Sir Richard Dalton, Former UK Ambassador To Iran, Says The West Is Pursuing The Wrong Strategy

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Iran

The Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 14/11/11 12:58 Updated: 14/11/11 18:04

Two of Britain's leading experts on Iran have criticised the UK's policies towards engaging with Tehran, painting a bleak picture in terms of prospects for achieving a solution on the Iranian nuclear programme.

Sir Richard Dalton, who was UK ambassador to Iran between 2003 and 2006, told a conference at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London (IISS) that the prospects for dialogue were "extremely poor".

The conference was organised before an alleged plot to assassinate the Saudi Ambassador in Washington last month, which the US blamed on the Iranian government, and which has led to America's relations with Tehran deteriorating further.

Sir Richard told the conference: "I am an optimist, but those who are optimists find it hard to sustain that, particularly at the moment. We are in a very dangerous situation with intransigence on both sides."

He said there was now a clear gulf between what senior politicians in London and Washington were thinking privately and what they were saying publicly. In a particularly stinging criticism of Foreign Secretary William Hague, he told the conference that William Hague's most recent comments on Iran had left the wider British public "completely in the dark."

Sir Richard was referring to comments made by Hague in the Commons on 9 November, when the foreign secretary said: ""We are prepared to have further talks, but only if Iran is prepared to engage in serious negotiations about its nuclear programme without pre-conditions. If not, we must continue to increase the pressure and we are considering with our partners a range of additional measures to that effect."

The former ambassador told the IISS that although Iran was nearing the point when it could develop a nuclear weapon, he believed Tehran was pushing towards the goal of what he called "latency" - where Iran would have the capability to produce nuclear missiles, but would only hold that option in reserve.

"Iran believes it is gaining strength as the West declines," he said, adding he wasn't sure that any further sanctions by Tehran by the West would "lead to any positive development."

He finished by saying: "We need more frankness about the limits of the current policy, including the limits and dangers of the military option. We need frankness about what is driving policy, which I think is short-term political consideration.

"If this issue is left, it doesn't get better. In fact it gets worse."

Sir Richard's opposition to greater sanctions was echoed by former Tory Chancellor Lord Lamont, who is now the chairman of the British-Iranian Chamber of Commerce. Speaking primarily from a business perspective, Lord Lamont criticised sanctions against Iran, particularly the broad-spectrum sanctions imposed by the United States.

"The regime in Cuba would have fallen long ago if it had not been for sanctions. Much the same is happening with Iran," he said. "I don't know what will work, but I know that sanctions don't work."

Lord Lamont accused the US of "trying to impose its own laws on other countries in an extra-territorial way. The US leans on banks financing legal Iranian industries like pistachios, and tells them they cannot do business in the US if they continue.

"It drives people in Iran towards connections with smuggling. If we had completely free trade we would have lessened the power of the Revolutionary Guard."

Lord Lamont said the West had developed a "myopic" relationship with both Saudi Arabia and Iran, selling arms to the Saudis in the false belief that Iran could possibly attack the country. While Lord Lamont said he believed thousands of political prisoners were currently being held in Iran, he failed to understand the West's attitude to the Saudis. "

"The west regards Saudi as a moderate regime, but there is quite a lot that Saudi has to answer for a variety of human rights issues," he said.

"We are about to see more sanctions, all that will do is damage the private sector in Iran, and increase the influence of the revolutionary guard."

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Two of Britain's leading experts on Iran have criticised the UK's policies towards engaging with Tehran, painting a bleak picture in terms of prospects for achieving a solution on the Iranian nuclear ...
Two of Britain's leading experts on Iran have criticised the UK's policies towards engaging with Tehran, painting a bleak picture in terms of prospects for achieving a solution on the Iranian nuclear ...
 
 
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13:01 on 16/11/2011
Sanctions and bullying words and threats of war are not the answer . . they only serve to show how out of touch our leadership is with reality . . we don't need more wars . . we need dialogue. Iran wanting nuclear capability is understandable . . .heck Iran has signed the NPT . . . . israel hasn't and it has at least 250 nukes . . Iran has none but after what happened to Iraq . . Iran would be foolish not to want to protect itself . . .
00:14 on 15/11/2011
Sanctions or no Irans government will do what they please. Our only real hope is that the Iranian people see the path they are being taken down and remove the present government. But I fear that for them to do so would cost them many, many lives.
13:30 on 17/11/2011
This is called the lala land strategy because while Iranians are fragmented over domestic social/political issues and personal freedoms, they collectivly support their country's nuclear program and would unite over external threats.
13:48 on 17/11/2011
Then we have no option other than to accept the fact that they will obtain nuclear weapons and will then be al but untouchable. Once they have them action becomes irrelevant. You cannot stop someone obtaining what they already have. Nobody is going to attempt to disarm a nuclear armed Iran, the thought of the release of nuclear weapons in that region would give the west greater pause than anywhere other than their own soil. Another point is if the west can tolerate a nuclear armed Pakistan why worry about Iran?
16:04 on 14/11/2011
I have always said there is a simple solution to this issue which is that all the nuclear states agree that Iran should be allowed to develop its declared peaceful nuclear power capabilities including enhanced uranium development techniques. But the minute that a single nuclear warhead is manufactured or a nuclear weapons test is carried out, then the people of Iran have 10 days to throw out the govt and elect with a more peaceful and honest one or they are subject to a nuclear annihilation.
15:33 on 14/11/2011
No wise man tries every day what he has proved wrong the day before.James Adams
--
Dreamers of an unexisting world–wake up to reality!
Showing weakness toward a idiology ready to use force to impose its desire worldwide doent cooling it down.
They get more power,later the price of confrontation increases exponentially.
1:Ahead of WW2 the Nazi ideology was ignored.
Nazi were not confronted when they annexed Alzas,Austria,build a huge army ignoring international agreements.
Czechoslovakia was offered and peace comes to earth for generations.
(Chamberlin)
2:German army before WW2 trained in USSR.
USSR ignored Nazi ideology, the quest for the Salves land.
This didn’t prevent the Nazi to attack the Soviets
3;Lesson:
Study the others ideology,lesson what is said to their people,make up your mind later.
People driving the road of their own ideas,not paying attention to the surrounding leads to huge abbeys,dead end
---
Islamist Iran ideology people should know.
(All the following points are Iranian leader's declaration and documents, easy to prove)
*The Final Armageddon war between Iran Islamist and the world will be soon
*The war result will be worldwide enforcement of Shia type Islamic mighty caliphate.
*End of democracy,liberalism
*Denying human rights,woman equality.
*Main terror supporter.
*USA is the big satin.
*Prof Bernard Lewis the West’s #1 expert on Islam warned of the:
APOCALYPTIC MINDSET OF THE IRANIAN EADERSHIP.
Islamism theocrats cannot be deterred by the arms control that worked with USSR