Christine Lagarde: IMF Boss Says Gloomy Times Ahead And Every Economy Is At Risk

Christine Lagarde

First Posted: 15/12/2011 21:13 Updated: 15/12/2011 21:17

Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, has issued a stark warning to world markets by claiming the future is “gloomy” and every economy in the world is at risk.

Her comments came as tensions between London and Paris were heightened further after the head of France's central bank suggested that the UK was a candidate for a credit rating downgrade.

Speaking on Thursday Legarde said: "There is no economy in the world, whether low-income countries, emerging markets, middle-income countries or super-advanced economies that will be immune to the crisis that we see not only unfolding but escalating,"

"It is not a crisis that will be resolved by one group of countries taking action. It is going to be hopefully resolved by all countries, all regions, all categories of countries actually taking action," Reuters reported.

"It is going to require efforts, it is going to require adjustment, and clearly it is going to have to start from the core of the crisis at the moment, which is obviously the European countries and in particular the countries of the eurozone."

Earlier, tensions between London and Paris were heightened further after the head of France's central bank suggested that the UK was a candidate for a credit rating downgrade.

France is bracing itself for the potential loss of its coveted AAA rating after two credit agencies last week indicated they were considering marking down countries across the eurozone.

But Banque de France governor Christian Noyer said they should instead be looking at the UK because of the scale of debt and inflation and the poor levels of growth and bank lending on this side of the Channel.

His comments came a day after President Nicolas Sarkozy was quoted as branding David Cameron an "obstinate kid" for refusing to sign up to a treaty to rescue the euro last week.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank said in a report on Thursday that Europe needs to adhere to stricter budgetary rules than agreed to at the Brussels summit last week.

And, Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, said in a speech on Thursday that there is "no external savior" for the eurozone and that struggling countries should supposedly save themselves by cutting spending and agreeing to more control of their budgets by the European Union, according to the Associated Press.

"There is no external savior for a country that doesn't want to save itself," Draghi said in Berlin.

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Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, has issued a stark warning to world markets by claiming the future is “gloomy” and every economy in the world is at risk. Her comments came as t...
Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF, has issued a stark warning to world markets by claiming the future is “gloomy” and every economy in the world is at risk. Her comments came as t...
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12:08 PM on 12/16/2011
Rating Agencies are mercenaries under the control of the US government and the major financial companies. The financial companies that pay their fees day in day out for information on Governments and Sectors of industry. In 2008 all these agencies had CDS and Mortgage default swaps as AAA investments right up to about 2 weeks before the collapse.
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JackHoffman
Pundit
09:45 AM on 12/16/2011
Print already! Jeebus!
09:37 AM on 12/16/2011
Quote: "Banque de France governor Christian Noyer said they should instead be looking at the UK because of the scale of debt and inflation and the poor levels of growth and bank lending on this side of the Channel."

He has a point. The question is, when will one of the rating agencies turn the spotlight on the UK? Does anyone really believe that the UK economy supports a triple A rating on its debt?
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werba
11:06 AM on 12/16/2011
Yes, those who actually know about these matters do indeed consider rthat the UK merits AAA rating, for many reasons. Firstly, London is the most important financial centre in the world - there is literally no comparison with anywhere else, on any measurable grounds; secondly, the UK economy has the capacity to absorb quantitative easing, which the Euro countries do not; thirdly, credit ratings are based solely on whether or not the agency considers that the country in question has in place a viable plan to reduce its defecit, which the UK does.

May I just add that this petulant little remark by this minor French gentleman was a response to an unwise remark made by George Osborne, to the effect that France might lose its rating. Yah boo! Sucks to you, Osborne minor - is all he was trying to say.
11:35 AM on 12/16/2011
Quote: "Firstly, London is the most important financial centre in the world"

A plus only if casino operations can be restrained to stop a repetition of the financial meltdown of 2008.

Quote: "the UK economy has the capacity to absorb quantitati­ve easing, which the Euro countries do not"

Since QE has not yet been allowed in the Eurozone how can you make this claim?

Quote: "credit ratings are based solely on whether or not the agency considers that the country in question has in place a viable plan to reduce its defecit, which the UK does"

This is purely a matter of opinion, and opinions can change very quickly. Furthermore the plan depends on many factors which are not under the control of the UK government.

