UK Economy: Pessimistic Retailers Shed Jobs Ahead Of Christmas

Christmas Shopping

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 28/11/11 18:43 GMT Updated: 28/11/11 18:43 GMT

Retailers have been cutting back staff as high street sales volumes fall for the sixth consecutive month, according to the Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) distributive trades survey.

A full 40% of retailers have cut headcount, with 13% adding staff, amounting to a balance of 27%, the CBI said. This is the fastest rate of cuts since November 2009. Sales volume numbers were down by a balance of 39%, the worse performance since March 2009, and were below average for the season, leading to worries ahead of the vital Christmas shopping period.

Clothing stores have been particularly hard hit, in part due to the unseasonably hot autumn, however, specialist food and drink retailers, grocers and department stores are also feeling the pinch.

“Retailers remain hard-pressed, even as we get closer to Christmas, Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economic adviser, said. “The relatively mild weather this autumn has hit clothing stores particularly hard, and retail sales are down year-on-year for the sixth month in a row.

“Retailers may be hoping that shoppers will loosen their purse strings in the run up to Christmas, but consumers are likely to remain cautious about spending given the uncertain economic outlook.”

Price inflation remains well above average, the CBI said, and retailers are scaling back on their investment plans.

With domestic consumption a major component of gross domestic product (GDP), the figures, coming on the eve of the chancellor's autumn statement, which is expected to include a number of measures - including credit provision to small businesses and investment in infrastructure - aimed at boosting the country's sluggish growth.

Howard Archer, chief UK and Europe economist at IHS Global Insight, called the figures "dismal" and warned that a battle of will could now take place in the run up to Christmas, with consumers holding out and waiting for sales and retailers waiting for the last minute to offer discounts.

"The reluctance of consumers to spend is worrying for fourth-quarter GDP growth prospects and it is obviously particularly worrying for retailers given that Christmas is the key period of the year for most of them," Archer said.

"And unsurprisingly retailers are pretty pessimistic about sales prospects in the absolutely key month of December, which is hardly surprising given sharply squeezed purchasing power, mounting unemployment and depressed and falling consumer confidence."

High rates of unemployment and stagnant wages - with little chance of improvement in the short term - mean that the prospects for consumer spending are dim, with confidence stuck near record lows, Archer added.

"Retailers will be desperately hoping that consumers ultimately decide to loosen their purse strings in December to have a good time after a difficult year. However, recent data highlight the major pressures currently facing consumers… So it is hard to be optimistic over the prospects for consumer spending."

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Retailers have been cutting back staff as high street sales volumes fall for the sixth consecutive month, according to the Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) distributive trades survey. A f...
Retailers have been cutting back staff as high street sales volumes fall for the sixth consecutive month, according to the Confederation of British Industry's (CBI) distributive trades survey. A f...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
redsquad
Shootin' from the lip
12:27 PM on 11/29/2011
In other words, "thanks for making me my money while I sat on my backside in an office, now eff off."
And the Tories want to make it easier to sack people and harder to strike - No wonder... they can smell the anger brewing.
Southern law girl
Researching my viewpoint....
12:17 PM on 11/29/2011
Retailers had it good in the boom days, now they are having the same problem as everyone else.
Southern law girl
Researching my viewpoint....
12:03 PM on 11/29/2011
Sorry to be a killjoy but to be honest I don't think the retailers help themselves anyway. For years they have put less and less into the Christmas theme, ie no Christmas music, minimum decorations, in other words the festive atmosphere has been diminished. Whilst I understand it all costs money, surely one has to put into the pot if one wishes to get something out of the pot. Regarding jobs, I can see it happening everywhere, I think many employers are using the concept of 'we are about to implode economically' to their advantage to get shot of staff, this way they can do better share wise for their shareholders. Sorry, bit cynical, but service went out of the window a very long time ago, for me good service matters, retailers have had it their own way for far too long.
12:59 PM on 11/29/2011
our tesco superstore has a christmas tree with lights.6FOOT!!!Mine at home is bigger.
12:03 PM on 11/29/2011
Not bad judges of the furture trends these shopkeepers - it's a shame most of the clowns vote Tory.
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
12:57 PM on 11/29/2011
Can you possibly believe Labour or the Liberal Demolitions would be any better?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
06:53 PM on 11/29/2011
Maybe it's just me, but when I look over the past years and compare what the big 3 partis have actually done as groups, they all seem to be talking one way but all working for the same group.

