Fresh Eurozone Crisis Fears Sparked Over Elections In Greece And France

PA  |  Posted: 07/05/2012 11:11 Updated: 07/05/2012 16:41   PA

Market Turmoil
There are fears the Greek election could throw the eurozone back into turmoil

Traders have warned of more market turbulence after elections in Greece and France fuelled uncertainty over Europe's ability to solve its debt crisis.

Germany's Dax and France's Cac-40 were more than 1% lower and the main stock exchange in Athens slumped 8% on Monday as markets worried that Greece's failure to form a government has placed further doubt over the country's rescue, increasing speculation over the eventual break-up of the single currency.

The election of socialist Francois Hollande as France's new president was widely expected but will add to growing expectations of a backlash against Europe's current austerity drive led by German chancellor Angela Merkel.

For Chancellor George Osborne, Hollande's victory can be added to the disastrous local election results as warning that electorates are losing faith and patience in austerity-driven economic policies.

London markets were shut today but could resume on the back foot after slumping 2% on Friday on fears the US recovery is running out of steam.

Analysts fear the result of the Greek elections, with no party winning enough votes to form a government, has left the country in political limbo, preventing much needed reforms.

Anita Paluch, a trader at Gekko Global Markets, said: "Having rejected the austerity, the country finds itself in a spot from where it may be difficult to meet its obligations and this is what is spooking the markets at the moment - the possibility of a disorderly default of a member state."

Ms Merkel also suffered a setback yesterday in a regional election in the northern state of Schleswig-Holstein.

Manuel Maleki, an analyst at ING Bank, said a new equilibrium will have to be found in Europe.

He added: "While the markets could initially worry about tensions between Germany and France, the possibility of a revision of the current recession-austerity mix in Europe is not necessarily a bad thing for the longer term stabilising the eurozone."

As well as the fresh European uncertainty, markets are worried over the state of the world's largest economy after figures on Friday showed US jobs growth slumped in April for a second month in a row.

The developments also add to pressure on the Bank of England as it meets to decide whether to offer more emergency support for the UK economy this week.

Experts are divided over whether the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee will increase its £325 billion quantitative easing stock, after injecting £50 billion in February. Interest rates will be kept at a record low of 0.5%.

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01:10 AM on 05/08/2012
Socialism is on the rise again because people rightly believe that those who have inflicted the pain upon them have never been held accountable, indeed, they have been "protected". Capitalism has let the people down badly.
12:03 AM on 05/08/2012
Holland'e will like all politicians who want your vote soon welch on his manifesto and soon be Merkels new poodle. The EU won't change its course for anyone.
They will make him an offer he can't refuse.
He will take it.
11:54 PM on 05/07/2012
I've been giving this weekends political developments a great deal of though. So after a lot of consideration I have two words that I think sum the situation up perfectly