Quote: "those who actually know about these matters"

I wouldn't trust a ratings agency to tell me the time accurately.
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08:44 AM on 12/16/2011
its about time time it did >making money from money is just so wrong on many levels
08:29 AM on 12/16/2011
At some point ..... the party MUST come to an end
08:11 AM on 12/16/2011
The French have there anglophobe hats on. Cannot trust them as far as you can throw them.
07:55 AM on 12/16/2011
This soveriegn debt is all due to the banks being given tax payers bailouts. The banks had mortgage default swaps that runs into Trillions and when the housing market collapse where left holding the bag. The banks sold mortgages of up to and more than 5 times the annual salary and gave 125% mortgages on the promise that the houses would be worth more when the buyer did sell the house, in other words gambling. The taxpayers bailed out the banks but has the banks bailed out their customers. The easy way out is for all the governments to inflate this debt away and it starts will Beggaring their neighbours, then when that does not work introducing more money into the economy and when that does not work increase interest rates to start inflation then the final step hyper inflation. Their is a much easier solution allow the banks to take their loses, impose a minimum deposit of 10% down for a Mortgage, no more that 3.5 times salary which has to be check by a 3rd party. If the House costs more then have a bigger deposit. Lets all do what Iceland did and tell the banks to get stuffed.
09:59 AM on 12/16/2011
I agree with your what you point out. One should also not forget the repeated failure
of experts and the media. Thus life is full of surprises and experiences time and again.

A very popular video exists with Peter Schiff and a bunch of others showing them forecasting
and predicting before the last crisis. It looks like as if recent history could somehow
be repeated, included the mess and meddling of an often rather useless media.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I0QN-FYkpw
06:21 AM on 12/16/2011
Well the only way things maybe sorted is if the rich actually took pay cuts! LOL! And they might have to if it all crashes! LOL!
05:10 AM on 12/16/2011
Why worry, nobody cares what the French say anyway, not since the early 1940s, when their "friends" in Germany decided to help themselves !

Oh Yea !

DONT MENTION THE WAR !!!
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
07:32 AM on 12/16/2011
Granted, Germany tried to take Europe by force twice in recent history and failed. The first time brought an end to the Monarchies in Europe,  WWII did even worse. 

But Germany has good lawyers and spin artists, too.  If everyone is a European, then Germany is European and you can't hold an alleged German historical desire for conquest against Europe, because it's allegedly a totally different DEMOCRATIC entity comprised of lots of different cultures.  (Plausible deniability, built right into the concept just in case it was needed.) 

But will this idea fly, given the recent actual desire of the EU to avoid referendums, the attempt to protect their banks from another Greek haircut, and the hard push for a 'fiscal compact' controlled by the dominant state (Germany)?

Would any ordinary working citizen of any of those countries buy that this large but very ill leopard has changed its spots and morphed into a friendly housecat?  Would any politician in any of those countries who felt his primary loyalty was to his own citizens try to sell it?

Look at the europolls and Der Spiegel.  Even FR and DE citizens want out.  Unfortunately, the pols are listening to the obscenely wealthy, who have a ton of money at stake and are running the EU.

Latest update on the fiscal compact:  Hungary and Czech Republic just said 'nein' to the fiscal compact's clause giving control over their taxing and expenditures to EU...hit the web about an hour ago.  Holland is leaning no despite their original vote, and with the prospective new player and potential game change, Sweden is probably nein, too.

Watch this space!
03:31 AM on 12/16/2011
Ach to hell with it - who's for another brandy?

Economy....even as a former economist I'm getting bored of all this now.

F 'em - it's Christmas.
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
04:29 AM on 12/16/2011
David, this ain't economics, it's poker.  I've got single malt, cigars, and a deck of cards. Wanna play Texas Hold 'Em?  I'll play for the UK, you can take Germany, if we can get someone to play for France my new best friend Vlad will play as a wild card.

Winner take all, of course.
08:28 AM on 12/16/2011
No so fast ... who's covering the bets ?
I thought you're all broke .... lol
11:36 AM on 12/16/2011
Deal me in, I like the sound of the malt and cigars...
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Kritikos
Intelligence is not a science
03:25 AM on 12/16/2011
Bloody 'ell.......
Peabodies
We are the Many. They are the Few.
02:50 AM on 12/16/2011
The IMF is losing every and any shred of credibility it ever had. If it can''t prevent and manage, humanely, HUMANELY, the austerity crisis hitting the European Union countries, AND the U.S., why have an IMF and World Bank AT ALL? Whose side are they on? The ""international bankers'' welfare, not ours, that''s for sure.

Read Naomi Klein ""The Shock Doctrine"".
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
02:57 AM on 12/16/2011
WorldBank has no credibility and the IMF isn't any better.
03:33 AM on 12/16/2011
We should storm the Bastille!!

Who's with me?! Raise the banners!

Liberty, Equality, FRATEEEEERRRRRNITTYYYYYYYY!!!!!

But seriously - let's have a revolution; they're great fun.
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
08:04 AM on 12/16/2011
Hey, I was in France in '93 right before they went to the euro...I never cashed in my francs, so I'm good to go, just tell me where and when!
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Mike Beckett
LibDem Cllr & Director of Caring for Business Ltd
01:13 AM on 12/16/2011
The UK would be in the gloom if we suffered more hard labour with a Balls up of a economic policy forged by a minibrand of spending our childrens inheritance and further mortgaging our future then we would not be triple AAA and the increased interest charges would more than offset with a recycled stimulus growth plan.
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
01:55 AM on 12/16/2011
You're a libdem and criticizing Labour? I read what Nicky said and then played the Miliband comments and thought they'd been separated at birth. That gloom and doom rhetoric might motivate folks if they weren't hypnotized by disasters happening in their everyday lives all courtesy of the EU.

