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Nuclear Energy - A Fading Dream

Posted: 9/03/2012 16:07

The meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant one year ago was all the more terrible because it struck Japan as a natural disaster was unfolding.

Around 20,000 people were killed by the earthquake and tsunami. Countless more were injured or forced to flee their homes. Instead of being able to concentrate on responding to this natural disaster, the Japanese authorities had to divert resources to the Fukushima plant.

150,000 people were forced to evacuate their homes. A 20km exclusion zone remains around the plant. High levels of radiation have been recorded in staple food products, such as rice, beef and baby formula. The Japan Centre for Economic Research calculated that compensation and decommissioning would cost between $520bn and $650bn. This will be largely picked up by Japanese taxpayers.

Across the world, the nuclear industry has stalled. Costs are soaring and governments, such as Germany, are phasing out reactors and instead building renewable energy plants.

This year, David Cameron and Nick Clegg have the opportunity to overhaul Britain's electricity system with a new Energy Bill in parliament. They should use the Fukushima anniversary to challenge some of the vested interests that are serving us so badly.

Even before the tragedy in Japan, major investors, such as Citigroup, were questioning the economics of nuclear new build. Now the economics look even worse. The French Audit Court concluded that the new French reactor design was too costly and could not be built in time to solve France's energy crisis. No wonder President Sarkozy was so keen to offload those same reactor designs to David Cameron at a recent meeting in Paris.

The front-runner in April's presidential election, Francois Hollande, has promised to phase out one-third of France's nuclear fleet by 2025. And as European politicians have turned increasingly against nuclear, they have started taking energy efficiency seriously. In Germany politicians plan to reduce electricity demand by 25% by 2050 through energy efficiency.

But the coalition government here in Britain is planning for electricity demand to double over the same period, even though Ministers accept that energy saving is cheaper and greener than building new power stations. The new Secretary of State for Energy Ed Davey is up against the 'big six' energy utilities which, unsurprisingly, want greater demand for energy, because they profit from selling more heat and electricity, not less.

The world is on the verge of a renewable energy boom. More money was invested in renewable electricity generation worldwide in the last two years than in conventional power. This is driven by Germany but similar investment in Britain could benefit manufacturing here and create much needed jobs.

But first the government has to face down the vested interests and vociferous lobbying of the fossil fuel and nuclear industries. The big question is whether they will set Britain on a course to be a leader in the global race for affordable, modern, clean energy? Or will they turn their back on Britain's renewable energy resources and the potential for thousands of home-grown jobs?

 
The meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant one year ago was all the more terrible because it struck Japan as a natural disaster was unfolding. Around 20,000 people were killed by the earthquake and ...
The meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant one year ago was all the more terrible because it struck Japan as a natural disaster was unfolding. Around 20,000 people were killed by the earthquake and ...
 
 
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Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
03:38 on 18/04/2012
Let's hope this is the end of nuclear power.

Nuclear power is trillion dollar cancerous disasters, million year cancerous wastes, and civilization ending proliferation.

rooftop pv solar is cheaper than nukes, wind and waste are half the cost of nukes and waste can backup solar and wind.

There is only 30 years of world's energy available from nukes power source, uranium,

Solar wind and waste are INFINITE!!!!! Forever, till the earth is swallowed by the sun 7 billion years from now!

Solar wind and waste are clean and safe. once the world has mined the minerals needed to make them, we can recycle them forever. Unlike nukes and fossil that must destroy more and more of the earth for their fuels.

Waste bio char empties our dumps, is carbon negative using the char as fertilizer, produces heat, electricity bio oil and bio gas.

Together with efficiency and plug in hybrid commuter vehicles, this is carbon, land and water negative. creates artificial reefs, is distributed, lowering grid loads, uses the same fossil generator infrastructure but with clean fuel without radioactive heavy metals.

Solar panels are 85 cents per W retail! less than 50 cents to make! and getting cheaper.

