07/10/2013 07:26 BST | Updated 23/01/2014 18:58 GMT

'Comet Of The Century' Is Probably Disintegrating Instead

A comet which astronomers had hoped might be the 'comet of the century' appears to be disintegrating instead according to a new report.

Ignacio Ferrin from the Group of Computational Physics and Astrophysics, FACom, said the comet's "imminent demise" will occur before it becomes visible from Earth.

Ferrin said he used "secular light curves" to track how the brightness of the comet has changed over time. He concluded that the comet is starting to dim, with no sign of an increase as it nears the sun.

Above: ISON pictured as it passed Jupiter in April

"The light curve of the comet exhibited a slowdown event characterised by a constant brightness with no indication of a brightness increase tendency," he said.

The comet was discovered in 2012, and it had been hoped it would pass close enough to the sun to shine brightly in the sky from Earth. Nasa's Tony Phillips said at the time that:"If the comet survives the encounter, it could emerge glowing as brightly as the moon, visible near the sun in the blue daylight sky. The comet's dusty tail stretching into the night would create a worldwide sensation".

Ferrin's conclusions might start to dim those hopes along with the apparent brightness of the comet itself. But there is still help. As reports, the life and path of any comet it difficult to predict and ISON appears to be trickier than most. It is still possible that the comet may shine brightly once it completes its trip around the sun towards the end of November.