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Martin Schulz

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Europe's Opportunity in Hollande

Posted: 08/05/2012 10:32

Rarely has an election resonated so widely across the European Union as the French presidential ballot has done. Rarely has a leadership change in one EU member state created expectations of a real policy shift.

Remarkably, a new European demos and public sphere are emerging from the economic crisis. Europeans are recognising how interdependent they are. One country's failures can threaten the entire European economy, and can call into question the fruits of 60 years of integration. Peace, solidarity, and prosperity are not irreversible achievements; only 27 countries working together can guarantee them.

François Hollande's victory is a fresh chance for Europe. It should spell the end of a policy oriented exclusively towards austerity, which has paralysed our economies and divided the EU. The new French president's commitment to a European growth policy has brought hope to citizens, and should not alarm anyone - certainly not the financial markets.

Hollande's plans for a growth initiative fall on fertile ground, especially in the European Parliament, which has repeatedly called for such measures. I am delighted that this message is increasingly echoed by the political mainstream, including most recently by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. Likewise, the European Commission is working on a 'growth pact' to be discussed by EU leaders in June. Indeed, Europe needs a master plan to avoid a tailspin of recession, growing unemployment, and weakening banking systems.

A new master plan for growth would not be about printing money. Fiscal discipline remains essential, as are deep structural reforms. The growth pact can be properly financed by new sources of revenue, such as a financial-transaction tax and joint project bonds for infrastructure investment, or by curbing tax evasion and tax fraud and eliminating tax havens, as well as by more efficient and intelligent use of structural funds.

What is to be done? First, targeted investment should be given priority. The European Investment Bank would be a good vehicle - in addition to new project bonds - to boost spending on major infrastructure projects (for example, in the energy sector). The EIB could be given significantly more resources to boost its loan programs. In the longer-term, we should revisit the idea of joint Eurobonds.

Channeling EU structural funds towards innovation is essential, given that spending on research and development is alarmingly low compared to our global partners. Fundamental reform of the Common Agricultural Policy should not remain a taboo. Indeed, the CAP is ensuring neither sustainable agriculture nor decent incomes for all farmers. Undoubtedly, tough negotiations lie ahead on this front, including with Hollande.

Second, young people must be a top priority. Our responsibility here is twofold: to put growth back on track, but also to respond immediately to the human tragedy that has hit our youth. The eurozone's unemployment rate, at 10.9%, is at its highest level since the euro was introduced, and young people everywhere, as the first to suffer the consequences of the crisis, are paying a disproportionally high price. Youth unemployment in Spain, for example, is above 50%.

We cannot afford to sacrifice a generation, or, rather, risk creating a lost generation that could destroy Europe's social fabric and stability. We need an immediate contingency plan: investment to finance job training, improve educational opportunities, and, crucially, create incentives for employers to hire young people is money well spent.

The ECB has been offering long-term loans to banks at a favorable rate. This money should be loaned out to small and medium-size enterprises, which are the lifeblood of Europe's economy. The EU also needs common initiatives to replace piece-meal bilateral agreements on tax evasion and tax havens, which undermine the goal of a fair society.

Third, member states should not cut the EU budget indiscriminately during negotiations on the Union's long-term spending plan for 2014-2020. If we are serious about a master plan for growth, we need to provide the necessary means. The EU budget is an investment vehicle that boosts economic growth and creates jobs. It finances crucial pan-EU transport and energy links. It helps to foster innovation, research and development. The EU budget leverages investment, allows for economies of scale, and cannot run a deficit.

The EU's lack of solidarity, imagination, courage, unity, and vision in recent years has made Europe a symbol of division for some, if not many. We cannot let this continue. Hollande's election offers us a valuable opportunity to meet the challenges that the EU faces. Alternatively, we can allow growing poverty, fear, and anger to give rise to xenophobia and racism, and thus place at risk the EU's greatest accomplishments.

But let us be optimistic. It is not too late. Europe can still emerge stronger from its current economic woes. The EU is changing direction at last, and Europe's leaders will find an energetic partner in the European Parliament.

