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Brexit Is Not Waterloo, But May Wants To Be Wellington

03/05/2017 12:53
POOL New / Reuters

Parliament was rarely so united as before the election call. The two leading parties were on the same side, Both are committed to Brexit. Both want a good deal for Britain. May is the leader of the country. So why does May want to be stronger and more stable? It neither makes sense nor sound reasoning. Surely there is another agenda. Is it about whose interests will be protected in the negotiation?

Brexit is not Waterloo. It is not a battle to death for survival. The Europeans are not kicking Britain out of Europe. Britain chose to come out. Europeans are not trying to bully Britain into submission. Britain cannot force Europe into submission. There is nothing to submit to. The Europeans are not forcing European Court or the Euro upon Britain.

Brexit is about negotiations, it is not a war. It is about a process, negotiating tariffs and deciding on long term relationships. Surely all this needs both sides being pleasant to each other. The leader needs a charm offensive not a gung-ho alpha male force.

What will a strong May do? Divide Europe and then negotiate one by one? Really? Is that possible? Europe has come together and decided its negotiating positions. Europe is 27 countries with many other inter European issues to decide. The Council and the Bureaucrats will start negotiating within the broad limits decided by the countries. European countries cannot keep on meeting every week responding to undue demands. They may decide a take it or leave it approach.

So what does May want to be strong about? She says the chaos at home. What chaos? MPs asking her questions? Accountability? But isn't that what democracy is all about?

Or is it the conflict within the Conservative Party that she is worried about. There are extreme hard Brexiters who think the entire world is waiting for a signal to open its markets to Britain and eager to invest in isolated Britain! May knows that this is Empire la la Land. May knows that if Britain has any chance of getting a good deal with Europe, it will depend on the tone of the negotiations. It is not a strong leader to wage battle with Europe that is needed, but a leader at home who can shut the likes of Boris and Davis when they make irresponsible statements.

But there is another agenda which seems to have forced her to call this election. The negotiation with Europe is going to be exhaustive covering a wide range of issues, from access to the city, corporation tax to travel entry to ordinary people.

May will want to retain the financial sector and attract international investments into UK. To keep these will mean, reducing the tax burden on both the city, the Corporate sector and the super rich. This will mean to shift the tax burden on to the ordinary public while making UK plc attractive for the rich.

By reducing the overall tax income, the other area that will have to be sacrificed is welfare. There will have to be wide cuts in the welfare budget, State Health system and pensions.

The trouble with the equation in the Parliament that has just been disbanded was that Labour had enough MPS to create obstacles to this policy. Day in Day out, Corbyn would have attempted to protect the interests of the ordinary British public, ensured that the city and big corporations weren't the only ones saved from the inevitable loss that Britain has to face from Brexit.

Lets face it. A strong May or a weak May recurrently asked questions at home, makes no difference to Europe. It will however make a difference to British corporate sector. Whether Big money stays in UK or moves to Europe will depend on how attractive UK is to the markets. Cheap labour and a low tax haven for the corporate sector may compensate it for European Tariffs while enjoying networks to the rest of the world. Europe will try and make it difficult for them to stay in UK while UK will try and make UK a bucket shop tax paradise for them.

In the interest of keeping the financial sector and big corporations, May will have to sacrifice many of the standards and hopes of ordinary people. They will not have the protections of European Court to maintain their welfare. Parliament will decide which standards to preserve. Wages will fall and people will not have access to job markets in Europe.

Ordinary people will get what they voted for, an end to immigration from Eastern Europe. But they will get more from rest of the world while the top end of immigration will not be affected one bit. Anyway UK will open its doors wider to students, highly skilled managers and financial wizards to keep the city in place and education cow cash working.

May will fight for the Murdochs and the Goldman Sachs, to protect their interests and to give them the necessary subsidies to stay in UK.

Corbyn is likely to be a much stubborn and harder negotiator in the interest of the people. He has a track record of staying his ground. He also has a track record of ensuring the average person isn't sacrificed to benefit the corporate sector.

Brexit is a negotiation. But it is not just between UK and Europe. There is another negotiation, that between big money and UK. There are three in these negotiations.

This election in fact is about which sector of Britain and which class of British public will be sacrificed in the Brexit negotiations. As usual, it is the average person who loses out in the interest of the rich and mighty. Sadly it is the average Brit who votes for this self inflicted tragedy.

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