20 Years Since John Major's 1992 Election - A Retrospective

The Huffington Post UK  |  By Posted: 6/04/2012 11:15 Updated: 7/04/2012 10:47

Twenty years ago this week John Major was re-elected as prime minister, against all the odds, to give the Tories a fourth consecutive term in office.

Amid a deepening recession nearly all the polls suggested Labour would win. Even the exit polls on election night predicted that Major would lose - and the next day's newspapers boldly declared a hung parliament.

They were wrong. Despite being mocked as unexciting and struggling to crawl out of Margaret Thatcher's shadow, Major secured a majority of 21 in the Commons, the last Tory leader to form a single-party government.

Sheila Gunn, who was then political correspondent for The Times, told The Huffington Post UK that Major's 1992 victory was a surprise.

"Even the right-wing Tory press didn't expect him to win," she said. Despite infamous newspaper front-pages lashing out at Labour leader Neil Kinnock, Gunn suggested they were more motivated by an anti-Kinnock feeling rather than a hope for Major to win.

The turning point for Major came late in the game. Kinnock, according to Gunn, had battled rumours that he had a fiery temper and was arrogant. The Sheffield Rally, where Kinnock was hailed as the "next prime minister", served to confirm those perceptions.

In a private meeting with Kinnock soon after, Gunn was told by Kinnock that he could feel the "momentum slipping away."

Three years later, and amid mounting internal feuds within the Tories over European integration, Gunn was hired by the Tories to be Major's political press secretary. She says that she was brought in by the Conservative Party Chairman, Brian Mawhinney, to tighten up Major's engagement with the media - especially after one too many gaffes when he didn't realise the microphone was on.

Major infamously referred to senior members of his Cabinet - including Michael Portillo - as "the bastards" - telling an interviewer that it was safer to keep ardent eurosceptics in government than to have them plotting against him on the backbenches.

Major would always listen to advice but not be guaranteed to take it, Gunn said. "But then again, he was prime minister."

When Major was ousted by Tony Blair in the 1997 election, the New Labour landslide ended a 7 year premiership. Gunn is quick to say what Major's government will be remembered for - "a responsible economic legacy and laying the foundations for the Good Friday Agreement - I think history will look kindly on the Major administration."

Major also had a personal triumph in getting so far, under a different bias than David Cameron. "He had to battle against the view that he wasn't posh enough!" says Gunn.

Though the twilight of the Major era is known for being swept up in the "back to basics" and "Tory sleaze", Gunn points out that the tarnished MPs were "backbenchers, not Cabinet members."

"He held the Conservative Party together," Gunn adds.

Michael Dobbs, who served as Deputy Chairman to the Conservative Party in 1994-1995, told HuffPost that the end of Major's government seemed inevitable.

"Government, after it has been in office for a long time, tends to turn inwards. You’re not really looking at the outside, you’re looking at the inside. It was quite clear to me that we were going to lose, and I think we should have lost, because we had run out of steam.

"Once a party gets into that position, no matter what the opposition is – the electorate always turns around and says it is time to go.

"There comes a point in government where there is no solution. John had an impossible job to do at that point, there was nothing he could have done that would have been right."

Major's achievement in keeping his party together after Thatcher's departure is praised by one his own whips. Gyles Brandreth, who was MP for Chester and a senior government whip, told us: "From Mr Major’s day, a small majority leaves you absolutely in the hands of oddballs. When I first became an MP, we had a majority of 21, by the time it was over we had a majority of nil. So literally one person going sick or going off the rails – and you were sunk! It was a great achievement of Major to steer the course."

Brandreth suggests the current prime minister will draw lessons from John Major, as he tries to keep the coalition together.

"I think Cameron will remember that [Major's government]. Cameron is a realist - the truth is, in the UK, most people live in the centre ground.”

1992 - A Narrow Victory
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John Major wins election on 9th April 1992, getting over 14 million votes.

Despite his narrow majority, he received more votes than any Prime Minister ever had in electoral history.
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Twenty years ago this week John Major was re-elected as prime minister, against all the odds, to give the Tories a fourth consecutive term in office. Amid a deepening recession nearly all the poll...
Twenty years ago this week John Major was re-elected as prime minister, against all the odds, to give the Tories a fourth consecutive term in office. Amid a deepening recession nearly all the poll...
 
 
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08:20 PM on 04/10/2012
Can we at least HOPE that its much longer before the chinless wonders get a majority again but at least John boy got it on with Edwina so he deserves a vote or two for that endeavor at least jammy bugger and they called him the grey man Red xxx
05:08 PM on 04/09/2012
Ahh yes. "Back to basics" and "family values".

Didn't work.
03:39 PM on 04/09/2012
I am glad to hear that the Labour Party are to scrap the "granny tax", so they should, it is an inquitis and unfair cut, which will certainly affect many pensioners. They will get my vote for this, but will they keep their promises??????
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:15 PM on 04/08/2012
1997-2010 - RIP Great Britain - the sexual revolution is complete and mass immigration and government debt have destroyed the country.
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hearthammer
If left is right and right is wrong, decide!
10:04 AM on 04/09/2012
But you're still here? Want us to get a whip round together to get you out?
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:34 AM on 04/09/2012
Sure, we are all still here to carry the burden and pay for Labour's excesses.
05:35 PM on 04/09/2012
Government debt partly caused by bailing out the bankers.
When will they pay us back?
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
02:26 PM on 04/08/2012
The last tory to win a majority? What about Tony Blair?
08:22 PM on 04/10/2012
Well said TC Red xxx
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ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
10:52 AM on 04/08/2012
Neil Kinnock conducting a masterclass in how to lose an election.
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Ben Wilson
What's the story mourning Tories?
08:45 PM on 04/07/2012
I feel depressingly confident the Tories will win the next election. Labour I agree is in a similar state to what it was in 1992. I've never been able to bring myself to vote for Labour and in principle I am a Labour supporter, but I can't stand this bunch of clowns. No unity, focus, ideas, plan of action or demostration of the qualities that make you fit to lead.

