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The Problem Isn't Badgers, It's (Politically Led?) Bad Science

Posted: 20/09/2012 00:00

After years of posturing and shadow boxing, it looks like the 'War of the Rurals' has finally begun.

This very week will, extraordinary intervention excepted, see the beginning of a massive badger cull authorised by DEFRA to eradicate Bovine (cattle) TB - aka bTB - across parts of the English countryside which some see as our enduring, unchanging birthright: a place where contented cows, cosy badger setts and comfortable farmers all happily co-exist.

In reality we know the English countryside is no such thing. Of necessity it changes, in its physical shape and in its function, all the time. 'Rural' is by no means essentially 'rustic', but that's not what we like to think.

And so it is with the licenced firearm badger cull to come.

A conservative response
The conservative (little 'c') response to the bovine tuberculosis problem is to start the hunt - a traditional way to extinguish vermin which also happens to be the strategy of choice of significant numbers of Conservative (big 'C') supporters. Sorting it all out in time-honoured mode is in this view the obvious manoeuvre.

Unfortunately it's not really going to work. The National Farmers' Union and the majority of farmers - but not all - may believe that badger culls will do the trick, and a lot of politicians want to keep the farmers onside. And it will probably pay electoral dividends for a while. But longer term this 'solution' is could even make things worse, not better, if by 'better' is meant permanently halting the spread of bovine TB in milk-producing cows.

The evidence-based debate about badger migration ('social perturbation'), natural ('badger impermeable') barriers to habitat, other sources of infection (e.g. deer) and so on rages still. It does not however point to massive cullings as the primary way forward. There's a lot more to it than that: short term 'saving' of public money by passing the buck to individuals (hunters) won't deliver long term.

Extended, expensive and elusive
Lessons more or less learnt from the disastrous 'Foot and Mouth' cow pyres of a while ago, DEFRA and large numbers of scientists have been in a grossly expensive huddle on bTB for several years; the cost (whether justified or not) by now must be incredible. And for a while it looked as though progress might be made. Vaccine development programmes have been scheduled, with the hope that TB would start to be eradicated, perhaps by blanket vaccination, without recurrent recourse to shotguns, gassing, snares or poison.

At least (and at last) it looked like the gold-plated veterinary-political pow-pows would come up with a good result for financially challenged farmers, cows and badgers, all.

Now most of the British trials have been abandoned. The Welsh Government has chosen to continue vaccine development, but overall diminished investment in research suggests conclusive clinical resolution of bTB will remain elusive.

It is strange indeed that a vaccine for TB in humans has been available for years and is, where appropriate, routinely used, whilst one for badgers and / or cows remains beyond our grasp.

Shunning the science
Most farmers, and most politicians, are not scientists. One might imagine that the production of food - which is surely the prime purpose (along with management of the total environment, and land husbandry) of farming - is a strong candidate for the application of science. Verified knowledge is however often trumped by tradition.

Reluctance to adopt the obvious strategy - a TB vaccine for cows - is rooted in costs, regulations and commercial interests around certified 'free from' herds and, say some, premium milk prices. But I, a human mammal, was given TB protection as a child; and so probably were you. The case at every level of governance for more scientific, less 'traditional-action' policies on protecting herds from tuberculosis is strong.

Complex, yes. Retro, why?
The veterinary epidemiology of bovine and badger TB is complex. It involves factors as varied as those already discussed (e.g. badger perturbation patterns) and wider issues such as biosecurity and how factory farm stressors influence infection in cows. And that's before we get to issues around deveoping vaccines: direct costs, timelines and who - very critically - should take the lead on this, whether for badgers or cows.

Nonetheless, acceding to farmers' incessant, voluble (though not unanimous), evidence-denying, 'traditional' demands for a big badger cull, with guns and individual licences, is a backward-looking response to the genuine and serious problem of bovine TB.

We should not be surprised that most farmers in Britain are not scientists and are not, it seems, much interested in what the research has to say.

But science in our food and eco-industries is at least as important as important as in other areas of production. It is worrying that the disinterest in research of farmers also apparently applies to DEFRA ministers - politicians who, with civil service advisers, are supposed to take shape policies and initiatives in accordance with the best evidence and resources they can procure.

If they they were doing so, the badger cull in England would surely not be progressing as currently proposed.

Not cuddly and not competent?
This isn't 'just' about cuddly badgers (actually, they aren't), nor is it 'only' a matter of respect for the natural environment and how these animals for some symbolise green issues (critical though these are).

This is at core about political judgement and leadership. It's about not playing to the gallery. It's about looking to use and enhance validated scientific knowledge, to find real answers and ways forward.

Government ministers may not have training in natural science or environmental studies, but we can reasonably expect them to develop policy underpinned by what, on balance, these disciplines tell us or could tell us. What hope for the future, as food and other natural resources become more stretched against climate change and rising population, if politicians fail to give rational leadership and realistic support even on bovine TB?

The Government's go-ahead for licenced firearm badger culling suggests that science is less important than nebulous notions of ruritania, by-passing state responsibility, and short term political advantage.

Hilary Burrage was previously a member of the DEFRA Science Advisory Council. She writes in a personal capacity.

