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Martin Horwood

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Europe: What Went Wrong

Posted: 12/12/11 17:39 GMT

We urgently need a post-mortem inquiry into what on earth went wrong in Brussels this past weekend. At the very least a departmental select committee needs to ask some very searching questions.

Contrary to the whoops and cheers of the eurosceptics, British business and sensible commentators are waking up to the reality that Britain is now more isolated in Europe than at any time in the last forty years and at risk of being excluded from the heart of European decision-making at an absolutely critical time. Far from guaranteeing safeguards for the City and the British financial services sector, we have been left in a position where a new fiscal stability club of 26 might start to develop institutions and make rules which pan out very badly for British business and British jobs.

Sarkozy has been accused of intransigence and of manoeuvring against the interests of the City of London. Perhaps that is part of a French president's job description. The real surprise is why every other EU nation - even those who are not in the Eurozone and including famously eurosceptic Denmark - sided with Sarko and not with our Prime Minister.
It's not as if the demands we were making were that unreasonable:

Protections for national financial regulation that would actually have enabled tougher rules like the Vickers proposals to be implemented without challenge; higher capitalisation targets for banks which would have made all European banking safer. There were none of the loopier eurosceptic demands for repatriation of powers or rewriting of social legislation in the middle of a crisis. So why did even this modest negotiating position fail?

One explanation, albeit unlikely, is that Mr Cameron was a poor negotiator on the night or that British diplomatic effort was inadequate. At the very least he may now regret the throwaway leadership election pledge to leave the main centre-right political grouping, the European People's Party. This excluded him from a crucial pre-summit pow-wow of right wing European leaders in Marseilles, where he might have wooed many natural sympathisers.

Perhaps European leaders were genuinely exasperated with Britain's single-minded defence of the City of London, so happy to profit from dealing in euros but apparently unwilling to lift much of a finger to help save the currency from collapse.

Or is the explanation simpler than that? That the endless torrent of xenophobic eurosceptic rhetoric had so alienated other European leaders that when push came to shove we didn't have a friend in the room. When some Tory MPs compared David Cameron's position in Brussels to that of Neville Chamberlain at Munich in the days before the summit, you can imagine any last ounce of sympathy for the British position evaporating completely.
Liberal Democrats won't throw our toys out of the coalition pram over this. There is too much at stake: from the continuing need for a stable government to clear up the mess left to us by the last government, to delivering on promises like the income tax break for the lower paid, or the pupil premium or the greening of the economy.

We are not about to put all that at stake.

But Liberal Democrat ministers will now have to work much harder with Conservative colleagues to rebuild trust and relationships within Europe. As the new treaty process develops, we need to make sure that Britain's influence over events is not lost altogether. Lib Dem negotiating skills, contacts and positive commitment will be crucial to that process.

But we have a right to ask how exactly we got into this situation and demand some explanations.

 
We urgently need a post-mortem inquiry into what on earth went wrong in Brussels this past weekend. At the very least a departmental select committee needs to ask some very searching questions. Con...
We urgently need a post-mortem inquiry into what on earth went wrong in Brussels this past weekend. At the very least a departmental select committee needs to ask some very searching questions. Con...
 
 
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02:53 PM on 12/15/2011
The EU owners (Germany and France) already have plans to do down the UK financial services sector which they blame for causing the crisis. This is like a car driver who removes the brakes (de-regulation) lowers interest rates (fits a double-supercharger) and blindfolds himself (ignores consequential problems) and is amazed when he has an accident. The car is now a smoking ruin and obviously the driver was not at fault (because he is 200% perfect from being a politician) and the car gets the blame. The EU cannot put in place anything that addresses the debt problem (i.e. a bank of last resort) because that is against German principles. No matter how many or few agree nothing that's proposed deals with the short term debt problems over the next few years. The combination of enforced austerity (guaranteed no GDP growth) without a bank of last resort ensures the markets will not lend to the PIIGS at affordable rates. Their money is at risk without a bank of last resort. The EU will needs hundreds of millions or trillions of euros to lend to the PIIGS over the next few years since the markets see the EU as too risky to lend to.
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novelist2000
veritas non olet
02:33 AM on 12/14/2011
Nothing went wrong, unless you subscribe to the view that Britain is entitled to special conditions, be a half-member, or have one leg in Europe and the other outside, as one Portuguese put it. Such a vacancy did not exist.