1 - Shit.
&
2 - Fan
11:23 PM on 05/07/2012
martintillier has taken over the page, and it looks like he ate a dictionary, plain english please ,instead of all the bumph !
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martintillier
human
12:38 AM on 05/08/2012
It's not my fault if you don't understand plain English , you ask for it, and that's all I've used , maybe your vocabulary is not as extensive , but again, that's not a reflection on me, is it ? And far from taking over the page/s I have made a sum total of 11 comments, (including this one) , out of three pages of comments that have been made at the time of typing this one. Do you wish that we were limited in the amount of comments we can make ? Are you anti-intellect ? Seems like there is some inverted snobbery in your statement , the comment thread is for an article about economics, and you ask if ''they are all financiers and politically minded readers ? '' ... What did you expect , single syllable comments about fashion ? I would like to hear your opinion on what a ''normal'' reader is ...
11:21 PM on 05/07/2012
Are they all financiers and politically minded readers on here tonight !!!
Plain english please for normal readers - EU is doomed, and the quicker it is amicablly dissolved the better !!!
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jfoste3
10:49 PM on 05/07/2012
The financial disaster has yet to be felt, financial gurus on wall street are predicting that in time the Euro and the dollar will collapse followed by hyperinflation. Conservative Governments that are attempting to cut massive spending are being voted out of office, and replaced by socialist Government, the new breed of politicians are promising the people that they will not inflict the pain on the people by massive cut in spending. The French election sent shock waves across Europe. Recent UK election has sent the message. Cameron conservative Government will be voted out of office if a general election is held today. Another factor being ignored the western world in favor of cheap labor has begun to De Industrialize; massive job creation is in China and not in the west. Here is an example Apple mobile telephone was developed and invented in America, to day Apple employs approximately 46,000 workers in the USA, it is is manufactured in China where over 220,000 workers are employed. The stimulus adds more debt and does not for the long term increase Jobs in the west. My take buy Gold and UK prime property. to protect you from hyperinflation that is looming in the horizon, the precise date when it will occur is not known but there is a degree of certainty that it will arrive soon.
Joseph Foster, Author ‘’Seeing Red’’ ‘How America is losing the future’ Available at: http://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Red-Joseph-Foster/dp/1613468121/
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martintillier
human
08:47 PM on 05/07/2012
IMO , The so-called crisis was an engineered event,dreamed up and initiated by the biggest financial corporations,The Federal Reserve,The IMF,The World Bank and the Bank of England.The bail-out was the second part of a classic "double sting" and these new financial endemics are being consolidated by these same financial corporations.This kind of "end-game"has historical precedent before,between,during and after the two world wars. Populations economic expectations are periodically reset to ensure that social and economic advances for the majority do not just continue in an upward motion but are regressed to a similar point every few generations,with the subsequent increase in unemployment,wage decreases , loss of rights , decreased quality in education and a general dis-empowerment of the general working population. Politicians are the fixers for business,and the bigger the business, the greater the potential rewards for the politician that has "been of service",all in all,a very gloomy picture for the future,for at least a generation.
10:21 PM on 05/07/2012
Big bad consequences arise from small decisions. Greenspan, to please Bush refused to raise interest rates through 2003 and 2004. Gradual rises totaling 3% over that period would have cooled things down. Housing bubble would have deflated into an ordinary recession. But Bush and his cronies wanted cheap money to win the election with a boomlet.

Forget conspiracies and intentions. Look for idiocy, selfishness and accident.
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martintillier
human
10:40 PM on 05/07/2012
While your analysis may well be correct in the detail of a short period of time in one place , that doesn't mean there are no long-term intentions and no precedents for such by those whose interests are measured in larger sums than many countries entire GDP's . Any student of history can see that the economic cycle has been dominated by the same recurring endemics , these are not surely merely coincidental , but part of a larger more long term play that does not require any sophisticated or formal conspiracy , the vested interests share the same goals and know how to act without any prompting , and their system has hiccups yes, but the result for the masses is the same.
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PhilEssex
Statistically, 6 out of 7 dwarves are not happy.
08:47 PM on 05/07/2012
I've just been listening to the New's and to be honest it dosen't look good for the Eurozone right now and I can see Greece pulling out of the Euro, as they have to have yet another election, due to the fact at the moment no coalition Goverment can be formed. As for France, this is something to be watched with great interest, as Angela Merkel say's she will not budge on the austerity measures, she acts like a modern day Hitler and the Germans I know can't stand the woman, as do many more.
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martintillier
human
09:25 PM on 05/07/2012
Thanks for splitting up my one long comment , couldn't you have replied at the end ?
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PhilEssex
Statistically, 6 out of 7 dwarves are not happy.
12:07 AM on 05/08/2012
I do appologise.
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martintillier
human
08:30 PM on 05/07/2012
So,more economic shackles for Europeans to manacle themselves with,the(economic stability) tests will be too weak to give any real indication as to whether European banks and member states will be able to survive without yet more recessionary calamity.The real reason that we are to be forever in debt to the IMF and World Bank/Federal Reserve is that,when someone owes an debt which cannot be paid because they are forced to borrow their repayment from their creditor,then their creditor has them by the proverbial and can demand just about anything as part-payment-in-kind.In previous centuries the phenomena of the indentured slave made people aware of just what this situation means for the debtor,shackled to a debt that cannot ever be paid,the debtor is forced to adopt strategies for growth which they would never even contemplate under normal conditions.
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martintillier
human
08:32 PM on 05/07/2012
.This problem we face now,in Europe,is directly linked to the adoption of a single European currency,as well as being a tribute to the short-term views (to spending) of various incumbent administrations throughout the Euro-zone. More than at any time in history,money is credit.In other words,the vast majority of cash printed today has no real collateral to back it up,it is so many billions of,more or less,worthless money.An example of what this results in is demonstrated by the fact that,since 1900,the US dollar has been de-valued by over 90%,this has happened because the Federal Reserve,which has the monopoly on printing US dollars,has consistently printed without collateral,flooding the markets with dollars when there is recession so that people have money to spend,but when this is done,inflation soars,the money no longer buys what it used to and has become artificially and deliberately de-valued.
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martintillier
human
08:37 PM on 05/07/2012
Wealthy speculators who are part of the establishment,can actually profit from this dreadful practice,the average American just pays more to get the same,or pays the same to get less,depending on their earning power.This practice,along with fractional reserve banking,has meant that Americans prosperity has ceased to show an upward curve and in fact is starting to curve downwards.These same practices are being played out in the money markets of Europe,and this is why we hear so much about the markets fragility and its obviously nervous disposition.
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07:55 PM on 05/07/2012
All the euro used to mean to me,was that my dram in Greece cost the same as it did in France,and Q.E was a cunard liner. ahh happy days.ignorance was bliss ..
07:44 PM on 05/07/2012
lets get ALL our main services BACK IN PUBLIC OWNERSHIP and if some other party outside the uk owns it or part of IT hard s--- so lets get BRITAIN back into GREAT BRITAIN and if some faceless wonder from the goverment says you cant do that give two fingers and say we can do it if we WANT. (REMEMBER THE POLL TAX!!!!)
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mokgee
Sabu.Satsang, Samsara, Solitude...
07:41 PM on 05/07/2012
The parting of the ways, back to each individual country, this way each country will survive on it's own merits, relying on nobody else for handouts or subsidies, whilst remaining as a pact of solidarity. To each their own survival like every individual must....
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08:36 PM on 05/07/2012
I think you don't get, its Hotel california, there ain't no way out , not now, not in a decade not even in the next two.
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mokgee
Sabu.Satsang, Samsara, Solitude...
07:14 AM on 05/08/2012
Yep. your pessimism portrays the apathetic defeatist attitude of the British people. Imagine if the people of both world wars adopted that very attitude you epitomise, we would have been integrated now like it or not. Still your attitude is much easier, to surrender at least saves millions of lives, but what a dull and boring life it will be,,and most certainly is..............
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PhilEssex
Statistically, 6 out of 7 dwarves are not happy.
08:55 PM on 05/07/2012
Hear ,hear.
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Valksy
civis mundi sum
07:36 PM on 05/07/2012
Of course the markets fell.