 

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Rarely has an election resonated so widely across the European Union as the French presidential ballot has done. Rarely has a leadership change in one EU member state created expectations of a real po...
Rarely has an election resonated so widely across the European Union as the French presidential ballot has done. Rarely has a leadership change in one EU member state created expectations of a real po...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ccraiglamont
Sometimes funny, other times...not!
01:56 PM on 05/09/2012
The great thing about this is....... when hollande fails, and he will, our electorate should see the merit in tackling the deficit directly and give the current coalition some credit for its efforts.
That is not to say, the coalition shouldn't be creating employment through civil maintainance, construction etc using LOCAL businesses and labour. Oh and whilst i'm at it can we raise the tax threshold to £12500 and kick start public spending?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rtx47
03:09 AM on 05/09/2012
While all economic sectors are needed, not all economic sectors are created equal. Some sectors (like innovation, manufacturing and infrastructure) create wealth with a higher mutiplier than others.

And some sectors in the long run, deplete societies' wealth directly and indirectly with misplaced and displaced priorities and resources - financial, materiel, and human.

In many situations there is initially a growth curve; but the same trajectory can later lead to a decline after achieving peak efficiency. Unfortunately many feel if a little is good; a lot is much better. And then they creat their own spin to retain their perch and feather their nests.

Any comprehensive dialog in this situtation is difficult because some dialog about extreemes. As an example, surgery can be very good; but too much surgery is always detrimental and can even kill the patient.

So clearly too much of a good thing is bad. In many situations (like govt bureaucracy and military) we have reached the point of negative returns and are facing the widrespread ill-effects of the unintended consequences of good intentions and good beginings.

"Starve the beast" is the only way for those internally who are familiar with the situation / economic sector to develop a more efficient system for achievements. Yet such will not happen if the govt keeps "feeding the beast" with the "squeakiest wheel getting the most grease".
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rtx47
03:04 AM on 05/09/2012
I wish the French people and their new President well. I hope he can convince his EU counterparts and NATO that the way to balance budgets is to significantly cut military spending; specially now that the Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan conflicts are over.

I hope America can also emulate that example; including end selling (subsidized) arms and combat jets to other countries; especially in the third world. Obviously here no one wins except arm dealers, manufacturer and the middle-men; and perhaps the politicians they bribe (aka campaign contributions).

Europe and America have to stop being the policeman of the world and care for their own region; while expanding world trade. That is a lesson that we can learn from Russia and especially China
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nathan0316
TrueBlueTory Age quod agis
03:35 PM on 05/12/2012
I have to say I agree with you in principle about cutting military spending, but I'm not sure about entrusting Russia and China with the role of policing, in their area or otherwise. Neither country has a strong record when it comes to human rights, democracy or peaceful rule so while I think we should work towards a more equal distribution of responsibility for peace we can never allow them free rein, just as they shouldn't trust us without proof.
01:56 AM on 05/09/2012
I am impressed by the ability of socialists to call deficit spending "investments".

By all means, please keep up the insane taxing and spending, the good old USA can use the capital flight from Europe.

"The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money"
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OH72
10:53 PM on 05/09/2012
Is it fun to spam the boards here with cut-and-paste posts, regardless of whether they have anything to do with the topic at hand?
03:15 PM on 05/10/2012
The author is an avowed socialist who belongs to a socialist party. He wants to raise taxes, increase deficit spending (pardon me, increase investments) and displace capitalism with socialism.

It was clearly written in his article as his goals.

I fail to see how my comment was off topic.
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OneTop
Uh, is that a beer hall?
01:00 AM on 05/09/2012
This more of the same neoliberal ideology that inflicted the western world with the current economic collapse and is directly responsible for contstructing a depression in several member states, while throwing tens of millions out of work.

The troika refuse to accept reality even though the evidence is omnipresent and visisble to the world, that their ideologically driven polices are catastrophic.

The troika have claimed that their policies will produce growth, prosperity and satisfy the markets each of the last 18 times they have met and produced a new plan. Not once has any prediction come true, not even one time. Greece is now in it's 5th year of an imposed depression with over 50% youth unemployment and nowhere to go but down from here.