The kind of membership that Britain desires just ain't in the catalogue. More worrying is the idea (whether that's just talk with or without substance I cannot say) - with Britain no longer at the Brussels table, the US have lost influence over Europe. If that's what Britain's membership was about, it was dishonest. If there is a grain of truth in that, then you need to consider that US influence, US rules, and the practices of the US finance industry are the causes for this crisis, that may well ruin more lives than WWII.

Europeans have not forgotten that the US blessed Europe with this crisis. Saying that you want to protect the City of London (in Europe on my map), when in effect you want to shield the branches of US corporations from taxes needed to pay for the bailouts, is also dishonest.

I suggest, you talk to your friends who can read continental languages and they have a look at non-English forums. Britain's troublesome European membership 'ceasing' is mostly described as a relief and nobody seems to worry about losses. Veritas non olet.
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Parthiban Yahambaram
12:41 PM on 12/14/2011
Oh stop blaming your shortcomings on the evil Americans. If it weren't for the US military the entire lot of you would be watching Russian programmes on black-and-white TV sets.
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ndem
07:35 PM on 12/13/2011
Britain has always seen itself as separate from Continental Europe and that is felt by the others who actually FEEL European.
01:22 PM on 12/13/2011
A select committee needs to blah blah blah, more garbage from another Eurobroker, what "WE" the public (forgotten about us have you) need is a REFERENDUM, our democratic right, no more scare mongering and no more lies from the author and his brood of serpents.
10:24 AM on 12/13/2011
For too long Britain has been considering the EU as a kind of menu to chose from. Lowered contributions forced by Thatcher, exceptions for the social chapter and Schengen treaty. Not being part of the Euro and blocking now a fiscal discipline treaty for the 17 Euro countries on which 26 of the 27 countries agreed only because he could not get privileged treatment for that financial industry. Actually such treatment is a violation of that very common market. Cameron's Tories clearly have to intimate ties to that financial "industry" in the City of Londen. By the way it was support to that very same "industry" in the wake of the 2008 crises, which pushed the debt situation in the danger zone (ask the Irish and look at how their debt exploded).

Cameron must be out of his mind to think that he would get away with asking a concession exactly for that "industry"­ by holding hostage (as a non Euro user) that change to the treaty necessary for the Euro . Also it would give a relative advantage to the UK banks compared with all other European banks. Ironic is that a lot of the coming regulation will pass through "comitolog­y" in effect a modified decision process aiming for faster implementa­tion than the transposit­ion used up till now. The UK wont be able to stop that, so Cameron succeeded in shooting himself in the foot quite publicly.
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mokgee
Sabu.Satsang, Samsara, Solitude...
09:19 AM on 12/13/2011
Nothing went wrong, in actual fact it all went very well for Britain, and her people. there are far too many fiscal statistics swanning around the country. let us be absolutely clear here, it was the latter which designed the global down turn, and it is they who caused this horrible mess by greed, and the total lack of common sense and restraint. Any home owner who reacted to this kind of thoughtlessness and lack of concentration would have lost their homes, thousands already have sadly. We are quite sick of Britain, being bullied and abused by all and sundry, especially in the EU junta. Immigration is another line of abuse being bestowed on our country, nobody as usual addresses these perpetual problems. NONO, for once a politician named Cameron, made a massive decision for Britain.. Let us hope that this will lead to the freedom from the EU manacles, no matter what any expert advises, we will make our own minds up....
08:27 AM on 12/13/2011
the problems with the EU are simple its called greed ,greed for money and power ,what happened to the ideal of one for all and all for one ? well that went west , who in their right mind would grant Greece membership [nothing personal ] but a look at the country,s financial set up would knock that straight on the head ,lets face it they have a thing called [falaki ] [dont know about the spelling ] but if you have something like that because the people are over taxed in the first place and cant manage ,
apart from that what was their GDP ,well it did not matter ,same as the poorer eastern block countries ,look at the banks it is no different they will give you loans way over your ability to pay back ,it just cant work all that happens there is some Eurocrat gets a lot paperwork to shuffle and the machine moves on !
07:21 PM on 12/12/2011
I don't think anything went wrong in Europe, Cameron just did not yield to the dictates of Sarkozy and Merkel and good on him I say.
07:17 PM on 12/12/2011
Are our leaders really as stupid as all this implies? It's the only conclusion I can draw. What ARE we going to do?
06:49 PM on 12/12/2011
An excellent post, Martin. Your analysis is spot on.