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Absolute Zero: the CIA's Drone War and Civilians

Posted: 20/07/11 01:00 BST

Top US counter-terrorism advisor John Brennan is clear about President Obama's views of CIA drone strike casualties. Civilians shouldn't be dying.

"One of the things President Obama has insisted on is that we're exceptionally precise and surgical ... if there are terrorists who are within an area where there are women and children or others, you know, we do not take such action that might put those innocent men, women and children in danger."

That's pretty clear. No dead women and kids. And the CIA has tried to oblige. Since August last year, following a spate of messy civilian deaths in Pakistan, it has apparently changed its targeting priorities so that it only hits known militants.

And if you believe 'US intelligence officials' a near-miracle has taken place. Not a single civilian death has occurred in Pakistan strikes in eleven months, despite 116 drone attacks that have killed at least 740 people. Not one.

Many beg to differ. The Bureau of Investigative Journalism, for example, with which I work, has just published a major report challenging the CIA's claims.

Working with field researchers in Waziristan, and re-examining hundreds of credible media reports, we've found dead civilians killed by drones since last August. Plenty of them, including named children.

We showed our summary findings to the US intelligence community. A senior official was robust. Our research is "wildly inaccurate". Drones are the "most precise weapon in the history of warfare." And categorically, not one civilian has died in a US drone strike in Pakistan since last August.

The CIA's drones are killing hundreds in Pakistan, most of them militants. But to do that they're blowing up mud brick houses and cars on roads. They're attacking tribal meetings, and bombing restaurants and guest houses (all recently recorded targets.)

And this 'no civilian deaths' period coincided with a steep rise in Obama's drone attacks, coupled with a collapse in co-operation between the US and its vital Pakistani intelligence allies on the ground.

The odds of civilian deaths not happening in this period seem extreme. Some very reputable news organisations (ABC, the Wall Street Journal, the BBC) have all reported civilian deaths since last August.

The mystery is not that John Brennan and others are claiming 'no civilian deaths'. The mystery is that they are not being firmly challenged given the many credible reports to the contrary.

The CIA could hedge its bets. It could say it's making every possible effort to reduce the risk to civilians, and leave room for tragic error. Instead it stands by its absolute claim of zero civilian deaths, as a counter-terrorism official confirmed to me this week.

Out in the world, there are consistent and credible reports of dead civilians, including children, killed in the strikes. Reconciling the two positions seems unlikely.

 

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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
ManwithaParachute
Not Seeking Your Approval
12:59 PM on 07/21/2011
New boss same as the old boss.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MohammedAbbasi
Co-Director, Association of British Muslims
11:18 AM on 07/21/2011
Reaching out to some of them in dialogue is better than just shooting at all of them
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Fit2betied
Give Peace a Chance ☮
03:38 AM on 07/20/2011
As a hard working, tax paying American I am embarrassed by the actions of my government. We preach human rights and then when it's convenient we pretend they never existed.

The USA has tarnished it's good name by it's hypocrisy.

The time has long passed to bring our troops home and live up to our own ideals. Every time I hear our government condemn another country for their actions I want to stick my finger in Hillary's or Barack's face and lecture them for an hour on practicing what they preach.
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deweaver
Scientist, businessman, semi-retired
12:31 AM on 07/20/2011
Isn't "hundreds of credible media" an oxymoron. Ask you self how credible the media is regarding any area you know a lot about? This is especially true when you are dealing with propaganda campaigns.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Chris Woods
07:54 AM on 07/20/2011
I take your point, to a point. There've been 116 drone strikes between August 23 last year and June 29 this, the date of Brennan's speech. Each of those strikes can be reported by as many as a dozen unique Pakistani, international agency and US media reports.

The media sources I think are credible have a track record of using their own researchers in the field where possible; of identifying those killed, where they can (whether Taliban or civilian); of reporting Pakistani government - and militant - sources on the impact of a strike; and of revising their figures up (or down) as a story unfolds.

Though you're right. Not every record of a drone strike is credible.
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mcostello
It's just math
11:37 PM on 07/19/2011
Drone attacks will prove to backfire on us.