You say people are the top priority while the evidence clearly tells that they are not a priority. Not once has the troika considered people in their policies. They have already sacrificed a generation in Spain, Ireland, Greece, Portugal and more to come. Look at the youth unemployment rates and all the nations with close to 25% unemployment.

Fiscal discipline means reduced public sector spending. This in a time when the private sector is unable (debt) / fallling real wages, massive unemployment, destroyed confidence and unwilling to increase spending is ludicrous..
No economy can grow without increased spending, it will never, ever happen,so to construct an argument that says cutting spending will spur growht is a faffacy based on evidence free claims.
11:54 PM on 05/08/2012
From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here! Keep up the good work.
http://ememusic.biz/
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09:33 PM on 05/08/2012
There is no way around the fact that constantly spending more than you make is the way of Greece. Some retructuring of the welfare state spending is necessary to balance budgets, but overdoing it is not the way and certainly abandoning the welfare state model is not an option. And flooding western Europe with third world immigrants doesn´t contribute to wellbeing (economic or otherwise) of the people, that´s a fact even the left will soon have to face.
HansB
The only good certainty is a dead certainty
10:55 PM on 05/08/2012
Countries like Greece, Italy and Spain (the last of which had a budget surplus before the crisis, but that didn't help it) should never have accepted a currency built along German lines. Formerly they managed by printing money and had low levels of public debt. That resulted in inflation and devaluation - an indirect tax - but it kept them competitive and solvent.

Then came the euro and the inflation-angst of the ECB. They couldn't just lay off half the public servants in the name of the euro, nor simply double income taxes. There would have been revolution. But they also were no longer allowed to print money, nor to devaluate to keep their companies competitive. So there was an automatic and predictable shortfall in government revenue. Heck, I'm not an economist and even I saw this coming way back when (I opposed the euro for this reason, as well as because of the inflation obsession of the ECB.)

The result is what we see: governments unable to finance themselves, while the national products are priced out of the market (to the benefit of the Germans and other hard-currency countries, who take over the markets).

The Greeks papered over the problems too long with borrowed money, but the problem is more structural and predates their profligacy.
04:18 AM on 05/09/2012
Much truth, but you cannot engage in constant cycles of devaluation to solve your problems. If you devalue your currency you pay a price when you try to borrower more money. Investors demand higher rates (appropriately) to hedge against your proven tendency to pay your debts by printing money. It is why the author of the article stressed what a terrible idea that would be even though he clearly thinks secretly that it is a very fine idea, and ultimately far more efficient than the slate of new taxes he proposes as an alternative. You can get into a death spiral of devaluation causing higher interest necessitating further devaluation just like your can one of austerity choking growth and thus requiring ever increasing austerity. The question for Europe is whether there is a still a middle path between the whirlpools or if it is just a choice of which drain to circle.
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OH72
11:05 PM on 05/09/2012
Sorry, but you clearly need to check some of your facts. Greek profligacy existed before the Euro. Their debt to GDP ratio was far higher than the average in the region. It exploded when the crisis hit, but that's to be expected under such circumstances. To claim that Greece had low levels of public debt is a fantasy.

You say they could not just lay off half the public servants because there would have been revolution - if they had done it all at once, for sure. But other countries have enacted reformsl and they could have as well.

The idea that devaluation would have kept their companies competitive is likewise unrealistic - it would have made their companies less competitive, as new machinery would have become prohibitively expensive.