Of the big3, FR can't avoid a 2step downgrade (merde!), DE should go next with a single step (Merkel just kept signing up her taxpayers for the early bailouts; even Der Spiegel is nervous), IT is in freefall, then ES and a few other eurostates...it will be a while before those poor overworked rating services will get around to UK. 

And now there's a new player with megabucks ready to take the pot away from Merkel if the fiscal compact goes through...that should scare off a few more, like Hungary and the Czech Republic. 

I got a few bucks riding on the coalition floating a change to Labour/libdem and trying to shut the Tories out: a dangerous strategy after that 3line whip.  I can lose that but I really wanted those bragging rights.
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Mike Beckett
LibDem Cllr & Director of Caring for Business Ltd
02:36 AM on 12/16/2011
If I were to indulge in idle speculation. One could suggest that while Nationalists are needed to achieve a LibDem/Labour Coalition due to the electoral calculus.

The thinking of an influential number of LibDem/Labour people would perhaps be that such a coalition would be perceived as 'weak with limited longevity and stability'.

Therefore one may assume a risk assessment would conclude this is a currently a very risky circumstances, to be avoided.

Unless you are right and of course the Tories behaviour escalates and they forge an alliance of defiance that unifies those that oppose them...
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Stefan Bast
Just a punk from Hamburg, Germany.
03:17 AM on 12/16/2011
Looking at the well understood german national interest, Merkel should have fired out that money sacks at the other European Nation like there iwere no tomorro. An intact Euro market for german products would have easily been a good trade for Germany, even if Merkel had to offer to buy up all that greek liabilities with french and american banks and bundle it as a bad bank, without asking anything from the Greeks.to stop the erosion early on.
The number of unemployed in Germany right now is (still) at a record low, and with the booming export thanks to Euro, Merkel can even talk about lowering taxes without cutting any vital revenue..Sadly she did not spend that money on keeping the best market intact, Germany ever had.
03:34 AM on 12/16/2011
That's Labour for ya! Spend someone else's money then get out of office and blame the other side!!
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
08:44 AM on 12/16/2011
David, I can't seem to answer you above....I've posted it repeatedly, and there's one in there again, but some mod has a problem with me (been going on a while.)  If this doesn't go through, I give up, but I wanted you to know what the problem was!
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George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
12:37 AM on 12/16/2011
Here in Australia, our economy is still booming with low unemployment and $200 billion of mining investment over the next few years to the extent that all visa restrictions are lifted for skilled workers.

In the UK, graduates from all faculties are experiencing difficulties finding employment. I saw an interview with a UK Engineering graduate and 35 of 36 of his course were headed down under.

A good number of refugees coming on the boats are often professional people like Doctors, Architects etc. Australia is a good example of a multicultural society that includes all religions living relative harmoniously.The average wage in Australia is circa $60,000 pa and employees get 12% super paid by their employer and of course our health service is free.

When you consider the diversity of beauty in Australia, you can understand why we feel we are the luckiest country on earth. (And we're one of the few countries that like yanks)
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floodberg
Attorney (ret.)
01:16 AM on 12/16/2011
Regrettably, Australia had better pay attention; you've got increasing income disparity (eg, the very rich are getting richer while every other economic group is getting poorer.)  Your WB gini is .35 and rising...someone better keep an eye on legislative changes, because that's the profiteering that busted the US and UK. 

I have a close friend who is a CEO in Melbourne...her firm needs someone with heavy corporate finance experience.  I can't blame you guys for not wanting more lawyers, but my old MBA will give me a priority visa...that's a huge mistake.  No one really needs MBAs, and bankers and hedge-funders could sneak in!  Quick, change that!
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George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
01:47 AM on 12/16/2011
Australia had strong financial legislation in place and reacted to the GFC immediately such that we never experienced a recession.

And Amawolf, you're exactly the type that we'd prefer not to come. We are a very positive people who don't like people who are up themselves like you.
01:19 AM on 12/16/2011
No real history , no culture , just floating by yourselves in the southern hemisphere . No thanks , keep your shrimps on your bbq , droughts and boredom . You are welcome though to spend those dollars on some real life in europe .
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George McAulay
Delighted to meet you
01:56 AM on 12/16/2011
Australia's average IQ as is much of the world's is 110. The USA average is 98 (Wall Street Journal) and is said to be caused by the sports scholarship system.

I've travelled your country mate and as an aussie I got treated excellently by Americans. I can make a comment about the USA from experience but you have no idea of Australia. As we would say 'you're blowing it out your shorts'
02:00 AM on 12/16/2011
Good grief...what a grinch
12:34 AM on 12/16/2011
A New World Order !.