply political pressure for bigger budgets . Well shame on you. i think instead of moaning you should go and do a preoper days work for a change
eastlondon: the Polices performance here is shocking deliberately egging on the
aha I merely said these people are poor by choice cos they wont work How many plumbers or bricklayers rioted because they are feeling the cuts answer none. These are feral ,feckless thieves who deserve the harshest treatment
eastlondon: aha I merely said these people are poor by choice
Yes it seems most shootings by the police, the other person does not have a gun.
Which is a bit 1 sided when they are usually a dozen officers all armed with hecklers.
blowmeaway: Yes it seems most shootings by the police, the other
A sociologist group have been studying rioters and have begun to publish some of their articles, from what I’ve read, which I’ll admit is only 3 of the papers, it seems to indicate that a portion of rioters did what they did because they believed their economic livelihood was under threat, the poor working and unemployed alike are seeing their income reduce while their bills increase, many of these people have reached a critical point where they can no longer financially survive, they knew it was wrong but wanted to vent this anger as those in power seem to be ignoring them.
The economic situation for this group of people is worsening, and with increases in unemployment and continuing rise in the cost of living means this group of people is growing fast, if the riots were to happen again there is a good argument for the case that more people would be involved, and with a decreasing police force this could tip the situation past the point where the police are capable to dealing with the matter.
andrewcartright: A sociologist group have been studying rioters and have begun
Yes and in todays Enviroment of Austerity the lower working classes and this time even the so-called middle earners are also struggling to keep their heads above water it is a perfect storm for mass disorder.
And Austerity is only 25% way through they is still 3 more years (75%) more of cuts still to come.
blowmeaway: Yes and in todays Enviroment of Austerity the lower working
PA | Posted: 02/07/2012 07:33 Updated: 02/07/2012 07:33