UK Election Update: A True Toss Up

Keiran Pedley | Posted 04.05.2016 | UK Politics
Keiran Pedley

As voters head to the polls in a few days' time, UK politics is in a state of uncertainty. For the first time in a generation, it is genuinely unclear what type of government will emerge from the General Election and who will lead it. After a grueling five-week campaign, we are none the wiser as each of the two main parties have failed to deliver a decisive breakthrough in the polls.

Polling Observatory Forecast - No Break in the Deadlock as Campaigns Reach the Halfway Point

Robert Ford | Posted 24.06.2015 | UK Politics
Robert Ford

Labour continue to depend on support in some form from the Scottish National Party to form a government - a combination of all natural allies excluding the SNP falls 10 seats short of an effective majority...

Labour 20 Seats Ahead in the first Polling Observatory forecast Model

Robert Ford | Posted 19.05.2015 | UK Politics
Robert Ford

The Polling Observatory forecasting model has been a long time in the making, and builds on our effort in 2010, where we fared relatively successfully...

Obama Stays Ahead - Just

Peter Kellner | Posted 23.12.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Dramatic polling movements make for bold headlines, but are not always right