Peter Kellner

Bad News For Ed Miliband: This Poll Asked Voters Whether They Preferred His Brother

The Huffington Post UK/PA | Posted 19.06.2014 | UK Politics

Labour could be on course to an easy win in next year's general election if it had elected David Miliband leader rather than his brother Ed, a new sur...

Farage Wins Round Two

Peter Kellner | Posted 03.06.2014 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Nigel Farage won his second television debate with Nick Clegg by an even larger margin than last week. Fully 68% said the UKIP leader ‘performed better overall’, up from 57% after the first debate, while Clegg’s rating slipped from 36% to 27%...

Tony Benn's Finest Speech

Peter Kellner | Posted 14.05.2014 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

A few years ago, when I was compiling an anthology, modestly entitled Democracy (published by Mainstream and also available as an e-book, since you ask) I wanted to include something from Benn's battle to renounce his peerage. Ever generous, he gave me a copy of the speech he was not allowed to deliver, and which had never been published... This is what Tony Benn wanted to say.

Scottish Voters Oppose Independence by 60%-40%

Peter Kellner | Posted 03.03.2014 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

I bring important news from Scotland. Nothing much is changing. I realise this will disappoint those people, journalists in particular, for whom stability is boring, bereft of news value and therefore to be ignored. In this case, however, I believe the stability in Scottish views of independence tells us something significant: that most voters have made up their minds.

Making Sense of the Local Elections

Peter Kellner | Posted 02.07.2013 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Starting in the early hours of tomorrow morning, we shall be bombarded with analyses of the local election results. Are the gains and losses for each party above, below or on a par with expectations? Is Ed Miliband on course to become Prime Minister? Has UKIP overtaken the Liberal Democrats?

Cigarette Packets: The Case for a New Law

Peter Kellner | Posted 25.06.2013 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

So the consultation is over. The relevant minister is convinced. The Liberal Democrats support a new law – indeed they were the first major party to embrace it, back in 2009. Yet the issue remains in the balance. So let me help ministers by setting out the pros and cons.

The Politics of a Triple-Dip Recession

Peter Kellner | Posted 22.06.2013 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

The past five years of economic troubles have left their mark. There is no obvious end to them in sight. And these troubles are reflected in people's lives, not just GDP statistics. Graduates saddled with debt and finding it hard to get a decent job; couples waiting a decade longer than their parents to buy their first home, and so on. Long-term pessimism may be misplaced, but it is not surprising.

Seven Facts Everyone Should Know About Immigration

Ben Mitchell | Posted 20.02.2013 | UK Politics
Ben Mitchell

Immigration is in the news once again. Not that it ever leaves it. A complex issue made harder by distortions, stereotypes, and populism. One could argue that its social and cultural effects are the trickiest to articulate and hardest to pin down. Certainly not easy to capture in a dry opinion poll.

Yes, But No, But Yes, But No

The Huffington Post UK | Ned Simons | Posted 28.11.2012 | UK Politics

The British public overwhelmingly want to see state-backed regulation of the press. Also, the public do not want to see state-backed regulation of the...

The Problem of Trust Goes Far Wider Than the BBC

Peter Kellner | Posted 13.01.2013 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

The past decade has seen a decline in trust across the board. The figures for senior police officers is down 23 points, from 72% to 49%; local police officers are down 13 points, from 82% to 69%, Even family doctors (down from 93% to 82%) and school teachers (88% to 70%) have seen double-digit falls, even though both still occupy the two top places.

Scotland: Pro-Salmond, Anti-independence

Peter Kellner | Posted 15.12.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

All YouGov's evidence from the past four years is that independence is a minority passion north of the border.

Let Cameron Be Cameron

Peter Kellner | Posted 10.11.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Dear David, So far, so bad. Last week you reshuffled half your cabinet in order to inject vitality into your government and demonstrate a fresh sense of purpose. Sadly, voters are unpersuaded. YouGov polls since the reshuffle show Labour retaining its lead of 10 points or so...

How Voters Divide Over Plan B

Peter Kellner | Posted 29.09.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

The news for George Osborne continues to get worse. YouGov's latest survey for the Sunday Times was conducted following the news that Britain's economy contracted by 0.7% in the second quarter of this year - a worse figure than most economists had predicted. Even if, as I suggested last week, the final revised figures are not as bad as this, the pressure for the time being on the Chancellor is growing more intense.

Osborne: The Dark Before the Dawn?

Peter Kellner | Posted 22.09.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

If George Osborne hoped that he would spend only a few awkward, post-Budget weeks navigating his sea of troubles before reaching calmer waters, YouGov's latest poll for the Sunday Times will come as a shock.

Lords Reform's 'Likely Death'

Peter Kellner | Posted 07.09.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

This week's debate by MPs on reform of the House of Lords has been framed as a test for the relationship between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.

Germany in Europe

Peter Kellner | Posted 29.08.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

There is one figure in a poll conducted this week by YouGov-Germany that could turn David Cameron green with envy.

Britain's Jubilee Blues

Peter Kellner | Posted 30.07.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

One might have thought the Queen's Diamond Jubilee would be an occasion to celebrate how much life in Britain has improved over the past sixty years.

Boris Johnson On Course For London Victory, Poll Predicts

The Huffington Post UK | Ned Simons | Posted 03.05.2012 | UK Politics

Boris Johnson is on course to secure a second term as Mayor London, according to a poll published on Thursday. A survey conduced by YouGov for the ...

We Rate Germans Higher Than They Rate Us

Peter Kellner | Posted 15.05.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

British people generally have a higher regard for the Germans than the Germans have of the British; but people in both countries admire Sweden most of all.

The Sad Politics of Gay Marriage

Peter Kellner | Posted 12.05.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

I should not have been surprised, for only last week I reported YouGov's detailed survey that showed how most of us thought that our political system had a terrible reputation and, in particular, that politicians lied all the time.

Liars?

PA | Posted 04.05.2012 | UK Politics

Nearly two-thirds of voters (62%) believe politicians lie "all the time" and less than a quarter (24%) think Parliament does a good job debating issue...

Charity Ends at Home

Peter Kellner | Posted 27.04.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Peter Kellner finds that most of us think that Britain’s welfare bill is too large, that they suspect millions of people of lying to claim benefits, and that we are divided on whether we can still afford to pay state pensions to the better-off.

Health Reform: Time Is of the Essence

Peter Kellner | Posted 22.04.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

The politics of health reform are becoming ever more tangled. And the more tangled they become, the worse it will be for the Government. Last week I argued that, if David Cameron genuinely believes that the Health and Social Care Bill really will drive standards up and costs down, he should ignore the doubters and keep going. However, fresh YouGov research underlines the risks that he is running.

Britain's Nostalgic Pessimism

Peter Kellner | Posted 08.04.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

In 1952, when Queen Elizabeth succeeded her father, Britain was broke. Meat, butter and sweets were still rationed. Abortion and homosexuality were illegal. Polio maimed thousands of children a year. Smog killed thousands of adults. Innocent people were sentenced to death. Plays were censored. Just 17 MPs were women.

The Economy: Not as Bad as Feared

Peter Kellner | Posted 31.03.2012 | UK Politics
Peter Kellner

Things have not worked out as the government hoped. 12 months ago it was predicting steady economic progress. In the event, growth in 2011 was less than 1%, and the economy ended the year slipping backwards.