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G20 in Cannes Needs to Bring the World Leadership

Posted: 02/11/11 12:05 GMT

Politics is about leadership, and that's what the world badly needs from the G20 meeting in Cannes tomorrow.

This is not the time for warm words and empty statements. Instead, we need a new way forward. To construct a global plan for growth, ambitious enough to address the scale of the challenge the world economy faces. And then to build the political consensus needed to make it happen.

No-one should doubt the seriousness of the situation. Growth across most of the EU has stagnated: yesterday it was announced that the UK grew by just 0.5% in the last year; in the previous quarter Japan's economy shrank by 0.5%; and, after strong growth at the start of the year, Germany's economy has slowed down and is expected to grow only by 1% in 2012.

In both Europe and the US unemployment has been rising since March, despite the better labour market performance in Germany. Across the EU nearly one in 10 of those who want to work are not doing so. The figure is only marginally better in America, where unemployment remains over 9%. Youth unemployment in Sweden is even higher at 22.8%.

Political failure

In the face of these worrying developments people around the world have rightly looked for political leadership. But it has been notable by its absence.

In the US, political deadlock has left President Obama dealing with a Republican Party playing brinkmanship over the debt ceiling.

In Europe, after months of hesitation, faltering progress has been made in the past week. But more is needed. There must be no repeat of the wait and see approach of which there has been too much recently.

A plan

People across the world have a right to expect more from their elected leaders than shrugged shoulders.

Our challenge to leaders meeting in France is that they must provide confidence to markets and citizens that they are finally getting a grip. Meeting that challenge would mark a turning point, with a agreement of a plan that matches the scale of the crisis.

First, we need a new deal based on the understanding that lack of demand is undermining the global recover. In that context, immediate collective austerity simply will not work. Developments in the Eurozone show that the IMF's Christine Lagarde was right to warn: "slamming on the brakes too quickly will hurt the recovery and worsen job prospects."

And support for that demand must go beyond how we address fiscal deficits. As the OECD said this week, we also need greater exchange rate flexibility and domestic demand in surplus economies.

Second the summit provides an opportunity for world leaders to reiterate their commitment to fiscal sustainability, while recognising that debt problems are best dealt with on the basis of solutions tailored to the situation faced by each country, rather than through a simple one-size-fits-all ideological response. The lessons learned from the Swedish financial crisis in the 1990s, where debt was halved as a share of GDP, serves as a good example.

For countries that enjoy record low borrowing costs, President Obama has set out an approach that will work: a balanced plan to support jobs and growth now, alongside serious medium-term deficit reduction including both revenue raising and spending cuts. Others, including the UK Government, would do well to listen rather than remain locked into a programme that shows they have lost touch with the needs of their economy, businesses and people.

Countries with large deficits and high borrowing costs need to take action to reassure investors. For Italy in particular, a clear commitment to addressing debt sustainability is essential.

Third, we need to maintain the pace of banking reform. That means providing confidence that banks have the capital they need to operate in a world where suppressed growth is feeding back into higher defaults. And when populations are rightly asking how a just burden sharing can be found, the G20 should commit themselves to introducing a Financial Transaction Tax across all major financial centres. We also need to see agreement to the separation of retail and investment banking to address the risks of a finance sector which is too interconnected and too big to fail. Better regulation of rating agencies also remains to be addressed.

Fourth, the meeting in Cannes must send a message to the world that politicians have heard the concerns of their citizens and they understand the scale of the crisis. Living standards are being squeezed, unearned rewards at the top too often create greater inequality, and retrenchment of valued education spending risks undermining the knowledge economies we need for the future. People across the world understand it was flaws in free-market capitalism that caused this crisis. They need to hear the positive case for responsible capitalism which will get us out of it. The role of political leaders is not to protest, it is to set out a different course for the future. Only by doing that will we begin to restore the confidence, the lack of which is holding back the recovery.

As we saw in 2008, a global economic crisis can only be addressed by global economic leadership. There has been precious little of that in evidence in the past 18 months. Now is the time to turn the corner. To set out a plan that addresses the reality of faltering growth and rising unemployment. A plan that faces up to the G20 leaders' first responsibility: the responsibility to lead.