Rather like the US, where we have two parties working for the same plutocracy and lots of spin so we don't believe both parties have betrayed us.
09:34 AM on 11/29/2011
I would love to help the retailers, but by the time i'v paid for elec,gas,water,rates and a little food,i'm skint till my next pension payment and then it starts again, sorry would love to help.
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08:29 AM on 11/29/2011
I was in my local Tesco superstore on friday at peak time and the staff were run off their feet. Mainly because Tesco didn't have the staff to get over half the tills open. This turns out is because the store wont now give out any contracts for more then 3 hours a week, so new staff don't turn up. To make matters worse the store isn't not going to take on any seasonal staff for Christmas.

I'm not sure if Tesco are slowing recruitment because they plan to cash in on the governments free youth labour idea? But who will want to work there for 6 months for dole money learning to do an unskilled job that doesn't need any training in the first place?, Especialy If youngsters see that the best they can hope for after their 6 months training is 3 hours a week then their not going to bother 6 months unpaid training learning to do an unskilled job is ridiculous it only takes 12 months paid on the job training to qualiffy as Tesco management.
04:55 AM on 11/29/2011
with Europe quite literally standing on the event horizon of implosion currently, i wouldnt expect a jolly Xmas if i were retailers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
02:10 AM on 11/29/2011
A Victorian UK economy, but will the Scrooges relent?

Why, pray tell, shouldn't the average UK citizen be restrained at Christmas?  The few dollars saved could be the difference between having a meal, having heat or being able to afford a bus to work. 

There's little manufacturing in UK, finance is under threat of an EU FTT, migration has caused competing spirals of lower salaries and higher costs for basic goods and services, kids coming out of schools in the last few years are priced out of uni and have to compete for basic jobs with the migrants (who in fact have taken most of the jobs created since the recession, and send a very high amount of their wages and benefits back to their home country thus not greatly benefiting the UK economy.) OAPs are struggling, parents are trying to help their children, and the financial elite simply doesn't care.

If the government wasn't filled with the very rich who were unconcerned with anything other than getting even richer, this might be very different. They live very privileged, insulated lives; and simply don't know ordinary citizens and thus are blissfully ignorant of what they are enduring.

Like Scrooge, these 'public servants' are only concerned with the gold in their pockets.  It would be very rude for the great unwashed to riot and thus make them return from their lovely Christmas holidays in foreign lands, but a few freezing or starving to death is something they can live with.  Where is another Dickens to shame them into taking action? 

As for the strikes or riots, I wouldn't be at all surprised if this government chose the Russian strategy, and simply rode them down with officers on horses.

These Scrooges will let Tim die without a second thought.
10:21 AM on 11/29/2011
Totally agree
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
05:16 PM on 11/29/2011
Hey, at least the UK has a Dickens.  I'm an American, and folks here aren't even sure England or Europe exists.  We have nothing comparable to Dickens' work to touch the heartstrings of our greedy politicians and oligarchs.  It probably wouldn't matter; they undoubtedly don't read much beyond headlines, market projections and sound bits.  I have four members of my immediate family high up in the US govt. and WorldBank; and they have no interest in the suffering of those less rich (and somehow they became very, very wealthy on 'government' salaries.)  Two Republican/baggers, two champagne socialists; and I ended up a longtime Indy progressive, a diet-pepsi drinking 'evil socialist' and likely soon an expat (unless OWS actually manages to get folks on board.)