Solar cheaper than nukes and energy source amounts: http://cleantechnica.com/2011/08/23/solar-power-intro-3-key-solar-power-points-top-solar-power-news/

http://www.ecobusinesslinks.com/solar_panels.htm

Then see what subsidies you can get, there are lots of them: http://www.dsireusa.org/
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Ben Wilson
Might as well laugh while you still can.
15:40 on 11/04/2012
Nuclear power is the way forward, but I have little faith all the very best of safety precautions are taken. When they can claim they can build a facility that could contain the worst kind of explosion and the radition then I will support Nuclear power whole heartedly.

My big gripe is you can't seem to make anyone happy over energy creation. I thought the green movement was also opposed to turbines, dams and solar panels everywhere, or is it the snobs? We could be more realistic and challenge the big guys to deliver on clean coal, to push for full proof nuclear power stations. And people like Nottingham university who want wind turbines can erect them on their site rather than on untouched land.
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Michael Mann
Nuclear Educator
19:47 on 17/03/2012
Actually nuclear energy is our best hope for a bright future.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
13:41 on 20/03/2012
No: it's your (singular) best hope of a bright retirement package.

You'll be long dead before the finance costs of its new construction, or the likely costs of the recovery from the next accident, come due.
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Michael Mann
Nuclear Educator
16:30 on 20/03/2012
America’s reactors operated at an average capacity factor of less than 60 percent. That means that the average plant spent 40 percent of that year not producing electricity. Today, reactors routinely exceed 90 percent capacity factors. This has resulted in low-cost, reliable electricity. And because the cost of fuel makes up a small percentage of actual costs, nuclear power prices do not vary over the lifetime of the plant. Best of all, these benefits are buoyed by increasing safety.
http://blog.heritage.org/2012/03/16/more-to-the-story-on-nuclear-power-and-cheap-natural-gas/
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Michael Mann
Nuclear Educator
16:34 on 20/03/2012
NuScale’s partnership with Fluor Corp. helps level the playing field for the small Corvallis company. With annual revenues of $23 billion and a track record of heavy construction projects around the globe, Fluor has no trouble going head to head with the big boys.

That, says Lorenzini, has given NuScale a major jolt of credibility with potential customers.

“We’re backed by a blue-chip company that has nuclear experience,” he said. “Everybody knows with them behind us we have the ability to deliver our product.”

And for its part, Fluor believes it’s backing a winner. If NuScale’s technology wins NRC approval, it will mean a big payday for both firms.

“Both Fluor and NuScale have potential clients interested in SMR technology and its advantages for providing base-load power generation,” Fluor spokesman Brian Mershon said.

“We believe that NuScale’s technology is best of class, and we hope to provide full engineering, procurement and construction services for clients’ nuclear power generation needs in the future.”

Read more: http://www.gazettetimes.com/news/local/back-in-the-race/article_f77f6092-5405-5c02-86b5-e1c9cbca121c.html#ixzz1pfwcKYCR
http://www.gazettetimes.com/news/local/back-in-the-race/article_f77f6092-5405-5c02-86b5-e1c9cbca121c.html
16:54 on 11/03/2012
The meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant one year ago was all the more terrible because it struck Japan as a natural disaster was unfolding.

It would be more correct to say that it struck because there was an inadequate risk analysis of the dangers from a tsumani leading to an inadequate reactor design. Japan has a long history of large Tsunamis so there is no excuse.
This reactor is located on the same side of Japan as one of the world's most active undersea plate boundaries. Not only was it badly placed but did not have the systems in place or was of a design that would prevent core meltdown from a large tsunami. The risk analysis should have included loss of mains power and flooding of local back-up generation equipment to keep the core temperature down and seen as inadequate. There are designs of reactor that do not rely on active cooling. Alternatively the back-up power generation could have been protected from flooding. There are many ways of coming up with an adequate design that would have stood an extremely large Tsunami..

I suspect they wanted a cheap design which a proper risk analysis would not have given them so did not look too deeply.
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John Brian Shannon
02:42 on 13/03/2012
Of course, TEPCO, the operator of the Fukushima nuclear plant knew full well and exactly what it would take to upgrade that plant, which was constructed starting in 1967 and was commissioned on March 26, 1971.