I'm at the point now where it's simply about seeming (and of course being) capable. I'm willing to vote against my personal convictions I am desperate for proper leaders. This I know is a dangerous mind set. But I've always been a defiant voter. Vote for anyone excpet the main 3, is my guide. I encourage the Green Party to get more presence in the East Midlands. I don't enjoy voting BNP and UKIP!
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12:10 PM on 04/08/2012
Stick with your principles Ben vote labour and we certainly will not have this lot In office ever again
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
12:35 AM on 04/09/2012
Nice one Joe'..ditto'...Do we really want to experiment with another bleedin' coalition?...Keep the faith'..Don't split the vote...Just the sort of tactics the Nasty Party will rely on Ben uh?
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hearthammer
If left is right and right is wrong, decide!
10:06 AM on 04/09/2012
Labour - the Red Rose Torys! Find another party that mirrors your views! There must be one! It's time to take down BOTH Tory parties and their LibDum lapdogs!
08:18 PM on 04/07/2012
How much influence has the media had in influencing public opinions and elections?

Have the close ties of the media, police, politicians and the wealthy become unhealthy?
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
12:35 AM on 04/09/2012
Maybe..?
02:51 AM on 04/09/2012
Is the media the real puppet master, pulling the strings of power and influence.
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
08:13 PM on 04/07/2012
Eventhough Neil Kinnocks' speech might have seen as OTT'..his basic principles still ring true'..It was a cruel twist of fate thay took John Smith from us and was replaced by Tony Blair'..Which wasn't the best thing that happened to Labour.I was never conviced by Blair' even then'...But this country needed change'...and desperately. Tony Blair might have taken the crown'..But it was Neil Kinnock who laid the groundwork for the 1997 election victory....That must never been forgotten'Labour did lose a lot of grass-roots support with the scrapping of clause 4 '..That is why there is still mis-trust of Labour leaders moving to the right of politics'..Labour should never stray to the right in future...as they risk alienating more of their supporters.But Blair was right about Major'...Weak'Weak'Weak...!!
09:44 PM on 04/07/2012
I remember Kinnock- he fell over on the beach thinking he was King Canute trying to hold back the tides "of change" - typical Labour !
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
01:09 AM on 04/08/2012
Yes I remember that beach incident'...But I'm at a loss to what point you are making..?
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Chiefy17242011
Cyber-Nat, Cyber-Democrat
08:59 AM on 04/10/2012
There's a great mythology built up around John Smith since he died. Yes, it would have been a very different Labour party in 1997 and Bliar wouldn't have got above the rank that he was destined for, Third Deputy Under Minister for Potatoes.

John Smith embodied everything that was bad about Labour, and Labour in Scotland in particular. A product of the self-perpetuating kakistocratic hegemony of West of Scotland Labour, it wasn't "The Sheffield Rally" that killed Labour, it was John Smith's Shadow Budget, which disintegrated under scrutiny and would have plunged the UK back into a recession.

There would have been a Labour Government in '97 regardless. Under Smith, it would have been a one-term or term and a half government and there would have been a swing back to the centre. The Tory party took such a hammering that they were left with the nutty right and the fools and it has taken Cameron until now to make them even approaching electable.

We are where we are today because of '97. A government of the talentless, left a golden legacy by Major and Clarke in the economy, they pi$hed it all away.

Watching the rerun of the BBCs coverage yesterday on BBC Parliament, I was struck by the comparisons.

In particular a young Alex Salmond, who makes the same point now. When Scotland votes Labour on the promise of No Tories, what do you do when you end up with a Tory Government ?

2014 - Its Time.
11:07 AM on 04/10/2012
A most thoughtful analysis with which I agree. The Blair government had a huge mandate and the opportunity to do real good, comparable with the 1945 election, but it was squandered, with Blair only interested in himself.
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casual agent
Advocate for social justice
05:02 PM on 04/10/2012
I'm Sorry but I don't agree'..Blair was a Tory'..Even came from a Tory Family who only deserted the CON Party at the last minute they saw their son rise in the opinion polls'...Blair had no intention of following traditional Labour policy'..Which also confirms my suspicions that he was a Tory is Labour clothing'..and to admit that Thatcher was his role model?...Dead Dodgy!!
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tc-byrne
Victoria Concordia Crescit
06:50 PM on 04/07/2012
Ah John Major the gray man who liked is currie, always thought he was the most boring PM of all time, how wrong was I.
09:45 PM on 04/07/2012
Blair the com-man has that crown !!!
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tc-byrne
Victoria Concordia Crescit
10:56 PM on 04/07/2012
Yes and blair is still making millions.
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04:23 PM on 04/07/2012
I see that the HP halfwits are being highly selective about the comments that they are allowing through again, it wouldn't be so bad if they at least displayed the true number of pending comments.
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mokgee
Sabu.Satsang, Samsara, Solitude...
03:46 PM on 04/07/2012
Your, 22 committee must be well aware of that question John. Your own party, plus the other two have become lost in lies and deception, they cannot lie their way out of this mess. My bet is, that your committee know, that change has got to come from with, and they know it. The people have spoken in Bradford, and the rest of the country cannot wait for change within their own districts..You are all finished because your own lies have caught up with you all..Referendum, was Camerons biggest lie, and for that he will never be forgiven, or ever re elected, and why should he......