Devaluation keeps an exporting company competitive, but only as long as they don't need to import critical parts of their value generation chain. They showed a greek company producing thread on TV a few days ago. They managed to keep up so far because they had bought new machinery pre-crisis and dumped standard wool thread production for highly specialized products. Even they are struggling now because they don't get any loans for investments, but they could never have made the previous purchases with a devalued Drachma.
06:48 PM on 05/08/2012
All good and sound ideas which should have been in effect from the outset of the formation of the Common Market, pity the experiment got sidetracked and the EU clowns began to think of ever more stringent rules and laws to impose on member states which crippled industry in this country in favour of those EU states who were investing in new equipment and plants at the time, and look where they are now, Germany, dictating fiscal policy to the rest of us, just as they always wanted. Due to this lack of foresight and our own successive incompetent governments we in the UK already have a forgotten generation who have been labeled as lazy benefit scroungers although little work has been available for over twenty years for those without academic qualifications, don't be thinking people would rather pick up their dole cheque than work, they wouldn't, but the fact of the matter is the dole cheque is equivalent to the wages these days, slave wages, and no-one wants to work as a slave however good for the economy it is.
10:41 PM on 05/08/2012
you realise that you are commenting on a blog using a computer that was probably made by people working 80 hour weeks for peanuts. We can't compete because we have a minimum wage and benefits system. Are you suggesting we get rid of them? If no work has been available to people without qualifications for 20 years why not get qualified. A degree takes 3 years, most professional certificates a few months. I don't have a degree, can't say it made any difference except I wasn't saddled with debt.
10:57 AM on 05/11/2012
Sorry but no, the computer I'm typing on was actually built by me, from components mostly foreign yes, but the lack of foresight and investment is what caused this country to abandon industries we'd relied on for years but obsolete machinery was never going to up output. The minimum wage does need scrapping, its a slave labour rate presently, due to our taxation and costing of goods, services and basics of sustaining life, ridiculous we pay for water just so some cretin can have a fortune, by the way I have a degree
ElCojonuo
I believe in WISDOM
03:43 PM on 05/08/2012
The reality is that whereas before the Economic Pie was divided into 2 ( U.S. and Europe ) it is now divided into 3 ( U.S., Europe AND China - the Dragon has awakened and as Napoleon said, ' watch out ' ).
A third is LESS than a half; that is the new reality of the situation.
I don't think we can grow ourselves out the present situation; the era of DIMISHED EXPECTATIONS is upon us and we must adapt.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wbearl
Retired Manager Mechanical Operations
02:58 PM on 05/08/2012
One little detail that they always fail to discuses, who is going to lend them the money to continue spending more than they take in? When you are already taking almost 3/4 of the peoples income in taxes to support a failing system, how do you continue?
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Cory Gudwin
examine thyself before blaming the system
12:01 AM on 05/09/2012
you borrow from the Germans and then default, as Greece has done and may soon be followed by other bloated welfare states.
02:25 AM on 05/09/2012
You can only call it "borrowed", if it comes back. That money is gone and it will never be paid back.
02:21 PM on 05/08/2012
There should be a disclaimer of some sort: Schultz is a socialist just like Hollande, so he's bound to go triumphant. Hollande's victory will only extend the decline of Europe and make the pain necessary to get out of it last that much longer.
02:57 PM on 05/08/2012
Can conservatives complete a single sentence without using
the word "socialist"?
09:54 PM on 05/08/2012
Actually he is socialist party member
lastpost
see biography
12:34 PM on 05/08/2012
"Rarely has an election resonated …"
"Rarely has a leadership change…"
Never, has the brain of the creature been so detached from the needs of its corporeal form.

"Europeans are recognising how interdependent they are."
In the same way its difficult to swim to safety. When one’s legs are forcibly tied (no referendum) to those of the suicidal citizen next to one.

"One country's failures can threaten the entire European economy"
Let's ignore nature’s strength-though-diversity maxim.

"Peace, solidarity, and prosperity"
And all for the cost of freedom, democracy, and progress.

"the financial markets"
should be investigated forthwith.

"Europe needs"
to be a market. Not a contest to decide which master race runs it.

"The growth pact can be properly financed by"
integrating the 1% and 99%, back into the 100%.

"What is to be done?"
The fact that you ask, reveals a lack of thinking. Let those that led us into this mire, attempt to lead us out?

"significantly more resources to boost its loan programs."
Translation : Essentially more of the same?

"We cannot afford to sacrifice a generation"
You just have.

"member states should not cut the EU budget"
Keep sending Drain Geld?

"The EU budget is"
unaccounted for. How did Greece get into the Euro? Its accounts were fiction?

"We cannot let this continue."
If the people had not called stop, who would have?

"The EU is changing direction at last"
But its side has been ripped open on the rocks.
09:43 PM on 05/08/2012
You should be in Brussels..
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Cory Gudwin
examine thyself before blaming the system
12:04 AM on 05/09/2012
great post
This comment has been removed.