Upgrading 1960's nuclear power plants is expensive - billion-dollar expensive. They knew what to do, how to do it and that it should be done. It was just far to expensive to ever contemplate. Which is why it was never attempted.

Modern nuclear power plants are about 1000 times safer than 1960's technology reactors with a hodge-podge patchwork of new technologies added over the decades, by different corporations and maintenance teams. Fukushima Daichi had some 1960's tech, 1970's tech, 1980's tech, 1990's tech... are you getting the idea? It was already on "borrowed time".

If we have the choice of shutting down 1950's, 1960's, 1970's and 1980's nuclear power plants BEFORE they fail, and replacing them with brand-new smaller, modular nuclear power plants - then that is an astronomically-safer option, than allowing all those old plants to be run into the ground.

See my blog on that exact topic:
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-brian-shannon/modular-nuclear-reactors_b_1308276.html

Small and unobtrusive, modular nuclear power plants have simple redundancy built right in, such as gravity-feed cooling, etc...

Cheers! JBS
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Atoms4Peace1
Applying the atom peacefully since 1978
06:41 on 12/04/2012
If it cost 3 billion dollars to upgrade a 40 year plant with one lear left, you do the math. It was bad luck the 1000 year tsunami hit in its last year.

We still fly in vintage planes, drive vintage cars, and yes they crash and people die. Its a risk based world we live in.
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niumarmion
a temporary being
13:52 on 11/03/2012
Nuclear energy does not threaten extinction on a planetary scale like climate change does. Nuclear energy is a significant solution to climate change.
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22:03 on 11/03/2012
Only if nothing goes wrong. And unfortunately, when things go wrong in a nuclear plant, they tend to do so quite spectactularly. An arm falling off a wind turbine or a solar panel giving up the ghost doesn't have quite the same impact.
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Pete Speller
14:47 on 14/03/2012
As old power stations in the UK are taken offline we face a shortfall in our energy requirements. Nuclear power cannot come online in time to make up for this. The first of the proposed new reactors in the UK won't be ready until 2020, assuming it manages to avoid the massive delays and increased costs pretty much every other build of this type of reactor (EPR) has faced. According to the Sustainable Development Commission, even if all 10 reactors are built this will only cut CO2 emissions by 4%.
There is no cheaper, cleaner, commercially viable solution to this energy shortfall - one that will bring down energy bills and CO2 emissions and that can be implemented now - than renewable energy and energy efficiency.
21:36 on 10/03/2012
Reading this article, I must ask one question. Why does Iran insist on nuclear power? It's expesive. It requires a pheonomenal amount of water, which Iran does not have? And how will global climate change affect Iran's ability to produce nuclear energy?

Solar power would be a far wiser alternative for Iran. Abu Dhabi, Iran's neighbor, is already investing heavily in solar. Iran should do the same.
22:49 on 10/03/2012
Iran isn't interested in nuclear energy but in nuclear weaponry. One is a front to enable the other.
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22:07 on 11/03/2012
Iran already has a huge solar farm at Shiraz and another major combined solar / gas plant at Yazd. Ironically, it seems that Iran's drive towards nuclear energy has been fuelled (no pun intended) by the concerted efforts of the west to prevent it -- thereby making it more a prestige project than a necessity.
16:31 on 10/03/2012
Through sites like this, Greenpeace and its associates have to be more forceful in their arguments. Opposition to the green movement is now horribly aggressive.

People need to see the alternatives spelled out clearly and simply. We are passed the stage of appealing to our emotions. It is time to talk facts and figures.

You want wind-power? Where, when, what quantity, how much will it cost, how many jobs will it create? What form and amount of subsidy is required?

With respect to energy saving or other forms of generation we need the same data.

And we need it to be concise and clear. And we need it to be the same from every environmental movement and the green Party.

We do not need links to big documents. We need short sharp articles that keep us informed so that policies - easily understood are easily propagated.

