Global Economy Slowing Down: World Bank

World Economy

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 18/01/12 09:23 GMT Updated: 18/01/12 09:23 GMT

The global economy is heading for a slowdown, the World Bank said on Wednesday, as the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis and weak growth in other major economies weigh on growth.

The bank now predicts that global growth will slow to 2.5% in 2012, down from an estimate of 3.6% from June, with a marked difference between developing and high-income countries, which are forecast to grow at 5.4% and 1.4%, respectively. The eurozone is likely to contract by 0.3%.

Commodity prices have begun to fall back and the growth in global trade is slowing - from 12.4% in 2010 to 6.6% in 2011, with a forecast of 4.7% in 2012, according to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report.

Should the debt crisis in Europe get any worse, no country will be safe from the results, the bank said. At the beginning of the financial downturn it was thought that so-called "decoupling" - a lack of economic links between the global South and the industrialised world - might protect developing countries.

However, it was shown that the globalisation of financial liquidity, as well as of trade and supply chains, meant that the crisis was felt around the world. Countries need to prepare, as they have fewer policy instruments to be able to respond than they did in 2008, the bank warned.

“An escalation of the crisis would spare no-one," Andrew Burns, manager of global macroeconomics at the World Bank and the report's author, said in a release accompanying its launch. "Developed- and developing-country growth rates could fall by as much or more than in 2008/09.”

“The importance of contingency planning cannot be stressed enough.”

The World Bank's report warns that the biggest risk to the global economy remains the ongoing eurozone crisis, and shows that volatility in European financial markets has spread to emerging markets, and added to the cost of borrowing for developing countries.

The risks to the euro area remain. Although Tuesday saw some moderation in market sentiment, Wednesday morning saw stock indices retreat again, as investors once again focused on the real threat that Greece may fail to secure a second bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund (IMF).

FOLLOW HUFFPOST UK

The global economy is heading for a slowdown, the World Bank said on Wednesday, as the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis and weak growth in other major economies weigh on growth. The bank now predic...
The global economy is heading for a slowdown, the World Bank said on Wednesday, as the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis and weak growth in other major economies weigh on growth. The bank now predic...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 6
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Post Comment Preview Comment
To reply to a Comment: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to.
View All
Recency  | 
Popularity
01:48 PM on 01/18/2012
Economic megaprojects can help the economy and can create new jobs. Objects for investments during the global economic crisis. Business growth in the crisis. About these megaprojects, possibly, will be written on the internet a more details, keyword konsyltacii.
What companies are worth buying and in what areas of activities knowing some of the new technologies?

http://twitter.com/easypayshop

http://twitter.com/konsyltacii_com
lastpost
see biography
01:18 PM on 01/18/2012
“The importance of contingency planning cannot be stressed enough.”
When making a rod for one’s own back. Best keep it slim enough to be snapped.
12:13 PM on 01/18/2012
March will see the biggest bond crash in history. The economy was an illusion-we've been robbed everywhere,

http://rmiglobal.org/2012/01/18/default-prep-greece-anti-racism-law-distracts-from-goldman-sachs-takeover/
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Norma Ward
12:10 PM on 01/18/2012
As shown in this article, the "credit lifeline" thrown to Argentina by the IMF during the 1990s ultimately led to the world's largest sovereign debt default:

http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/11/sovereign-debt-default-learning-lessons.html

Apparently, lifelines from the IMF are not the panacea that one would hope.
photo
OzzieTonto
“Hatred, the only thing that lasts.”
11:46 AM on 01/18/2012
Opinion is firming that this condition is because of the Anglo-American financial attack: a bear raid on a community which has done all the right things, whose Euro threatens the ruined Dollar.

Goldsuck and Morethanwecan Stanlee are prime offenders here, not Greece or Ireland, their poster children for so long, who played the game and
got gamed...

I haven't even read this article: so shoot me: the World Bank's credibility could hardly get worse - which superannuated neocon is in charge of it now? I forget.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ramkshrestha
Welcome to Nepal - the birthplace of Buddha
11:27 AM on 01/18/2012
Yes, yes