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The New Precedent of the French Republic

Posted: 07/05/2012 00:00

In the wake of the post-budget "omnishambles" and a "disappointing" slide back into recession, the Conservative Party has not only plummeted in the polls but has also been divided by accusations of arrogance and elitism directed towards David Cameron and George Osborne. In response to this it appears the prime minister is willing to appease the backbench detractors in his own party by putting off moves to legalise gay marriage and reform the House of Lords. George Osborne said this was because they wanted to concentrate solely on the economy, as if we have a government incapable of rubbing its belly and patting its head at the same time.

On its own, a political retreat might simply seem like a cowardly move, especially from the leader of the Iron Lady's old party, but on a wider perspective, pandering to the right could be politically disastrous. After all, if the recent local elections have proved anything, it's a lack of public confidence and support for the government's extensive programme of cuts to public services. And now it's become clear that Britain is not alone in its resentment of austerity.

Across the Channel, the socialist candidate Francois Hollande has stormed to victory by positioning himself firmly against government frugality, while Nicolas Sarkozy desperately attempted to woo the support of those on both the cultural and economic far right in a pathetic attempt to remain in power. Hollande has been branded a moderate but despite the eurozone crisis he has promised to employ and extra 60,000 teachers and has pledged to tax French millionaires at a rate of 75%. During the television debate prior to the national vote, Hollande clarified his position by turning to Sarkozy and saying, "I protect the children of the republic, you protect the privileged". Not only did this comment catch the mood of the French public but it also seems to reflect the attitude of both the British public and a few Tory backbenchers and this is why the British Labour Party would do well to follow suit, now.

It seems likely that the Tory cabinet will this week exacerbate their 'out of touch' image by using the Queen's Speech to reaffirm an economic policy that has driven the country back into recession (despite it unpopularity) while intentionally neglecting gay marriage and Lords reform. For this reason Labour must present themselves as a credible and substantive alternative to the coalition. As it stands they are the least unpopular of the three main parties and that simply isn't good enough, because even if the British public elect a Miliband simply for not being David Cameron, a new empty suit will do nothing to inspire a much needed wave of economic and public confidence.

The deterioration of support for the coalition coupled with the elections in France and Greece has shown that voters throughout Europe are developing a new appetite for government investment. Even across the Atlantic Barack Obama is framing the upcoming presidential election as a choice between investment and austerity. This is quite remarkable considering that only two years ago Gordon Brown was voted out of office after campaigning on the same message. Now it seems the feelings of European voters are changing, probably because austerity simply hasn't worked anywhere.

In Britain we have found ourselves in a strange place where, as Rafalel Behr has pointed out in the New Statesman, the Tories and LibDems appear to be losing but Labour isn't winning. They have been quick to oppose many of the cuts, the increase in tuition fees and the unpopular re-organisation of the NHS but they have been reluctant to promise a repeal of any of them. Now we know that the widespread discontent with the 'cut the state and watch the growth' mentality of the right, can be tapped into for political gain. Ed Miliband can now stand up with confidence and tell us how he would invest in the economy and how it would help while asserting a message that if Cameron is too scared to deliver on gay marriage and Lords reform then he will. Because while the Conservatives seem to be ideologically handcuffed to the failed economic policies of the past, Labour are free to redefine themselves as a party that is in touch with people in both Britain and Europe. But if the relative success of Obama's growth plan and the ascent of Francois Hollande don't inspire Labour to breakaway from its economic caution, what will?

 