What are all your green press officers and new media folk doing? Get with the program.
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John Brian Shannon
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John Brian Shannon
03:52 on 13/03/2012
And another link for you. It's a very informative website, well worth a visit!

http://www.palmsprings.com/services/wind1.html

"Wind Energy as a Significant Source of Electricity"

R. Gerald Nix
National Renewable Energy Laboratory

"Wind energy is a commercially available renewable energy source, with state-of-the-art wind plants producing electricity at about $0.05 per kWh. However, even at that production cost, wind-generated electricity is not yet fully cost-competitive with coal- or natural-gas-produced electricity for the bulk electricity market. The wind is a proven energy source; it is not resource-limited in the United States, and there are no insolvable technical constraints. This paper describes current and historical technology, characterizes existing trends, and describes the research and development required to reduce the cost of wind-generated electricity to full competitiveness with fossil-fuel-generated electricity for the bulk electricity market. Potential markets are described."

Cheers! JBS
10:50 on 13/03/2012
Thank you.
12:59 on 10/03/2012
Nuclear is safe! if you ignore windscale (renamed sellafield after the meltdown) 3 mile island, chernoble and fukushima.

One is to many, when will we learn? just how bad does it have to get before we do.

If the brave men at fukushima had not been prepared to risk their lives the whole industry would be finished along with most of japan and great many innocent human beings across the hemisphere.
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Laurent Wagner
11:56 on 10/03/2012
It's time to save energy.

- LED bulbs use 80% less power and last 25 times longer.

- A super insulated house needs virtually no heating or cooling.

- A heat reflective window rejects up to 97% of the sun's infrared light in the summer et reduce air conditioning costs.

- A solar water heating system can save 50-75% of the water heating cost.

- A ice storage air-condit­­­ioning system will use 30%-50% less energy than convention­­­al air-condit­­­ioning system. It makes ice at night, and uses that ice during the day to cool the building.

- In a car, replacing steel by aluminium can reduce the body mass by around 40 % without compromisi­­­ng safety.

- A propeller-­­­driven aircraft cuts fuel bills by 30%.

- Tankers fitted with sail will burn between 10% and 60% less fuel.

- Freight trains are using 3 times less fuel than trucks.
Double stack freight trains are 5 times more efficient than trucks.
Freight barges are using 9 times less fuel than trucks.
16:34 on 10/03/2012
Excellent post. Fanned. We need the facts again and again. Thanks for this.
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George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
21:20 on 10/03/2012
Very informative post, mate. F & F from Australia.
11:54 on 10/03/2012
Oh Dear!! If it is Nuclear it goes bang and your hair falls out?
It takes 30.000 years for the waste to be safe?
How many people died from the Fuushima 'Meltdown' ?
How many people died from the tsunami?
Why, why are there people so worried about the effects of nuclear power station waste, when they do not give a damn about two or three generations down the line?
Nuclear power is and always was our only real option for energy in an ever expanding world population.
There Is and never was any such thing as 'green' energy.
There is and never was such a thing as the much bandied about word 'Sustainable;
The only 'Green' product is made from stone!
Wake up and smell the coffee people!
You cannot sustain an ever increasing population or ever increasing economy on 'Sustainable' !!Pleae go to...cugerbrant.co.uk and see what you are hiding from!!
21:04 on 10/03/2012
I agree with you on most points Cuger Brant.
Nuclear energy is currently our only choice. It will prove a useful stopgap while realistic green technologies are perfected (current estimates are currently 30 years). Nuclear power is green (based solely on emissions) and climate change is not just a buzzword, it's a real problem that needs real solutions. Nuclear power (in the short term) is the answer! But this model needs to be rolled out with strict global policy and in order for the effective reduction in emissions. There IS such a thing as green, it just has not been backed effectively by governments! You want proof? Ask me, I believe my position in life enables me to have an unbiased opinion...
08:30 on 11/03/2012
Ben, with respect, please show me green.
The only reason I seem critical is because of all the 'Green wash' with self interest in jumping on the green bandwagon I read about.
To my mind, nuclear power needs conformity worldwide to enable good regulation, safety and control.
Please read my comments on ‘Green wash’...Http://cugerbrant@live.co.uk
You will see where I am coming from.
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George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
21:26 on 10/03/2012
You are ignoring the spent fuel rods that have to be stored and cooled right above the reactor. The USA has a staggering weight of these stored at everyone of there many reactors, most sited within suburban populations.