Am I alone in recalling the London trader who went on the BBC breakfast news last year and let the cat out of the bag by saying that he loved austerity and hoped that it would never end?

A small handful of people has no qualms in letting countries crash and burn so that those few can make an absolute killing. They are laughing all the way to the bank while the rest of us sit in their carnage.
07:19 PM on 05/07/2012
LOL "Traders warn of market turbulence."
They ARE the market turbulence! "Ooo, I think I'm going to bet against the Euro - yes, I can feel it coming on - better sell Euros then, ‘cos that'll make it go down, oo noooo, the Euro's going down, better sell some… am I? am I going to sell? Oooo, the market is turbulent…"
Scum of the earth. All the hardship, all the debts, are due to people like that taking profits.
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Laatab
All The Worlds A Stage
06:38 PM on 05/07/2012
There will be a slew of money flowing to the banks now as they know good times are coming to an end so they'll grab as much as they can before these governments are ousted. Personally I would tear the whole financial edifice down and damn the consequencies. I want to see those bankers and politicians in soup kitchens. I want my bank, water, power, communications and transport back in public ownership.
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flumeinsummer
07:32 PM on 05/07/2012
Agree entirely, good post.
08:44 PM on 05/07/2012
laatab - be careful what you wish for - the worst water supplier in the UK is in Northern Ireland - State owned - they managed to run short of water in the monmt of December a couple of years ago in a country where it rarely stops raining and has the largest fresh water lake in the UK slap in the middle of the place ; they also had by far the most expensive electricity ; again State owned .

And the bank that is pushing up its lending rates more than any other is the Coop Bank - a supposed non profit making mutual bank - and if I recall nobody thought British Rail a huge success or the Post Office telephones - just because an activity is State owned does not mean it is well run - and based on past experience it rarely is
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Laatab
All The Worlds A Stage
04:50 AM on 05/08/2012
I'm old enough to remember the inefficencies and waste that can occur but you know what, I would rather put up with that than with the outright legalised criminality and corruption of the present corporate controlled entities. Having said that it doesn't have to follow that state owned assets are the most costly either.