Karzai's argument that the UK troop increase in Helmand in 2006 created today's insecurity will sting politicians, but what he says is true. I remember the events clearly; I was in Afghanistan at the time.
Prior to 2006 there was no insurgency of note in southern Afghanistan and sporadic fighting in other parts of the country. The model being used was what Conservative minister Rory Stewart - who has spent time considerable in the country - refers to as the light footprint; few troops, a less aggressive posture and a softly-softly approach. The motivations behind the initial invasion are contested - I consider the war wholly avoidable - but it has to be said that this careful approach to occupation was paying off.
The decision to re-focus on Afghanistan was, in my view, partly driven by hubris: Iraq was a failure and the West needed a success story. I was among the first detachment of soldiers from the 16 Air Assault Brigade battle group to reach the country in early 2006. Thereafter, the south of the country was flooded with troops and it was this increased presence that sparked the insurgency we see today.
Apologists for what has happened since tend to use a stock argument that the insurgents are the ones doing the killing and causing instability. This may be the case, but we should be absolutely clear: the insurgency was itself created by the occupation. It's also important to step away from cross-party ideological spin about 'staying the course' because 'our lads have died for us' - this is merely an attempt to justify the next dead or maimed soldier by talking about the last one. This isn't about ideology; this is about chronology.
Before 2006 there was little insurgent activity of note. After 2006 a profound insurgency had developed. What had changed? The number of troops and a new marauding posture dreamed up not by soldiers, but by politicians. The deaths of over 400 UK soldiers and an unknown number of Afghans in this newer, higher tempo war were authored in Downing Street.
The decision, made to regain some kind of political capital from the disaster in Iraq, has merely created another disaster in Afghanistan. Here's an anecdotal example: when I arrived in southern Afghanistan ahead of the main body of soldiers to organize ammunition, the demand for bullets and bombs was low - a few boxes of small-arms rounds here and there. The escalation of violence as troop number increased was such that a few months later so many high explosive 105mm artillery shells were being fired that the theatre stocks simply ran out.
The rates of attrition and casualties soared as the light footprint was replaced with the pounding of boots. Amongst the range of confused headings which were given to the post-2006 effort in Helmand, the claim that troops were there 'peacekeeping' has to be examined in this light. Genuine peacekeeping forces do not traditionally fire so much artillery that they run out of ammunition.
The choice to re-invade Afghanistan in 2006 has proven to be the mother of all bad decisions. It gifted the Taliban and other insurgent elements the role of liberators; we created the support for our own demise among the population.
Karzai is right on this, the insecurity in southern Afghanistan is not home-grown. It was imported by us.
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Hamid Karzai interview: full transcript | World news | guardian.co.uk
Hamid Karzai says security in Helmand better before British troops ...
Hamid Karzai: 'I have to be at the frontline of hardship and hard work ...
Hamid Karzai: security in Afghanistan was better before British ...
Afghan President Hamid Karzai defends Prince Harry over Taliban ...
All those village bazaarss and compounds that now require demining and rebuilding were initially destroyed by ISAF to 'keep the troops safe'. 'Laying waste' is a fairly apt description of what happened, for all the most humane of reasons, of course - good government and little gals in school etc.
Meanwhile the Americans were doing the same thing, in spades, further south.
Most telling however for all the 'sacrifice' and all the reported 'progress', is the evident failure to win.
Good luck with working out that basic concept.
Best wishes Joe, talk soon.
Regards...Ricky
Having him bad-mouth the good guys when there is no apparent alternate around, should he die in a plane crash or something, has to be frustrating to those tasked with reducing the Afghans to 'pacified' status. Let alone his effect on the good news that we're supposed to be hearing in preparation for the retrea ... er drawdown.
No one is going to win hearts and minds arriving with steel fortresses and guns.
The games not over yet ...look at the reults in Indochina. coca cola wins hands down every time,
When will we ever learn?
Of course this doesn't lessen my respect for our troops that went back on additional tours.
Joe has confirmed something that I always feared. How would we feel if a foreign army arrived in our country to "keep the peace"?
However crappy Afghanistan is, its inhabitants have a history of resisting invaders, just ask the Russians.
The Americans can get into whatever expeditions they want, but Tony Blair dragging us into those two totally unjust conflicts against the public's wishes is unforgivable. Then he racks up trillions in debt and opens the borders.
Honestly I can't genuinely think of a good thing he done for this country and I would like to see him in chains.
At 20 I have lost all hope in 'democracy'. If anything I am now leaning further to fascism than fair and elected politicians because they will steal from the public either way. This is coming from an open minded Masters Student, the health of this country in every conceivable measure is looking very poor.