It was these that exploded at Fukishima.

People here in Australia are still dying from the British nuclear tests at Maralinga. My dad was a victim.

Forget nuclear
08:42 on 11/03/2012
George, with respect: Nuclear energy and atomic testing for nuclear weapons are two distinctively separate issues. One of my brothers drowned, but I do not condemn hydropower. I am sincerely not being facetious by that fact, but trying to bring logic to this ‘Nuclear is ‘evil’ debate. By all the logic of this argument; fire is ‘evil’ so are cars etc... They cause huge death tolls but when managed and controlled benefit mankind.
The adage ‘Fire is a good slave but a bad master’ also applies to nuclear power. Can you see where I am coming from?
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
08:47 on 10/03/2012
"Germany, are phasing out reactors and instead building renewable energy plants"

nuclear are not renewable and require something called uranium to be mined. Those mines don't work on electricity so they need fossil fuels to run. The concrete for the reactor takes lots of construction energy as well. At the end the amount of electricity nuclear produces is clean but is not offset by all the pollution created while building it. Nuclear waste then lasts 30,000 years or whatever.

Epic fail. On every level it's a Ponzi scheme of "renewable" energy.

The $40 Billion or whatever cost overrun the taxpayer has to put up (as they are uneconomic otherwise) would be better spent making homes and commercial properties self sufficient via thermal geo exchange.

Convert 100,000 homes a year only costs about $2 billion a year on a $20,000 geothermal installation. Those jobs are local and cannot be exported because you physically live there. Now how about that same $40 Billion instead going to the actual taxpayer dwellings and not the Ponzi private operations of a dying idea? That would be even ethical.

As well it would build an industry rather than a dependency, as each home would then be resilient to long term costs. Power companies wouldn't be needed at the same scale and the power lines won't need to be replaced because there would be lower load.

Solutions work and exist. Mental energies fixated on the 20th century are a loss
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
10:24 on 16/03/2012
Let's say low-carbon rather than renewable.

The construction energy is a small part of the power produced by any power plant. If this was not the case, it would never pay for itself (nuclear likely won't, but not for this reason).

Ground-source heat pumps are no much good in the UK, as houses are typically packed too closely. Air source heat pumps are fine.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
11:29 on 16/03/2012
I think it's a question of degree. Go deep for heat but near the surface is quite cool. Thus both heating and cooling can be met on a local house scale or a larger area rather than industrial widespread one. Hydrothermal for example given that underwater it's cooler than the ambient air puts cities by water with available air conditioning. We have something like that in Toronto called Deep Lake Water Cooling. Saves us from needing a gas fired plant in the downtown core. On land as well 5 meters down it's 12 C, so there's the air conditioning. Thermal seems to be refused by governments and business alike because it would seem to eliminate most of the profiteering for an energy company. Implementing geothermal on houses even as a building code requirement just like a sewage pipe would make a big difference over time. German company puts a pipe in parallel to the sewage pipe and gets cooler air that way for instance. Lots of variations on a theme.

I had read a lot about UK designs on wave generation but not heard much lately. Being surrounded by water and given the temperature differential between surface and depth has a lot going for it versus other countries that have to drill. As this is only dealing with a temperature difference it's not adding to or subtracting from the environment on the same scales as destructive systems.

