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Jon-Christopher Bua

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Iowa's Mixed Me$$age

Posted: 04/01/12 22:57 GMT

Although we now have a winner in Iowa - Mitt Romney beat Rick Santorum by eight votes and Ron Paul came in a very close third place - we may also have a real loser in this Iowa quadrennial contest, the American voter.

Romney came into the Hawkeye State with tons of money, organisational talent and did what he could not do in 2008 - he won Iowa.

By doing so he is possibly set to make Republican history as the only non-incumbent Republican nominee who will have won both Iowa and New Hampshire.

He may also have done something else - proved that retail politics may be a few short breaths from being completely dead in the future in Iowa and beyond - totally silenced by cash and ads.

To his credit Rick Santorum did it the old fashioned way by pounding the pavement, shaking hands and kissing babies in community centers, churches and every Pizza Ranch Restaurant in the state.

In addition to the tons of cash Romney's campaign spent in Iowa, he also had some help from some very well funded like minded friends.

Although not legally connected, Romney garnered help from Restore Our Future, a well funded SuperPac staffed with former Romney aides, focusing unlimited amounts of money on ad buys just outside the scrutiny of campaign finance regulations but within the limits of the law.

Restore Our Future is just one example of the SuperPac phenomenon that has sprung up since the Supreme Court's Citizens United decision - in essence establishing 'free speech rights for corporations and wealthy individuals who associate in a legal entity called a political action committee - PAC.

Money is said to be the mother's milk of campaign politics and this first in the nation contest proves there will be unlimited amounts of it pouring in from these SuperPacs.

In fact, in this race the campaigns so far are calculated to have spent the following amounts per vote: Perry spent $468 per vote and placed fifth, Gingrich spent $77 per vote and came in fourth place, Paul spent $107 per vote and placed third, Rick Santorum spent $19 per vote and came in second and Romney spent $143 per vote and placed first.

This Iowa Caucus will be remembered for a few things - the razor thin Romney victory and the surprise second place finish by Santorum and how candidate Michele Bachmann can win the Iowa Straw Poll in the heat of the Iowa summer, but must leave vanquished in the chilling reality of January.

It will also be remembered as the first time we see the impact of the Citizens United Supreme Court decision in the first real political contest.

As every candidate has had their rather rare moment in the sun as the leader, this time one of the decisive factors in this contest has been outside money from SuperPacs who have been created as a result of the Citizens United decision.

The Citizens United Supreme Court decision allows corporations and wealthy individuals to give unlimited amounts of money to SuperPacs who can support or attack candidates without any disclosure about where the money is coming from or what their real motivation is in the election process.

Perhaps even more importantly these technically un-affiliated entities can do a candidate's dirty work without leaving their candidate's fingerprints on the dirty deeds as they and their families stay well above the fray.

This decision was possible because of the conservative members of the Supreme Court -Kennedy, Roberts, Scalia, Alito and Thomas - who thought this was indeed a fair interpretation of the US Constitution to hold that this was a free speech issue - and that basically 'corporations are people too.'

The decision was a pet project of the top Republican establishment who wanted it to 'level the playing field' for the Republicans.

This Republican goal was designed to allow their party to create SuperPacs of their wealthiest donors to defeat the Democrats and their organised Labour bedfellows.

So it is perhaps one of the greatest ironies that Newt Gingrich, who was a firm supporter of the Citizens United decision, was its first political casualty.

The result here is that one SuperPac came to Iowa and blanketed the airwaves with many of the ads aired.

These came from the same guy who was responsible for creating the infamous Willie Horton ad which crippled Mike Dukaksis presidential campaign in 1988.

As a result this SuperPac completely deflated Gingrich's balloon moving his numbers from 25 to 13 on caucus night and is arguably responsible for the good fortune of both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum.

£17 million were spent in advertising in Iowa and of those 1,746 ads that ran 1,746 were considered negative.

