The IAEA report on Iran's nuclear programme, released on 8 November, was the most damning report to date; describing in painful detail Iran's suspicious activities and weaponisation work.
The media hype and the build-up surrounding it was unprecedented, fed by selective leaks prior to its release.
But the report brought nothing new to the table. All the information it contained was already known to national intelligence agencies, and very little of it described activities conducted after Iran's temporary freeze in 2003. So why all the fuss?
Although the IAEA pointedly described that its information came from "more than ten member states", it is reasonable to assume that the bulk of it was the work of American and Israeli intelligence agencies. The report was essentially a compilation of previously known information with the IAEA's stamp of approval. This begs the question, why the need for IAEA blessing?
The international community has come to a standstill on Iran. Years of fruitless attempts at negotiations coupled with threats of military action and increasingly aggressive sanctions have not convinced the Iranians to change their course. Quite the opposite, no matter what is thrown at it, the Islamic Republic continues undeterred. So the West has decided to apply pressure any way it can.
Enter the IAEA.
The agency's legitimacy as international guarantor of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation regime (NPT) and the safety and security of civilian nuclear programmes, is being used to garner international support for more aggressive policies against Iran. In this particular case, for stronger international sanctions.
Although Israel has once again been banging the drums of war, it doesn't want to launch a strike against a powerful country like Iran, unless it has too. At least, not yet. Israel's hesitating because it is aware that it will not stop the programme, buying it, at most, two to three years, while increasing Iranian resolve and public support for nuclear weapons.
Israel views Iran as an existential threat. If the information in this report was enough on its own, to spark a military response, it is likely that Israel would have already done so. In responding to such threats, Israel has shown that it is prepared to live with international condemnation, like when it bombed Al-Kibar in 2007.
So the pressure the US and Israel placed on the IAEA to release this information was in support of another policy. The report is intended to generate momentum for a fifth wave of international sanctions against Iran.
To date, international sanctions have succeeded in slowing down Iran's programme. They have restricted access to essential foreign goods and materials that Iran cannot produce indigenously. They have also targeted individuals and entities involved in its nuclear and missile programmes, and raised the cost of doing business with Iran.
But they have not eliminated Iran's capacity or desire to continue on its nuclear trajectory. What would be required to affect Iran's strategic thinking, is not tighter unilateral sanctions from the US, EU and other allies, but the implementation of a unified sanctions regime, from all Iran's major trading partners.
But that isn't going to happen. Russia and China have not hidden their opposition, with the Russians immediately ruling out participation in new sanctions, and China loath to consider any policy which would have any negative impact on its energy supplies.
So the IAEA report has essentially preached to the choir, confirming to the international community what the Western governments have known for sometime. But what it hasn't done, is gain the support of the necessary partners for the kind of sanctions regime which would change Iran's strategic calculus.
There is no immediate apparent way to break this stalemate. Unless there is a major change in Iran's strategic calculus, which is not foreseeable at the moment, it is time to start thinking about policies to deal with a nuclear Iran.
Robert Koehler: Sanity in Exile
Nuclear program of Iran - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Iran's Nuclear Program - News - The New York Times
BBC News - Q&A: Iran nuclear issue
Iran nuclear program - Haaretz
Give the scaremongering a rest, we're not buying it
And not one mention of THEIR secret nuclear programme or nuclear weapons.
Not to mention their and the USA's constant threats of war against Iran.
And you want us to be worried about Iran?
Advocating greater sanctions on Iran by not only the war hawks but Iran's trading partners in order for Iran to give up her inalienable rights as a signatory to the NPT, a country who is not in violation of her obligations under the NPT is a crime against the Iranian people unless the hardship on the innocent does not bear on ones' conscious.
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This entire demonization on Iran has nothing to do with its civilian nuclear program but all about Israel and its desire to remain the sole power in the Middle East and as for the U.S. it is about regime change and creation of another puppet client state.
Some suggested reading;
Iran's Nuclear Program and the Legal Mandate of the IAEA
http://jurist.law.pitt.edu/forum/2011/11/dan-joyner-iaea-report.php
Spinning Iran's centrifuges
http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MH16Ak03.html
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2011/11/opinion-the-iaea-report-on-irans-nuclear-program-alarming-or-hyped.html
Though worded with a bit of care, this is nonetheless a baseless projection of yours-- you show no proof that anybody on the left approves "of an Iranian nuclear weapon because they see it as a solution to the Israeli problem", which is to say, the annihilation of the state of Israel by nuclear bomb.
Prove otherwise.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOtDGGNw-v0
The US intelligence agencies have known all of this since BEFORE 9-11. Congress has been briefed, as have two presidents. Yet there is still to date no comprehensive inspection of containers and no concerted effort afoot to secure our ports or airports from such danger, as there is likewise no real effort commensurate with the threat along our southern or northern borders.
Which leads me to conclude that: the threat is not perceived, despite appearances, to be serious by those in charge of making assessments of same, or the threat is real, but nobody wants to raise taxes so as to pay for what it would cost to seriously address the threat.
PS don't kid yourself, a 'military action' that 'targetted Iran's nuclear program' would, if it resulted in serious damage, be seen as, and responded to as, a declaration of war on Iran. And one of those reactions would almost certainly be the launching of a sustained attack on the uninspected, non-NNPT compliant Israeli nuclear program, which would bring the US into the war even if it hadn't been part of the attack