A $2 Billion investment to 100,000 homes makes a faster difference
04:29 on 10/03/2012
The problem is that Green energy is its Cost Prohibitive and Solar panels, Wind power, barely manages to break even before its operational Life Cycle is exhausted and thats only if Hydro rates take a steep increase. In Ontario our rates are skyrocketing thanks to the Libreral Governments lack of a longterm Electricity plan and their move toward green energy while not reinvesting in Nuclear. The result is that a one time manufacturing power house is slowly being erroded down to nothing our current hydro rates are 5 times that of our closest neighbours who is going to build a manufacturing facility in Ontario especially when Hydro rates used to be our big advantage. Well at least this time Ontario freezing in the Dark is at least home made.
20:05 on 10/03/2012
In Ontario, your electricity rates are skyrocketing because of your "debt retirement charge." A fee levied on current customers for energy used 20 years ago from nuclear power plants that were built, but never paid for.

http://www.thestar.com/business/article/1056051--parties-keep-quiet-on-ontario-s-nuclear-future

With the Ontario FIT program for renewables, all of your energy costs will be paid by ratepayers in 20 years or less, as we would expect from any energy source that that doesn't mandate huge taxpayer subsidies to get power plants built. Up front bills for up front costs, unlike nuclear which requires huge public subsidies to be paid back over 40 - 60 years (in some instances, over time periods longer than the operating lifetime of the power plants).
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John Brian Shannon
03:03 on 13/03/2012
Well, here is a wind farm that has been producing reliable wind power for over 20 years, for $0.05 per kw/Hr.

There are no problems there, it is a smooth operation. I used to live nearby, there is no noise, or unsightliness due to it's location. It also has a very informative website.

http://www.palmsprings.com/services/wind1.html

Cheers! JBS
02:05 on 10/03/2012
In addition to "green" energy sources that include wind, solar, solar thermal, tidal, and wave systems, the world should pick up research that was done in the US and that is now being deployed in China and deploy the inherently safe pebble bed reactor that doesn't depend on cooling water. The technology exists. As to waste disposal: if we take care of the next 175 years (seven generations) in that time, they'll be able to deal with another seven.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
08:50 on 10/03/2012
building a technology that inherently requires another generation to pick up the mess isn't ethical.
20:12 on 10/03/2012
Dumping a ton of PCBs in my neighborhood river is also a contamination concern that would likely be mitigated over time by "someone else" or by natural bioremediation processes over time. This doesn't mean the practice should be recommended?
01:02 on 10/03/2012
Who is responsible for the doubling of energy demands? Who is having lots of babies? Who refuses to respect the fact that this country, England, is on average one of the most densely-populated areas on earth? We don't need yet another global (I mean Europe minus Asia), pollution tax. We need common sense.

We can all cut back until we're powering our i-Pads from rubbing our hands - it does not address the real issue. It's just yet another incentive to make a profit out of misery.

Hey folks.. funny how this came about shortly after there were concerns over the purported "facts" for global warming.
00:34 on 10/03/2012
So basically this says "Nuclear is bad, so instead everyone should start using green energy." It is great and all that he doesn't believe in nukes but what does he recommend replacing them with "green power plants"? What is that? Solar is a joke: it destroys huge swaths of habitat, only works when the sun is shining (in england that is never), and isn't very effective when the sun is shining. Wind is also a fantasy: destroys habitat, endangered species bird strikes are a huge issue, only works when the wind is blowing, and no one wants it near their homes. Another huge issue is getting connecting these circuses to the grid. The only reason these things get built is through government subsidies being just enough to to make them profitable and then the government insuring the projects which basically eliminates risk. We either need to grow up and embrace natural gas and nukes and other hydrocarbons or go back to living in huts.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
08:57 on 10/03/2012
Except cars and buildings kill more birds than any windmill. A city sitting still kills more birds. Windmills just don't kill that many. As technology increases their deaths decline. Can't say that for buildings or cars.

From Guardian: Daniel Green, chief executive of HomeSun. "According to a report from Element Energy to be published in the next few weeks, the Fits cost around £220m yearly but generate £280m in taxes (jobs and VAT). Why cut a programme that is making money and making the green revolution accessible to everyday consumers?"
17:56 on 10/03/2012
And when the hydrocarbons run out, and you can't run your nuke plants as load following plants ... what do you do then? Go back to our proverbial hut, since all the engineers of the world must be in on the joke too (and we know how much they like telling stories anyways). By your logic, it sounds like we all make it back to our huts no matter what path we take?