 

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After years of posturing and shadow boxing, it looks like the 'War of the Rurals' has finally begun. This very week will, extraordinary intervention excepted, see the beginning of a massive badger ...
After years of posturing and shadow boxing, it looks like the 'War of the Rurals' has finally begun. This very week will, extraordinary intervention excepted, see the beginning of a massive badger ...
 
 
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Hilary Burrage
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Hilary Burrage
21:39 on 13/10/2012
Interesting... I don't think this will go away any time soon: ‏@DrBrianMay

#stopthecull we are so close to the number 2 spot on the Government Petition Website. Huge thanks to all of you who have worked on this Brix
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HilaryBurrage
Yes. Same Hilary Burrage as the HuffPost blogger
22:22 on 24/09/2012
Guardian editorial (and comments thereon): Badger cull in the interests of no one: http://scrapunzel.visibli.com/share/3lbYDA ....
'Once again a British government has chosen to seek the best possible scientific advice and then ignore it'

[also letter from Defra Chief Vet & Scientist, arguing the converse: http://scrapunzel.visibli.com/share/3lbYDA]
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sven Storm
Edit your micro-biology.
10:03 on 24/09/2012
Did you see what they're being baited with?!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sven Storm
Edit your micro-biology.
10:01 on 24/09/2012
I'll never see Nutella in the same light.
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HilaryBurrage
Yes. Same Hilary Burrage as the HuffPost blogger
22:06 on 23/09/2012
Some more research which readers may like to consider (note the sum involved, now effectively ?put aside):

http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Default.aspx?Menu=Menu&Module=More&Location=None&ProjectID=10151

Description
Implementation of the Kreb's review recommendation on large scale badger (Meles meles) removal to quantify the effect on the transmission of Mycobacterium bovis from badgers to cattle will result in the clearance of badgers from a number of 100km2 areas. The ecological consequences of the near total removal of a single species is not understood. This proposal seeks to study the effect of badger removal on the food web dynamics of vertebrates (mammals and birds) during the Randomised Culling Trial.

Project Documents
• Final Report : The ecological consequences of removing badgers from an ecosystem (379k)
• Final Report - Annex : Appendix 1 (2762k)
• Final Report - Annex : Appendix 2 (58k)

Time-Scale and Cost
From: 1999 to: 2007

Cost: £1,846,627
13:27 on 21/09/2012
Ms Burrage is absolutely right. The government's policy to license the mass slaughter of badgers has been led by political motives, not science. Slaughtering tens of thousands of badgers will not solve the problem of TB in cattle. What it will do is devastate badger populations, and cost the farming community dearly both in financial terms and in terms of its public reputation. If we as a nation are serious about wanting to control this and other diseases, we need to take a long hard look at the way we farm animals.
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HilaryBurrage
Yes. Same Hilary Burrage as the HuffPost blogger
15:11 on 21/09/2012
Thank you, fishvetmj.
This comment has been removed.
23:04 on 20/09/2012
if we culled half the humans on the planet, the world would be better off.
21:26 on 20/09/2012
I have to tell you all you have been misinformed MI5 have uncovered a plot to flood the country with illeagal hobbits and the fools in westminster have been told they have to find housing for twenty thousand
18:59 on 20/09/2012
they all just like killing things!!! Its sport for the Torries
19:01 on 20/09/2012
HUFF POST>>>>>>>>>>>>whats wrong with my previous statement.???
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sven Storm
Edit your micro-biology.
10:02 on 24/09/2012
I get this ALL the time! My comments must go to China or something.
18:49 on 20/09/2012
i hate the thought of a cull, and have written to my Mp, signed the Brian may petition, and also written to the Prime Minister and Nick Glegg,PLEASE do the same!! They just will not listen!!! Even after the cull they are not going to insist that farmers ONLY buy cattle from within the culled area, so as soon as cattle from outside are bought in, back will be the problem of TB. How stupid is that!!! Its all totally pointless!! The Bourne report, which was a 9year study, said culling will not work .MAKE THEM LISTEN TO YOU< DONT GIVE UP!!!
17:13 on 20/09/2012
The thought of a wide-spread badger cull staring in my home county, Gloucestershire, purely because badgers 'might' be responsible for spreading bovine TB is by any standards, unnecessary, abhorent and an offence against human decency. Never in my lifetime has it been conclusively proved that badgers spread bovine TB - they;ve just been blamed because farmers have not found the real cause. And now it seems the farmers would prefer to cull these wonderful creatures rather than pay for cattle to be innoculated.... so much for farmers wanting to work with the countryside... hypocrites . Common Brian May.... the caring population are with you... !!!!
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Welease Wodewick
What's her name? Virginia Plain!
15:59 on 20/09/2012
I am reminded of a line from a song - "If they hang 'em all, they'll get the guilty - just remember they're gonna hang you too."

After they kill the badgers, what's next on the list - rabbits, foxes, wild birds?

This slaughter will not solve the problem. It may win some Tory votes but, as always, it's wildlife that will pay the price.

This government should be ashamed of itself - if any of it's members knew what shame was.

VP
14:30 on 20/09/2012
I have two farms neighbouring me, we also have badgers in the surrounding woodland. How is it that one farmer has had a serious problem with TB yet the other has never had it?
If it was simply down to badgers surely both farms would suffer.