Many of these ads targeted Gingrich, who the Romney team perceived as his only real challenger and were purchased ironically by the SuperPac Restore Our Future.

Although some attribute Santorum's rise to his old fashioned 'pressing of the flesh' in all 99 counties in Iowa, there is another theory.

Once Newt sunk, Republicans who did not want Romney went looking for the last man left standing - who in this contest was Rick Santorum.

Although Santorum was not the obvious charismatic choice, he is a true conservative and shares the values of the important Christian Evangelical base here in Iowa - even though he is Roman Catholic.

Santorum shares their values, holds their core beliefs and they can relate to him. Perhaps even more important, he had great timing.

Luckily for him he peaked just before the caucuses and was not really vetted by the media or attacked by the other candidates so there was little or no obvious negative information that the voters could chew on as they went to the causes.

Showing additional humility Santorum, himself acknowledged the unlikely nature of his meteoric raise.

On Tuesday night in his concession-like speech, Gingrich laid down the gauntlet for Romney and Paul and gave Santorum the tip of a hat - all but an outright endorsement.

Santorum now has momentum and a gift from Gingrich - a foil who has his sights set on Romney.

On 3 January , we saw what could be the end of what remains of democracy as we know it, the equivalent of a corporate take over of the election process - where the chosen candidate of big business will ultimately win.

Although Santorum almost pulled off a David against Goliath feat, this could be the last time.

After all, these SuperPacs are just getting their political feet wet - just wait till the general election begins.

If any apathetic voter needs some motivation this is proof positive that elections have consequences.

Since the results of the presidential election of 2000 the composition of the Supreme Court has been altered dramatically - the Citizens United decision is just one example of those consequences.

There is a reason why the average US Citizen is concerned about the state of American Democracy.

Both the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street are different but equally powerful expressions of that concern.

The question is - with all that 'mother's milk' floating around, might it be too late?

This blog can also be read on Sky News

 
Although we now have a winner in Iowa - Mitt Romney beat Rick Santorum by eight votes and Ron Paul came in a very close third place - we may also have a real loser in this Iowa quadrennial contest, th...
Although we now have a winner in Iowa - Mitt Romney beat Rick Santorum by eight votes and Ron Paul came in a very close third place - we may also have a real loser in this Iowa quadrennial contest, th...
 
 
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07:50 PM on 01/05/2012
I despise the "Supreme Court's" ruling on this Menace To Democracy, but nonetheless, I understand that voters are STILL able to vote for the candidate of their choice.

If voters are swayed by negative advertising and abandon their candidate because of it, then they were not fully committed to that candidate in the first place.
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philhellene
Far Left and Proud of It!
03:06 PM on 01/05/2012
"This candidate brought to you by (fill in corporate name here)."

The American voter/citizen: a dying species, trotted out every few years, only tolerated by the corporate elite, at least until they can devise a way to disenfranchise it completely.
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NCScientist
St. Ronnie raised taxes eleven times...
01:12 PM on 01/05/2012
Great article.
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parlimentMike
Terrorists keep you in fear
12:38 PM on 01/05/2012
The Democratic President has occupied the Right, he does everything a traditional conservative Right-winger would do. While this does disenfranchise a majority of the voters, who are actually to the Left of Right, it is of no concern to Obama because to prove that they are to the Right of Obama, the only remaining room for his opponents is on the lunatic fringe.

As a result of this unnatural tilting of the political landscape, there is nothing to be taken from the Republican primary except pity on America.

