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Climate Change 'Sceptics' Exploit Weaknesses in Journal Review Processes

Posted: 06/09/11 06:00 BST

Self-proclaimed climate change 'sceptics' place great weight on those very occasional journal papers that they claim justify the rejection of mainstream research about the causes and consequences of global warming.

However, it is becoming increasingly obvious that these papers, which usually contain fundamental flaws and errors, only find their way into the scientific literature by exploiting weaknesses in the review processes operated by some journals. But after publication, other authors point out the acute shortcomings in these papers, usually leading to a retraction or other remedial action.

So it was perhaps not surprising to learn last week that Wolfgang Wagner had resigned as Editor-in-Chief of Remote Sensing after his journal published a controversial paper by Roy Spencer and Danny Braswell, which purported to show that climate models make wrong assumptions about the amount of energy that escapes from the Earth's atmosphere.

In an extraordinary resignation statement, Wagner admitted that the journal had "unintentionally selected three reviewers who probably share some climate sceptic notions of the authors". He accepted that the reviewers of the paper had failed to acknowledge that Spencer and Braswell had simply ignored published research which refuted their findings. Wagner declared that the paper "should therefore not have been published" and announced that he was stepping down as a result.

Wagner also expressed concern about the way in which the paper had been misrepresented by climate change 'sceptics' and some parts of the media. In the days following its publication, the quality and significance of the paper were exaggerated on blogs and in news reports, creating an 'echo chamber' effect.

Wagner's is not the first editorial resignation that has been prompted by the publication of a paper celebrated by climate change 'sceptics'. In 2003, Hans von Storch stepped down as Editor-in-Chief of the journal Climate Research after it published a paper by Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas which concluded that "the 20th century is probably not the warmest nor a uniquely extreme climatic period of the last millennium."

In his resignation statement, von Storch stated that the review process for the paper had "utterly failed" and that its publication was "an error".

However, not every editor has accepted responsibility for the publication of a flawed paper, even when it has been retracted. Earlier this year, Stanley Azen, the Editor-in-Chief of the journal Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, requested the retraction of a paper by Yasmin Said, Edward Wegman and co-authors which had been published in January 2008.

The paper by Said and co-authors presented a 'social network analysis' of work by Michael Mann and other palaeoclimatologists who had published studies of the 'hockey stick' graph, showing that the recent rise in global average temperature is unprecedented over the last 2,000 years.

The retracted paper concluded that the work of the 'hockey stick' authors had been "refereed with a positive, less-than-critical bias" by authors within a social network of palaeoclimatologists. It claimed that the "entrepreneurial style" of co-authorship between the palaeoclimatologists "could potentially lead to peer review abuse".

The retraction stated that parts of the paper had been plagiarised from the work of others. However, questions have been raised about the quality of the paper itself, and about whether it could have received a proper review in just six days between its submission and acceptance for publication by Azen.

Of course, some journals refuse to accept any wrongdoing for the publication of a bad paper promoting climate change 'scepticism'. In 2008, Economic Analysis and Policy, the official journal of the Queensland branch of the Economic Society of Australia, published a paper by Bob Carter apparently refuting the main scientific conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

But the article contained numerous serious errors, as I pointed out in a rebuttal last year in the same journal. Even though Carter's paper about the science of climate change had not been subject to review, and contained demonstrable inaccuracies, the editors attempted to justify its publication in their economics journal on the grounds that "our objective is to publish controversies on current topics that are interesting to economists and a more general readership".

Climate change 'sceptics' often complain that researchers and editors conspire to use the journal review system to keep their work out of the scientific literature. But it is increasingly apparent that 'sceptics' have actually been able to exploit weaknesses in the review processes of journals in order to publish their work, even when it contains blatant mistakes.

Bob Ward is policy and communications director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at London School of Economics and Political Science.

 

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06:44 AM on 09/10/2011
You obviously have skin in the game and a vested interest in defending the pseudo-science practiced by government funded 'climate scientists,' but your attempt to bring down the carbon economy and the industrial revolution is misguided.

Obama and his supporters want job creation, but they impede the true shovel ready projects of our private energy producers instead wanting to tax and borrow to support their non-productive buddies in the education and public sectors with bureaucracy, infrastructure construction and climate research. Sure, some infrastructure construction is always needed, but better school buildings will do nothing to improve the abysmal record of non-education practiced by the public school systems of the country.

