Overconfidence Is The Key To Success, Says Study

Being Confident Beats Being Accurate

First Posted: 20/09/11 17:16 BST Updated: 11/10/11 18:49 BST

If you thought being overly confident and egotistical was a negative trait, you might want to think again, because according to a recent study, it could help you reap rewards in the workplace and beyond.

According to researchers from the University of Edinburgh and University of California, San Diego, having an overinflated belief in yourself in sport, business and even war, is actually good for you, and gets better results than those who thrive on accuracy.

The study was based on a mathematical model, which simulated the effects of overconfidence over different generations, comparing overconfidence, accuracy and under-confidence.

Although some use overconfidence as a shield when faced with high levels of uncertainty, the study found that being bold frequently brings in the rewards.

Over a long period of time, the evolutionary principal of natural selection will more likely be biased towards those who are boldly confident, meaning they’ll have more self-delusional descendants than those who are under-confident and full of insecurities.

However, although overconfidence fared well in this study in terms of rewards as well as being a great survival tactic, it also has its downfalls. The study warned that being too confident and cocky could cause a number of crashes along the way.

“The question now is how to channel human overconfidence so we can exploit its benefits while avoiding the occasional disasters,” says Dr. Dominic Johnson, from the research team.

Do you think overconfidence is a positive or a negative trait? Leave a comment and tell us your thoughts.

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If you thought being overly confident and egotistical was a negative trait, you might want to think again, because according to a recent study, it could help you reap rewards in the workplace and beyo...
If you thought being overly confident and egotistical was a negative trait, you might want to think again, because according to a recent study, it could help you reap rewards in the workplace and beyo...
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500 a
PATRIOTS AGAINST THE PATRIOT ACT !!!
02:31 AM on 11/06/2011
I agree. One must forge ahead with purpose and passion. Visioning what one believes is their highest aspirations is a sign of a leader.
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Ramkshrestha
Welcome to Nepal - the birthplace of Buddha
04:20 PM on 09/21/2011
However there must be balance, otherwise there could be disaster
10:21 PM on 09/21/2011
You are right. Unfortunately , there is no balance and many disasters.
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Richard Bartholomew
My micro-bio isn't empty.
06:09 AM on 09/21/2011
'Do you think overconfidence is a positive or a negative trait?'

I consider it a negative trait. Accuracy is truth, and truth is best.
11:47 PM on 09/20/2011
I work in advertising and have seen many senior positions filled with confident bullshitters on high salaries. That is not to say that they aren't without talent and capabilities in some areas. But the trick is to know where you're talents lie and let other people take over in areas where you're knowledge and talent are absent. The problem is that over confident people get to where they are by appearing knowledgeable in all areas.
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Artos
Down with Tyrants
11:26 PM on 09/20/2011
Confidence leavened with a healthy dose of rational caution will get you through life so that you end up alive and in one piece. Over confidence can get you an early grave or at the very least make you bald and a heart attack risk.
10:24 PM on 09/20/2011
Isn't banking and trading full of over-confident folk? Maybe not such a great thing after all.
10:51 AM on 09/21/2011
The point about this research is that it suggests that overconfidence is best for the individual, regardless of what's best for the population. Great for them, not so great for the rest of us.
10:24 PM on 09/21/2011
Good point.
10:35 PM on 09/21/2011
If the establishment had the spine to bring the individuals to account it wouldn't have been so great for them. Over-confidence leads to mistakes or deliberate malpractice due to the feeling of invincibility.

A good dose of confidence tempered with a sense of responsibility is surely the better option for both individual and wider society.
06:23 PM on 09/20/2011
When you know the Eurozone has been built by over-over-over-confident persons .....you can wonder what's the need for such characters ?

Just smart people would have been better to avoid such a "zombies-zone" to emerge !
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Malcolm Levene
06:09 PM on 09/20/2011
In my experience, overconfidence, when an understanding of how it might impact others is in place is a safer bet. Without that, it can lead to misunderstandings and messy outcomes.
05:43 PM on 09/20/2011
Sounds like an overly confident person did this research. Of course, words don't have the same meaning these days. So my understanding of the phrase over confident may differ from the idiots who did the study. Luckily I am over confident that everyone will agree with me.