 
 
 
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10:42 PM on 11/02/2011
Labour thinks goverment solves everything. Conservatives think goverment solves nothing. And prove it when they're in power. ( With apologies to PJ O'Rourke) Brussels wants all apples to look the same. Bankers just want the money. Somewhere along the line we lost the plot. i'm stocking up on nuts and honey and hibernating. I just hope there's something left when I wake up.
04:08 PM on 11/02/2011
Quote ... People across the world understand it was flaws in free-market capitalism that caused this crisis. They need to hear the positive case for responsible capitalism which will get us out of it.

Translation ... we want more socialism so the problems can get even more dire. I'd love to hear just one "flaw" of capitalism that caused this problem.
08:35 AM on 11/07/2011
The concept that markets can be left unregulated or lightly regulated, a fundamental principle of NeoLiberal Free Market ideology that has underpinned the last 30 years and led directly to the financial collapse in 2008.

You also clearly don't understand what socialism is, you're probably one of those people who think it's soviet communism or something. Let's be clear, the Free Market has failed- what we are seeing now is a ideological crisis as politicians scurry around looking for either justifications to maintain the old ideology or a new economic settlement. Personally I'm hoping for the latter.
02:39 AM on 11/08/2011
Arron, you completely failed to point out one case where capitalism has failed. You claim it failed. I can claim the sky is green. Neither have evidence. This is not the free market capitalism of free men and free markets, of innovation and hard work and ethics, of sacrifice and of risk. No, this is the capitalism of connections and government bailouts and handouts, of waste and influence peddling and corporate welfare. This is the crony capitalism that destroyed Europe’s economies. It’s the collusion of big government and big business and big finance to the detriment of all the rest. In other words, it's socialism whereas the government seems to believe they can decide what's best for everyone else. No socialist government has ever; nor can it ever stand the test of time. The notion that others will provide for everyone is naive ... no, obtuse. It is YOU sir that fails to understand socialism.
02:49 PM on 11/02/2011
So, whats being stated here is exactly what people such as OWS, OLSE, and others around the world have been saying now for months, or years if you care to read back over public opinion since the eighties, and guess what, our cretins in power are coming to realize the billions worldwide are right to be angry about their lot in life. I'd like to think things will change towards a fair and equal society but going off the track records of those in power I'll not be holding my breath, whether the solutions are reached by the right or the left, it matters nought, but solutions are needed, and fast, for everyones good, not just the idle rich.
04:35 PM on 11/02/2011
You're missing the fact that for the first time in 30 years, Social Democratic Parties across the Western world are waking up from their love affair with neoliberalism.

It would be inconceivable for a Social Democratic leader to say free-market fundamentalism is a failure 5-10 years ago.

Finally, after three decades where they've moved to the Right in an attempt to lure middle-class voters but have instead lost their working-class votes to protectionist, right-wing parties who criticize globalization, they have begun the march to the Left.

Gabriel has called for strict regulation, the separation of investment banks and commercial banks(Glass-Steagall) and a possible nationalization/breaking up of the Big Banks.

Miliband has called New Labour a failure and has already shown himself to be more left-wing than both Blair and Brown. Although, he is too much of a neoliberal still, he needs to show that he is a Democratic Socialist, that he has an alternative to austerity, deregulation, privatization and tax cuts for the rich.

Juholt is the first Social Democrat in Sweden since Olof Palme to criticize neoliberalism, market fundamentalism and right-wing politics. He has called for regulation and state control of electricity, public transport, the pharmaceutical industry, car inspection and the railroads; something which he would have been accused of for being a communist 6 years ago.
01:34 PM on 11/03/2011
Far from missing the point imo, 30 years of hearing the likes of these politicians constantly lying to benefit their own kind at the detriment of the population I'll take a lot of convincing that any soundbite they come up with next is actually of substance or something not to be reneged on in the very near future, fairness should be for all, social democrats/communists/capitalists all want it all their own way, both the far left and far right are completely out of order and both lots have their idiot sympathizers sitting in governments worldwide, once in power we're all back to square one, you can either make a fortune unimpeded the capitalist way or be skint while watching those in power make a fortune the SD way.