Sir Jeremy Greenstock On Palestine Statehood: 'We Have To Recognise Their Desperation'


First Posted: 19/09/2011 16:33 BST Updated: 25/11/2011 17:41 GMT

US envoys, flanked by Tony Blair and Catherine Ashton, the EU high representative for foreign affairs, headed over on a diplomatic mission to head off the Palestinian leadership's bid for full UN membership last week.

However, the mission proved unsuccessful, and the Palestinians are pushing ahead to the General Assembly for a vote on the 23rd September.

It seems likely that Britain will vote in favour of the Palestinian bid, though so far only nine out of 27 European Union countries have formally recognised a Palestinian state on the 1967 borders.

The Huffington Post UK asks Sir Jeremy Greenstock, Chairman of the United Nations Association, what the likely repercussions will be.

What is the thinking behind the Palestinian move for UN recognition?

The Palestinians are trying to indicate that the end of the road has indeed been reached, if the Israelis are not prepared to negotiate on the basis of a full stop to settlement building, for instance, which under international law is illegal.

They are very unlikely to get their application through the Security Council, which is necessary for full member statehood, but they can go to the General Assembly, where they are very likely to get two-thirds support or more in a vote. Although that won’t change much on the ground, it begins to change their unequal status for the negotiations to come with Israel.

Is President Obama correct to assert that it would be ‘counterproductive’ for the Palestinians to push for statehood recognition at the UN?

I wonder if what Obama is saying is calculated in Palestinian interests. Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority President, is attempting to do something new here because the Palestinian people are basically fed up with the zero that their politicians have brought them over the last 18 years.

Is there realistically much point in the Palestinians going ahead, when the Americans and the EU have sent over envoys to try to stop them?

The Palestinians are very reluctant to have this written off because the Americans want to start the negotiations on the old process. They see themselves as let down by the Americans, by the Europeans, even by their own Arab brethren, when they are so clearly the subject of occupation.

The most significant downside of their persisting is a further distancing from Israel - but Palestinians do not see themselves gaining anything from talking to Israel over the past couple of decades. There is a certain desperation in that position. More people need to understand that desperation, or it may turn into more violent channels. Israelis themselves need to take a decision in their own national interest to have a two state solution.

Is it only a peripheral concern for Israel that there is growing popular and diplomatic hostility from Turkey and Egypt?

It’s not totally peripheral. The Palestinians can see that the awakening of popular Arab opinion on the street is likely to go in their direction because the Arab people - as opposed to a number of Arab governments - are very conscious of the injustice they perceive the Palestinians as having suffered. If the Palestinians wait for the Arab Spring to mature, they may find themselves getting more support.

Will it detrimentally affect relations with the Arab world if the UN vote goes against the Palestinian bid?

It will create a greater gap between the mainstream of Arab popular opinion and the Western world. Personally, I feel that the Palestinians aren’t ready for full UN membership. They are disunited as a country and as a territory; they haven’t held elections since 2006 and their government is not showing full control of its own affairs because of the occupation. It may be that, objectively, they aren’t yet ready for it, but we have to recognise their desperation.

However, the General Assembly would be a fair and quite symbolic halfway house for this stage. I don’t think anybody should be opposing that.

FOLLOW HUFFPOST UK

 
 
  • Comments
  • 6
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
08:14 PM on 09/19/2011
I don't know if Obama remembers what he said last at that same general assembly. If i can remember he said the world is going to welcome a new member at the United nations. Why is he trying to veto his own words? was he just trying to please the world with his sweet speeches? America is the Greatest enemy to peace in the middle east.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
05:58 PM on 09/19/2011
It seems to me that the Israeli Apartheid State has completely lost international support at last...apart from that of the usual suspects of course.
To say I am disappointed with Obama is a massive understatement. Little that he actually does these days complies with his writings in "Audacity of hope" so what is he really all about???

A Welshman
photo
Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
06:38 PM on 09/23/2011
I agree with you, but I remember my European friends chastising us Americans for criticizing Obama over a year ago for his weak-kneed policies. The guy has no vision and apparently no real principles. 

He is just tasty bait for raging Republicans, much like Jimmy "the chipmunk" Carter was for Reagan.

The sad truth is that my country still does not have the wherewithal to come up with a real alternative to the idiotic policies of the Tea baggers and Republicans.

In short, we may soon have an American version of David Cameron in power!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
peter sfikas
Yia sou
08:22 PM on 09/23/2011
Obama, ShmObama. Obama has a silver tongue but very weak knees. No conviction for action behind the admittedly Shakespearean oratory. I think now, he's scared sh..less, of the threatening power of the special interests. Now we need a Miracle. I am not kidding.
lastpost
see biography
04:53 PM on 09/19/2011
"I wonder if what Obama is saying is calculated in Palestinian interests."
America is directed by Israel. If they were not, they would threaten to withdraw support and peace would suddenly become flavor of the month. They are now the Russian muscle behind Ben’s “Net”(anyahu) .The coincidence is, they once saw building a wall as the ultimate solution too.

"Palestinians do not see themselves gaining anything from talking to Israel over the past couple of decades"
Oh I don’t know. They now have some very nice apartment buildings to look at.

"opinion on the street is likely to go in their direction because"
the world can see that they are trying the peaceful approach, but getting a slap in the face for their trouble.

"if the UN vote goes against the Palestinian bid"
it will be confirmation of the ideology that might is right. Is that the route the UN thinks will lead to a peaceful world?

"the General Assembly would"
in fact be saying to the Palestinians, something futile this way comes.
Michael II
Neither the one, nor the only
04:18 PM on 09/19/2011
At the very least, recognition will give them a firmer footing to re-start negotiations. Abbas has said as much on several occasions. Palestine on its own has zero leverage over Israel, and is entirely at the whim of internal Israeli politics. By internationalising the issue, they hope to be taken more seriously.