"The British economy is indeed recovering...economic growth is now strong" and "it will become stronger" as a result of the work the Government is doing. This was the Business Secretary Vince Cable speaking in the House of Commons on 13 January.
The reality was somewhat different. Two weeks after Cable's claims the Office for National Statistics told us GDP had decreased by 0.5% in the last quarter of 2010; in April they told us GDP had increased by just 0.5% in the first quarter of 2011. So the economy flatlined under Cable's watch.
Second quarter figures for 2011 are due on 26 July. The highly respected NIESR expects GDP growth of just 0.1% for this period. If correct, that would mean GDP growth of 0.1% in 9 months suggesting that Cable is living on a different planet.
The Opposition and the Tory led Government disagree profoundly on the pace and scale of deficit reduction. Reducing the deficit is essential but, as former US President Clinton pointed out this week, because of the policies pursued by the Tory led government "there's a good chance economic activity will go down so much that tax revenues will be reduced even more than spending is cut and [the] deficit will increase". Where there is agreement is on the need for the private sector to spearhead growth in the future. Small and medium sized businesses are crucial to this because they are the backbone of the British economy, responsible for six out of ten private sector jobs and over £1.5 trillion of private sector turnover.
However SMEs face many obstacles - one that is raised time and time again is access to finance. SMEs cannot look to capital markets for finance in the way big business does so they rely on our banks. I visited one such business last week - a family run private nursery employing over 50 people in my local area; I met another in Leeds this week, a young entrepreneur running a digital media outfit. Both successful established businesses run by people who work hard, play by the rules and are passionate about the service they provide and the communities they provide them in. Both bank with one of the major retail banks and were told in the last 18 months - out of the blue - that their lending terms and conditions would be changed despite the health of their businesses, creating great uncertainty and stress.
The Government negotiated the Project Merlin agreement with the banks in February, promising it would lead to an increase in lending to SMEs by £10 billion (from £66 billion in 2010 to £76 billion in 2011), yet the banks collectively missed the quarterly target by £2.2 billion for the first quarter of this year. This is supported by the Bank of England's agents out in the country - they say small firms "generally perceived credit conditions to be very tight" and "were reluctant to approach banks in case it led to an increase in the cost of existing borrowings, or reductions in overdraft limits". Consequently many are resorting to using personal credit cards and other means to help with cash flow. We cannot go on like this.
What's the alternative? First, we were told bank CEO pay would be linked to satisfaction of those SME lending targets but the Government failed to check how this would work in practice and is now - by Cable's own admission - having to revisit the issue. Labour would have given Merlin real teeth, insisting the banks evidence how CEO pay would be linked to lending targets before finalising the agreement.
Secondly, the government has established the Regional Growth Fund under which it will allocate £1.4bn over three years to support businesses (two thirds less than allocated under the previous government through Regional Development Agencies). We would add an extra £200m to the RGF through a repeat of the bankers' bonus tax and re-examine the eligibility criteria for it too - currently many SMEs are excluded given the minimum threshold for bids is £1m.
Thirdly, in his last budget before the election Alistair Darling announced the establishment of a business growth fund for small businesses paid for by the banks. This was taken forward by the banks who announced the establishment of the Business Growth Fund in October 2010. This is welcome but, again, the £10 million threshold for bids excludes many SMEs from being able to apply. We would tell the banks to look again at the criteria in order to provide greater access to SMEs.
So the government has failed to deliver for SMEs when what they deserve is an active, intelligent government doing all it can to help businesses prosper, grow and create wealth for the country. Without this, the risk of an economy continuing to flat line will persist. Let's hope the Tory led Government gets its act together because if it doesn't, the consequences for people up and down the country will be disastrous
Follow Chuka Umunna on Twitter: www.twitter.com/chukaumunna
Chuka Umunna: We Need Justice for Firms Hit by Banks' Mis-selling
This scenario is being played out across the whole spectrum of politics as this government gets one thing right according to their strategy, but takes no account of the outside influences or what was not put right in the past, to make sure the same thing does not happen again and again.
The idea of running any economy successfully is too put the peoples need before their own want of obtaining votes, witness the Murdoch situation and how a media baron could manipulate governments just by the stroke of a pen. Then who suffers other people and not the Murdoch Empire take your pick http://www.sundaysun.co.uk/ or http://www.thesundaysun.co.uk/ both are one and the same and both registered prior to closing NOTW.
Also, try to to understand that service centric SMEs outsource their labour to offshore lands. SMEs are using flexible 'on demand' labour now because they have no alternative. Indeed it shouldn't surprise you when you discover that SMEs are likely bigger consumers of offshore labour than big companies. The nature of work has changed to the point where the unit of work is no longer a whole job. Parliamentarians will never see this or get it, until of course, it's too late.
I profoundly disagree with this arch-monetarist view. Kitchen sink economics; Maggie Thatcher's mantra. Keynes' view was for governments to spend their way out of a depression. It worked then, why the sudden urgent need to balance the budget?
I was hoping for a reasoned argument, not mere repetition of some received opinion, with no actual basis other than whim.
It is very easy for Mr Chukka Umoneyaround to pontificate about the state of business in the UK. After all he has been an MP for at least five minutes, and has never worked outside of politics. So the perfect candidate to represent small business, the trickiest sector of all.
Alan (Lord) Suger, a Labour supporter and funder recently called him "a kid who didn't know what he was talking about" when he said it was much easier in Suger's day to start a small business than it is now.
No doubt when his voice breaks he will immediately qualify to become Party Leader.
Pass me the Valium
The only difference is that they're the Tories, they're supposed to be evil; you're Labour, you're supposed to be different. Instead we had a government that made John Major look like a decent humanitarian.
We're still mad at you, so jog on. Come back in a few years when we're sick of the Tories and we've forgotten how dismal your lot are!