Let's build the Keystone pipeline and use Canadian oil to produce North American gasolene instead of Saudi, Iraqi, Libyan, or other mid east crude. Let's open ANWR in Alaska. The Trans Alaska Pipeline is in danger of shutting down due to decreased throughput and low flow velocitites. Let's re-fill it for our own domestic consumption. America still needs crude oil for liquid fuel products and no amount of windmills or solar cells can displace the demand for diesel and gasolene for transportation.

The new shale plays for natural gas and gas liquids and crude actually hold the promise of fulfilling the mythical search for American energy independence, yet the Obama administration and the Democrat power structure are captives of the radical green movement just as the Republicans are captives of the radical religious right movement.
12:46 AM on 09/12/2011
Spoken like a true believer in drill-baby-drill, frack-baby-frack, top-all-the-mountains-in-.sight. If it's not renewable let's do it!
07:30 PM on 09/07/2011
In this case, Spencer and Braswell's paper is so bad that it may have incorporated blatant hiding of contrary data.

http://bbickmore.wordpress.com/2011/09/06/roy-spencer-persecuted-by-own-data/
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Richard2
09:45 PM on 09/07/2011
It is telling that this article about the S & B paper is not written by a climate scientist, but rather by a public relations expert who specializes in spinning news about the global warming hypothesis.
He wants to supress open debate about the science behind climate science, by blocking access to journals to those not on The Team.

Hopefully many scientists will find flaws with the S & B paper and submit for publication at the same journal, so that working scientists can do what scientists do, advance our knowledge one small step at a time. The proper response to the S & B paper is legitimate scientific review, not censorship by the Masters of the Public Relations Universe.

Clouds. The subject of the S & B paper is clouds, and how they impact climate. Are they a positive or negative feedback, or both?
The CERN research in Europe is also about clouds.

Mr. Ward should be encouraging scientific debate about clouds, something it appears scientists have not yet completely figured out.
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
04:05 AM on 09/11/2011
The flaws in the S&B paper already have been found, if you read the article.
photo
Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
09:20 PM on 09/13/2011
R2: "It is telling that this article about the S
01:28 PM on 09/07/2011
The whole point about science is that it should be a free open debate about the evidence. YOU SIMPLY CANNOT HAVE A ONE SIDED DEBATE. The very idea that the evidence showing the inflated CO2 warming is wrong, should be repressed is entirely contrary to the very concept of science. Evidence should never be repressed. Anyone that fears evidence being published only does so because they themselves do not have the evidence on their side and has no other way other than repressing the evidence to win the debate.
01:08 AM on 09/12/2011
Haseler: " The very idea that the evidence showing the inflated CO2 warming is wrong, ..."

No one, anywhere, has brought any evidence of the sort to the table. NOBODY.

Some have said AGW is not the whole story, and that is true. But there has been no challenge to AGW that has come close to overturning the warming theory. At best the challenges might, MIGHT, explain some of the bumps and wiggles in the time series of temperature over the last 100 years. NONE, other that CO2, can explain the persistent positive slope of increasing temperatures,
01:22 PM on 09/07/2011
This is ridiculous. The people who are exploiting the weaknesses in the peer review system are the climate "scientists" who are shoving nonsense down our throats.

Why e.g. does it take good work like Svensmark on the link between solar activity and climate years to get published, when it only takes months for those who oppose his views. Why did the Spencer paper that again took years of effort to get publish, have a warmist rebutal out in a matter of 18 days. The answer is obvious for anyone that goes and looks:

“will keep them out somehow — even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!” (Phil Jones centre of the climategate scandal at UEA)

"we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal.” Mann author of the hockey stick.

“What you’ve got here is confirmation of the small group of scientists who, by the way, Professor Wegman who was asked to arbitrate in the debate about the hockey stick, he identified 42 people who were publishing together and also peer-reviewing each other’s literature.” Dr Ball explains.

How can there be any doubt that the whole system has been turned into a communist style propaganda instrument which brooks no opposition. And then you have the gall to suggest that sceptics are abusing the system by thwarting the climate censors and managing to get their papers into publication.
01:12 AM on 09/12/2011
Haseler: "...Svensmark on the link between solar activity and climate .."

Svensmark, like the CERN CLOUD expt, only address cloud nucleation physics. Both are premature at defining the net direction of cloud effects on temperature. Svensmark and the CERN people will never make that assessment, but the climates scientists you love to hate will.