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In the wake of the post-budget "omnishambles" and a "disappointing" slide back into recession, the Conservative Party has not only plummeted in the polls but has also been divided by accusations of ar...
In the wake of the post-budget "omnishambles" and a "disappointing" slide back into recession, the Conservative Party has not only plummeted in the polls but has also been divided by accusations of ar...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Drg40
Representative Democracy is all we have.
10:12 PM on 05/07/2012
@marlona408 I suggest a "knowledge based economy" demands something on which to exercise your knowledge. If you know all about building bridges, but never get asked to build one, what price your knowledge then? Long ago and far away the Brits built the best low level computer software in the world. It was so good that when the Americans saw it in action they called us liars, couldn't be done, impossible. So the British establishment incompetents stopped building computers, thanks to a few backhanders, and the knowledge base went straight to the USA. The knowledge based economy is like the service economy, on it's own a sure recipe for increasing unemployment.
This comment has been removed.
11:06 AM on 05/07/2012
If Hollande can get his policies implemented fair enough but how much money is a 75% tax going to raise and how much are teachers and a retirement age of 60 going to cost. Having set out these policies who's going to lend them the money? It sounds to me like the French voters are likely to be let down with these promises.
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Nicholas Barrett
01:57 PM on 05/07/2012
It sounds like you're suggesting that socialism is a luxury Europe can no longer realistically afford. I'm not sure I agree with you but it's certainly a valid point, the problem is that austerity is getting us nowhere.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
martintillier
human
09:39 AM on 05/07/2012
What Ed Miliband really should do is broker a deal with the European left leaders , and with Obama if he is willing , to create an agreement that holds the western world's financial elite's feet to the fire , the fire that this self-same elite have lit and stoked . The financiers have nowhere to go if that happens, they cant all run off to China and India , the huge profit-loss from removal of investment in European and American economies is simply unthinkable by their own terms, so we should hold them to a program that returns their investment hugely, but only after social and financial stability has been achieved , the idea, promoted by these elites, that they will just take their money elsewhere is an empty threat , there is no elsewhere if such a European-American economic-regrowth deal can be created.
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Nicholas Barrett
01:50 PM on 05/07/2012
I don't know, I think there will probably always be an island for the Mitt Romney's of our world to hide their money. Today Owen Jones pointed out that the wholly self-involved Tracy Emin, who wanted to take her money to France to dodge the British tax rate, will now have to pay Hollande's new rate of 75% so she'll probably flee to Switzerland. And if the Swiss hike theirs she will probably find an island somewhere. So unless the whole world agrees to a minimum tax rate we're powerless. Not much point in pandering to them, it's matter of how much we allow them to participate in society.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
martintillier
human
02:23 PM on 05/07/2012
It is not necessary to follow where someone puts their money , as long as the existing laws are upheld, ie. that money earned in the UK is taxed at the appropriate rate , and after that they can put the remainder where they want , if they become a non-domicile for tax purposes that is something else, and I think the tax regulations on non-doms should be urgently reviewed with a view to closing that particular loophole , Dave Hartnett has let off big multi-nationals like a certain mobile phone company with Billions in unpaid tax , he should be sacked and his arrangements, (which broke the law) should be scrapped and the tax unpaid recovered. Not difficult, but it seems few have the guts to do such a thing, the perception being that the big businesses would go elsewhere, which returns us to the point I made above.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
martintillier
human
09:27 AM on 05/07/2012
It could be argued that Ed Miliband has been biding his time , it certainly appeared that way when he laid into Cameron recently over the phone-hacking debacle and its attendant woes concerning ministers closeness to Murdoch. It seems that Ed is much more left-leaning than his brother ,an arch Blair-ite , so it could be that he will devise some policies that will reflect that political difference. I am not of the thinking which declares that the ''lesser of evils'' is a pragmatic approach in such a context , it is better to support the party whose ideological base and history is more amenable to social justice and can use such a history as inspiration , at the same time we must not forget the horrendous mistakes made by ''new'' Labour , and should hold them as much to account as we do the Conservatives. The left , since Attlee has dug itself deeper and deeper into a mire of attempted appeasing of it's media critics , and is guilty of paying too much heed to argumentum ad populum , this has to cease for it to be considered any more than a weak version of the Tory party , regaining the left-of-centre ground , without losing commercial confidence is a hard balancing act that it will need to master.
01:19 AM on 05/07/2012
First let me disagree with Eric14 on one point: "Our leaders have no imagination, no guts and no understanding of how a knowledge-based economy works" Our leaders know exactly what they doing and that is to ensure that those who finance their political campaigns get richer while ordinary Brits fare worse off.

As to the Labour Party, they have had numerous opportunities to invigorate the country and to show why Labour is a better alternative, yet to this day they are more reactive than proactive. The leadership is bereft of ideas and does nothing to inspire confidence in a potential Labour government.

It is a known fact that to foster growth, you have to have policies that instil consumer confidence. How is that going to be achieved with rampant job losses coupled with a perception of elitist policies?

Like Francois Hollande, Barack Obama is championing increased taxes on the rich and a drastic slow down of austerity measures. The French proved receptive to this new approach, and I suspect in November 2012 so will the Americans. Following the crushing defeat suffered by the coalition in the British local elections, lets see if David Cameron actually listens to the 99%.
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Nicholas Barrett
03:01 AM on 05/07/2012
I think the Labour party might still be living in fear of the right-leaning press. I know that when he worked in government Ed Miliband and Gordon Brown use to obsess over the front page of the Daily Mail (today it reads "new euro crisis as French vote to return to ruinous spending") The thing is that anyone who takes the Mail's editorials seriously is probably never going to consider voting Labour anyway, so they might as well just ignore it and take advantage of the public's aversion to Tory austerity.
12:16 AM on 05/07/2012
An interesting post notable also because of no mention of Labour policy - entirely understandable as they have no policy except silly things like reducing VAT which is a lame way of giving consumption a boost - like taking - speed.

Let's have £5 billion a year of government issued bonds to finance £10 billion a year of joint ventures doing something really really obvious. Refining our oil ourselves and developing our own petrochemical industries downstream into production of all kinds of plastics.

But the gumption to do something plainly workable is not there.

Our leaders have no imagination, no guts and no understanding of how a knowledge-based economy works. It has industry with big knowledge bases. Not call centers and financial services.
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Nicholas Barrett
03:15 AM on 05/07/2012
Thank you for the comment, personally I think the Labour Party does have imagination and understanding but you might have a point about guts. They seem to be copying Cameron and staying quite until they can jump on whatever political bandwagon happens to be popular in 2015. The only thing is, it didn't work for Cameron because it made him look like an ideologically bankrupt opportunist. More of a salesman then a statesman, having said thatm he did get into number 10
Bernique
Solar is clean, cheap and plentiful
06:10 AM on 05/07/2012
eric -- 'they have no policy except silly things like reducing VAT which is a lame way of giving consumption a boost' Easy for you to say. The VAT is the most regressive of taxes -- it taxes the poor more.

If Europe pulls out of NA TO it will have more money to spend on domestic needs, like revoking the odious VAT, and it will have its troops home (why are they in Afgh anistan?).

NA TO means North Atlantic Treaty Organization, a relic from the cold war. Is Afgha nistan in the North Atlantic? Is NA To still relevant?
02:31 PM on 05/07/2012
Let's calculate how much reducing vat by 5% would give to a person or couple with outgoings of £700 per month. £250 goes on VAT exempt items leaving £450. Vat at 20% is £90. Reducing that to 17.5% (Ed Balls stated return to previous level) means it would be £78.75 so the savings would be £.11.25 per month. Not so much, is it?