Recession In Early 2012 Warning By Standard Chartered

Uk Economy Shrinks

Huffington Post UK   Sarah Marsh First Posted: 14/12/11 15:52 Updated: 14/12/11 16:09

The UK will be back in recession at the start of the new year because of government cuts, with a bleak economic outlook predicted for 2012, according to Standard Chartered.

A report released by the financial service company [PDF], which recently topped a list of global firms for the accuracy of its forecasts, said: "The UK economy is likely to be in recession going into 2012 as the negative impact of fiscal tightening and falling real incomes is compounded by a downturn in demand from the UK's largest trading partner, the euro area."

Other predictions by the bank were that the eurozone's economy would shrink by 1.5 per cent next year, with recommendations that GDP will contract before "bottoming" and "eventually recovering" at the end of 2012.

Standard Chartered warned that the European sovereign debt crisis will "linger" in 2012 with no "immediate solution". The report said, "the road to such a solution [monetary easing in Europe] is likely to be long and bumpy, involving further stress in the markets".

Rising unemployment is predicted to dampen household spending in the euro area next year as people spend less.

Gerard Lyons, Chief economist at Standard Chartered, said: "In the UK we have a divided and disconnected economy. The biggest disconnect is the high rate of youth unemployment in Britain. We need to have a more pro-active stance to address the issue.

"In a situation where there is greater economic uncertainty naturally people will find it more difficult to get jobs and the labour market environment will be a lot tougher."

The report indicated that no European country is safe from the crisis, adding: "Even the north-euro area economies, which did well in the first half of 2011, are not immune to the risk of negative growth."

The bank predicted that there would be a "two-speed" economy in 2012 with a "fragile" West but "resilient" East. It said world economies grew by 4.3 per cent in 2010, cooling down to 3 per cent in 2011 and this is likely to slow down to 2.2 per cent next year.

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The UK will be back in recession at the start of the new year because of government cuts, with a bleak economic outlook predicted for 2012, according to Standard Chartered. A report released by th...
The UK will be back in recession at the start of the new year because of government cuts, with a bleak economic outlook predicted for 2012, according to Standard Chartered. A report released by th...
 
 
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Vapula
Failure is not an option
01:28 on 15/12/2011
Recession be damned. A world depression is coming, if it hasn't already arrived.
22:14 on 14/12/2011
Well who would have thought that....everyone on the planet except the public school brigade but hey ho lets just Tax labour voters and the unions into oblivion so at least we will then be able to guarantee that we wont be in the same mess in years to come
21:57 on 14/12/2011
Is youth unemployment not a direct result of casino banking and the various machinations of the city hedge funds that benefit the fund's investors at the expense of the community at large? And is not rising unemployment and recession not proportional to the salaries and bonuses paid to city bankers and their cohorts in government?

This is democracy turned on its head. This is government against the people instead of for the people. This is a government that acts in its own benefit and for the benefit of its friends in the city,. This is not democracy when millions are thrown on the dole and more millions cannot heat their houses whilst bankers and city traders go abroad for Christmas to lie in the sun.

DEMOCRACY? Bah!
00:16 on 16/12/2011
But this government is perfectly willing to veto action to preserve "the city" that wonderful institution that drove the world to the edge of the precipice and ensured the demise of the west as a strategic block. How's that for being a leading light in political circles.
20:55 on 14/12/2011
I'm sorry. I've just stopped myself choking on my coffee reading how Great Britain will be back in recession ... at what point did we come out of one? It's a Lewis Carroll 'jam yesterday' moment, with no 'jam tomorrow'.
Here's repeat number one: "We have not begun to see the worst". TWOP first said this in 2008. Things are getting worse by the day, not just the things happening right now, but the signs of what is going to be happening soon. We have not scratched the surface of the impending global economic disaster; we have not begun to see the worst.
Only TWOP's system of Majority Rule has the answer. In giving power to the voters we will entrust government to common sense. Our representative system promotes the will of lunatic minorities, not the sensible majority.
Majority Rule will work. We are the first revolutionary movement that wants to be elected to power. And, let's face it, getting elected is only a matter of having enough money to field enough candidates with a credibly-funded election campaign.The only thing stopping us is money.
And here's repeat number two. Fundraise for TWOP via Easysearch and Easyfundraising - details on request, folks - and create Great Britain. It's free, if you have broadband and confidential; we won't know who you are, unless you tell us.
You can watch as the impending horror unfolds, and be engulfed by it; or you can help us, and deal with it. Up to you!