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After Libya, the UN Must Adopt a More Reasonable Approach to Post Conflict Resolutions

Posted: 13/01/2012 00:00

Those expecting UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon to use his second term as a period of quiet consolidation, before beginning the slow process of winding down, were in for a surprise as the New Year began.

The 67 year old instead announced his priorities, aimed primarily at fostering the Arab Spring and helping the process of democratisation globally. Ambitious, as well as risky, Ban has the confidence of knowing that he will not have to seek election again, and he also knows that his agenda is both hugely relevant and popular. The Secretary General has nailed his colours to the mast as essentially a 'man of the people'.

Beleaguered despots throughout the Middle East and beyond now know that the United Nations will not be silent when the human rights of their citizens are abused. And Ban has not been slow in defending the record of the United Nations in Libya, particularly Resolution 1973. Had the UN Security Council, under Ban's leadership, not moved to institute that resolution and 'Responsibility to Protect', Colonel Gadaffi would have likely proceeded with his threat to dismantle Libya's second city, Benghazi, brick by brick.

For the record UN Security Council Resolution 1973 passed with 10 votes in favour, with five abstentions (Brazil, China, Germany, India, Russian Federation). It authorised member States to take all necessary measures to protect civilians under threat of attack in the country, including Benghazi, while excluding a foreign occupation force of any form on any part of Libyan territory. It also requested those countries taking military action individually or collectively "to immediately inform the Secretary-General of such measures". Furthermore the resolution requested "that Member States should inform the Secretary-General immediately of the measures they take" and UN teams "will assess conditions and advise on humanitarian needs and threats in all areas affected by the conflict."

The military success of NATO in Libya does not mean that the UN will necessarily countenance similar tactics in altogether more complex Syria. Nor is Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and the UN going to allow itself to be conveniently shoe horned into being depicted as agents for forcible regime change. Libya was in some respects a special case. However, what is apparent is that despite the UN's best endeavours Libya remains an unstable state and is still a threat to itself and the wider international community. The towns and oilfields are now littered with even more lethal unexploded ordinance than that which still remains from World War Two.

And this is where the UN's post conflict dilemma lies; how does it determine the likely long term effect of Resolution 1973? How much thought and planning has gone into cleaning up after the conflict has taken place? And what can the UN do to encourage the international community, and specifically members of the UN Security Council to destroy unexploded mines and bombs and collect the guns and ammunition before they end up in another giant arms bazaar?

In the case of Libya very little has been done to prevent weapons getting into the wrong hands. "We have been one of the main beneficiaries of the revolutions in the Arab world," Mokhtar Belmokhtar, a leader of the north Africa based Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb [AQIM], told the Mauritanian news agency ANI. He made this claim days after the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution calling on Libya and its neighbours to secure the loose weapons - including some 20,000 man-portable surface-to-air missiles - before they fell into the hands of terrorists. The resolution specifically mentioned AQIM as a dangerous potential beneficiary.

Perhaps today's political leaders need to understand that while the military option may be an option of last resort, it is nonetheless a political decision that authorises military action. It follows that political leaders should therefore take responsibility for clearing up after they have achieved their military objectives. And if they don't, the United Nations needs to be able to ensure that they do.

Sadly, now that the UN mission in Libya has apparently been accomplished, the Libya Contact Group partners seem more eager to claim their economic spoils. France's Total has been promised to double their share of Libyan oil to 35%, Italy's Eni has provided Libya with a new Oil Minister and Anglo-America's BP and Exxon Mobil are ready to get for major expansion.

While the large Western corporations move back into Libya, Libyans seem unlikely to hand in weapons or help remove mines that protect their townships until their overall safety and security situation has been improved.

Until this does begin to happen Libyan civilians and foreign oil company workers will remain at risk and the country's economic recovery will remain on hold until the land is cleared of unwanted weapons and armed militias. Offering Western expertise in conflict resolution is unlikely to be taken remotely seriously by ordinary Libyans.

In light of the lessons learned by Libya's Arab Spring, it is now time that UN member states adopt a more responsible approach to the aftermath of UN resolutions that authorise military action and post conflict resolution.

That approach may have to come from UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon who is not afraid of showing leadership and sometimes spelling out some uncomfortable truths.

 

Follow Mark Seddon on Twitter: www.twitter.com/MarkSeddon1962

Those expecting UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon to use his second term as a period of quiet consolidation, before beginning the slow process of winding down, were in for a surprise as the New Year b...
Those expecting UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon to use his second term as a period of quiet consolidation, before beginning the slow process of winding down, were in for a surprise as the New Year b...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rbenjamin
Rule 5 rules
05:52 PM on 01/15/2012
I suspect the Secretary General is reasonably pleased with the outcome and not inclined to make major changes.

The UN has no organic military power. It cobbled together a mandate, gave NATO the ball and told them to run it. No occupation, which NATO wasn't about to get involved with anyway.

Given limited air/sea commitment, the plausible outcomes to NATO military action were regime change and partition of Libya. NATO got regime change and it might end up with partition as well. The latter wouldn't end the world as we know it.

If they didn't before, despots know the UN will authorize military action if the fruit is hanging low enough. They also know that they can't count on blackballing military response with the specter of inevitable Iraq style occupation and.

NATO action in Libya didn't create the World Arms Bazaar. The 20K of mostly obsolete, Soviet era MANPADS added to hundreds of thousands already on the shelves. No sea change, and no easy solutions to decades of neglect.

I would be nice if sponsors took responsibility for cleaning up the unexploded ordnance, but not if this involves long term occupation. In fairness, it's likely most of the unexploded stuff didn't come from airstrikes.

Kadhafi never invested well in his people. Libya couldn't run its oil industry before the war, and won't be able to get it going again without foreign expertise. Who gets the contracts will probably change, but no change in dependency over the short term.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Philip J Sparrow
When your work speaks for itself, keep quiet
03:39 PM on 01/15/2012
The Responsibility to Protect report did go beyond outlining the situations in which it would be necessary for military intervention; it also included the measures required for post-conflict peacebuilding. However, it seems as though these measures depended on the existence of an occupying force that would have effective control over the territory during the interim period between the overthrow of the old regime and the installation of the new one.
12:03 PM on 01/15/2012
Gaddafi did not threaten to dismantle Benghazi brick by brick! He said, " anyone found with arms would be treated with no mecry." What planet is the author on? Why has she not mentioned the deliberate arming of a mercenary force ? There were no peaceful demonstrations by these CIA and Mossad sponsored mercenaries. Gaddafi could have used his air force and rockets against these mercenaries but he did not want to go to war against his own people. The disgraceful video of his death confirms this, even when they were torturing him to death his asks them,"why are you doing this to me my children?" Naive, more like stupid he never believed that people like Cameron would stand-up in front of the world and tell such lies. No Fly Zone , no troops on the ground. Who do you think finally took Tripoli? It wasn't the mercenaries it was special forces from this country! Its a disgrace that the 'Huiff' prints an article like this that is so untrue and not once does it mention that over 100,000 humane being including women and children were killed to get control of Lybyan oil!!!
06:58 PM on 01/14/2012
It is a discourse like any other, for political consumption! But what is certain is that Mr. Ban is well known that the stubbornness of Arab dictators leaves no chance for diplomacy and even sometimes we must act quickly and effectively as if the Syria.