Romney and Obama are not different in governance. If Romney wins the nomination he should just run on Obama's platform and let the People decide if they want a Republican Republican, or a Democratic Republican, or if maybe this year it's time to stop making the same mistake, and vote for the policies we want instead of just the party we wished was still on our side.
07:50 PM on 01/05/2012
Obama is NOT a Right Winger.
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parlimentMike
Terrorists keep you in fear
10:44 PM on 01/05/2012
You are what you do not what you say.
02:28 AM on 01/05/2012
Indeed it takes money to be heard in politics, and it takes money to destroy your opponent with an expensive bombardment of negative ads. In a matter of less than two weeks Gingrich went from being the leading candidate to fourth, losing over half of his support. So, yes this SuperPac very quickly changed a good number of Republican voter's mind and essentially neutralized Rommey's principal threat in the primaries. In November we are likely to see over a billion dollars spent on either side to win the White House. We will be so bombarded that we might become zombies or perhaps absolutely disgusted. My advice is get educated about the candidates and ignore the negative ads. Find out what is their agenda, Do their values coincide with yours? Ultimately, is the voter's choice, each vote a very precious and powerful tool which only YOU can cast. But vote you must, failing to do so is a slap in the face on all those who did the ultimate sacrifice to preserve our right to vote.
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modeforjoe
We had the experience, but we missed the meaning
02:08 AM on 01/05/2012
The intelligence, critical faculties and discernment of the average American voter is what is in question here.

The money takes advantage of our collective Neanderthal state, but the money alone is not the problem.

The problem is that our schools have not produced citizens who know history, read current events, and who can tell a liar and fake from an authentic prospective leader.

In most respects, Americans are masses and not fit to participate in a democratic process in a meaningful way.

So stop bitching about money. The problem will persist, whether you get rid of the money or not.

Maybe the idea of democracy itself is a failed idea.
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Julie Baker Morse
Mostly harmless
06:27 AM on 01/05/2012
I agree that, until we restore instruction in critical thinking to public education, just removing the private money from politics won't work. Restoring America and eliminating government corruption is kind of like a game of Jenga; there's a lot of interlocking pieces. Pulling one doesn't always make the tower fall, but if you pull the pieces critical to the support of the system, the flaws are revealed and the tower crumbles. The system of government we have CAN work, provided that we seek out and eliminate its flaws, along with the flawed pieces of American society that contribute to the maintenence of the corrupt system.
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Julie Baker Morse
Mostly harmless
06:45 AM on 01/05/2012
For instance, teach kids [and their parents] to think critically and evaluate sources of information for credibility.

Slap requirements on the media; in order to label themselves as a news source, they must present all relevant facts without bias, otherwise they get to be "News: Just Kidding!".

Implement mandatory public campaign financing, with equal media time for each, but limited to issue ads. Donations from private sources, if any, could be directed to a specific candidate, but could not increase the amount that candidate receives. Issue ads only from PACs and SuperPACs.

Enact strict term limits; no more than 4 years per term, with a minimum of 20 years between terms.

Require at least one Senator and half the Congressmen from each state to meet income eligibility; income would have to be equal to or less than that of the average American worker during the previous term.

Government officials must place all stocks, etc. into a mandatory trust upon election for a duration of 8 years; any increase higher than the average American portfolio increase must be donated to a REAL charity [not the fake ones they use for tax breaks that give them their money back] before that person could dissolve the trust.
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Kevin Rayburn
GET YOUR GOVERNMENT OUT OF MY LIVINGROOM
08:00 AM on 01/05/2012
i agree with your statements except i would forbid any campaign financing what-so-ever, if the politican is not willing to walk a few miles and shake a few thousand hands and actually see what his happening outside his/her castle they are not going to be qualified for the duties of the job they are trying to get but then i am quite cynical and have basically given up on our leaders.
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Binea
Only a fool denies she is a fool, I am no fool
01:28 AM on 01/05/2012
I think it is all rigged ,I really do.I think America has a sham Democracy..much like Russia now
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Kevin Rayburn
GET YOUR GOVERNMENT OUT OF MY LIVINGROOM
07:56 AM on 01/05/2012
i have been convinced of what you are saying for years now.
12:13 AM on 01/05/2012
I still feel like Ron Paul secured such a large victory in getting so many delegate positions to go his way. I, for one, will continue to campaign in support of Ron Paul.
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Binea
Only a fool denies she is a fool, I am no fool
01:29 AM on 01/05/2012
I will support him even Beyond the election.