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Chris Leslie

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Another Missed Opportunity by George Osborne

Posted: 06/12/2012 11:13

Yesterday was a chance for George Osborne to signal he would act to get the economy moving again in order to get the deficit down and begin to turn around his failing ship. Instead he stuck dogmatically to the course which led Britain to the longest double-dip recession since the war and the slowest recovery of any in the last century.

He was forced to break his promises to balance the books and get the debt down by 2015. We now face a shrinking economy this year and an extension of the era of austerity to 2018.

And it is millions of working people on modest and middle incomes, who have already seen the costs of food and fuel continue to rise while wages are squeezed, who will pay the price for this failure.

George Osborne claims he is targeting the work-shy, yet a one-earner family on £20,000 with two children will lose £279 a year from all the changes happening in April - on top of the cost of higher VAT.

And at the same time the Tories and Lib Dems are giving a £3 billion tax cut to the richest people in the country - worth over £100,000 for 8,000 people earning more than £1 million and disproving the government myth that we are "all in it together".

Despite all of George Osborne's rhetoric today about Britain being on "the right track" the hard journey ahead has just got even longer. The Chancellor has broken his promises on borrowing - the main measure on which he has staked his credibility countless times.

The government is set to borrow £212 billion more than they expected - and more than the plans it inherited and condemned at the time for not going far enough.

It meant George Osborne was finally forced to admit the Government would not meet his fiscal rule to get the national debt falling as a proportion of GDP by 2015.

This marked a moment of humiliation for a man who put his faith in the doctrine of "expansionary fiscal contraction".

There are several reasons for this, but central to the problem is the fact that after 31 months in office the coalition still has no plan for how to create jobs and stimulate growth.

In fact the economy is due to shrink again this year, George Osborne admitted yesterday, and growth forecasts have been downgraded again for next year and every year up to 2016.

Ministers fail to realise that by making deep spending cuts and tax rises and failing to increase demand in the private sector they drag down growth and risk setting Britain's economy on the road to international irrelevance.

Over the last two years Britain has grown by just 0.6% compared to the 4.6% the government promised, 3.6% in Germany and 4.1% in America.

It makes for a stark contrast to October 2010, when a brash Osborne told the world: "What you see today, in an uncertain global economic environment, is Britain growing, growing strongly." We are falling behind in the global race.

Of course what matters is not just Britain's place in the world, or on a league table, but the cost in homes and on high streets around the nation. A weak growth rate is the manifestation of lower consumer spending and falling sales for Britain's small businesses, which employ around 14million people.

And it was only last week that ministers were forced to admit their much-hyped Welfare to Work programme was proving worse than doing nothing at all, with only one in 28 of unemployed people referred being able to find a job for six months or more.

Over the last two and a half years we have become used to George Osborne's spin and attacks on his critics but Labour has been clear about what it wants - a plan for growth based on bringing forward infrastructure investment, a temporary VAT cut and a bank bonus tax to fund a jobs guarantee for young people.

This is what a One Nation approach to the economy would look like, rather than a tax cut for millionaires.

Yesterday was a missed opportunity for George Osborne. He showed the world he isn't on the side of hard-working Britons, he doesn't have a plan for growth and he can't control borrowing. It is a terrible indictment of his time running the economy.

 
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Yesterday was a chance for George Osborne to signal he would act to get the economy moving again in order to get the deficit down and begin to turn around his failing ship. Instead he stuck dogmatical...
Yesterday was a chance for George Osborne to signal he would act to get the economy moving again in order to get the deficit down and begin to turn around his failing ship. Instead he stuck dogmatical...
 
 
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Richard Britton
British Socialist Global Realist
11:55 AM on 12/09/2012
yes the Tory agenda is ideological nonsense that is really damaging the country

but the Labour response is completely insipid and lacking in original thinking. The proposed VAT cut is really not the answer

why don't you look at some radical thinkers and try to move the debate away from austerity? Try Krugman and Portes for some ideas
05:44 PM on 12/07/2012
Britain not on the right track. WE need 5million CLL Houses built in next 10years. this will train & give jobs to most of our yng ppl. It will also give jobs to hundreds of thousands of the unemployed. building CLL houses will not cost us a penny,because they are built by Gov't Created funding. Brit Gov't got economy needs back to front
10:01 PM on 12/06/2012
this country is full of greed and corruptions via so many and many havent woken up still yet
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08:20 PM on 12/06/2012
I did not see any clear expression of your alternative polices!
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07:36 PM on 12/06/2012
George Osborne is failing to get us out of this mess - perhaps. However, he is not the one that got us into this mess. A combination of a cyclical worldwide downturn, a financial meltdown and a profligate Labour government got us here. In the grand scheme Britain is coping rather better than some countries - and if it takes us having to face up to reality for once and taking our medicine it will be a price worth paying for future generations. "kickstarting" the economy with more borrowed money is like giving an addict more of the substance that he is addicted to.Mr Leslie is wholly mistaken and all of the lessons of history show this - that taxing the rich does nothing more than
provide a little glee to recidivists like him.
02:28 PM on 12/06/2012
"...his time running the economy." Actually, no. Politicians have a conceited vision of themselves at the helm of a mighty ship, plotting the course ahead with certainty. But in reality the economic cycle controls politicians rather than the other way around.

Yes, coming back to the ship analogy, they can stoke the boilers or blow off some steam. Also they can give the rudder a nudge to right or left. But in the short term that's about it. They can be more useful in setting long-term supply-side policies in place. Perhaps the fracking, infrastructure and lower corporation tax will give benefits in 10 years' time.
01:49 PM on 12/06/2012
As governments now have absolutely no control over the banks, financial institutions, multi-national companies or even fast food outlets and coffee shops, the only device they have at their disposal come budget time is juggling tax.

One party juggles in favour of the haves and the other party juggles in favour of the have nots. Neither method works, in the short or long term but yet they continue.

If history teaches anything, it teaches us that, to continue doing the same same thing over and over again and expect a different result, is just sheer lunacy!
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Roy Fowler
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01:04 PM on 12/06/2012
Hello Mr Leslie;
Sorry to say that MILLIONS of us do still remember that it was Labour who stuffed 100,000s of middle managers into the NHS while front line services suffered, It was Labour that added 10's of thousands of faceless pen pushers into Whitehall and it is Labour that opened the floodgates for the worlds illegals, criminals and terrorists to come here to hate us and live of us that is costing the taxpayer MILLIONS every day; it is Labour that has yet to admit in ANY interview that you were at least PARTLY to blame for the current poor state of the economy.....

I see NO long term, laid out, open plan for this countries growth, job creation or future from Labour?

I see NO hint at how you would do things differently or how you would pay for it if you were in power now?

At a time when honest, hardworking men and women are seeing their wages, lives and futures all fast restricting, due in no small part to Labours 13 years in power, I simply cannot see how Labour can ever gain these votes ever again.