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Julian Kossoff

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Israel, The Arab Spring and the Map of Despair

Posted: 13/07/11 13:05 BST

Back in the 70s in every Jewish communal building, school and synagogue you would see the powerful image of 'the map'.

At its centre was Israel, a shining, white slither of land with its back to the Mediterranean Sea. Surrounding it there was only darkness. From the Atlantic to the Euphrates, shaded opaque, was the vast land mass that made up the 22 states of the Arab world: the Jewish homeland's sworn enemies bent on her destruction. Back then it was a black-and-white issue.

Thirty four years after Egypt's President Anwar Sadat's historic flight to Jerusalem 'the map' may have become ever more redundant but as a mind-set, for Israel and many of her supporters, it has stood the test of time.

After Egypt came peace with Jordan and recognition of Israel's right to exist by the PLO. In 2002, Saudi Arabia proposed a peace plan. Soon after, Saddam Hussein went to the gallows and now Libya's Gaddafi, once an enthusiastic sponsor of Palestinian terror groups, is finished. The Gulf States just want to make money while Morocco and Tunisia were always moderate.

Come the Arab Spring and the states on 'the map' are going through the most dramatic upheaval since the end of World War Two. Now even the notorious Assad dynasty in Syria is on the skids. A by-product of the heroic democracy protests sweeping the region will be the overthrow of Israel's historic enemy, the patron of Hamas and Hezbollah and the key regional ally of Iran.

Good news for Israel? Not if you'd seen the gloomy countenance of Major General (Res) Danny Rothschild, the head of a leading Israeli think-tank, who delivered a lecture the Royal United Services Institute, in London last week. For General Rothschild the glass of peace will always be half empty.

Irritatingly, the director of the Institute for Policy and Strategy in Herzilya, dismissed the epic struggle for democracy and human rights across the Middle East as the "Islamist Spring."

No good would come of it, warned Gen. Rothschild. Iran would manipulate change for its own nefarious, nuclear ends and the protesters for freedom were jihadis in disguise. And what of the possibilities thrown up by the Syrian democracy movement? Not a word passed his taciturn lips.

For Rothschild 'the map' was not being torn up by the dash for democracy, just reconfigured for another epoch of confrontation and war. It was Jews v the rest; the next chapter.

Unfortunately, this 'siege state' narrative (wish fulfilment or warning?) still has the most traction among the Israeli public and plenty of backing among the Jewish Diaspora. Too few voices are calling for bold, out-of-the-box thinking to match the seismic change of the Arab Spring.

Instead, "Security," as defined by military men such as Gen. Rothschild, has become the eleventh commandment for Israelis. In fairness, having lived with the fear of war since the nation's birth they have learnt to cherish their F-16s and M-16s. A 30-year-old from Tel Aviv, Haifa or Jerusalem, for example, has survived the Scud bombardment by Saddam Hussein in 1990, the second Intifada (2000-04) and the horrors wrought by Islamic suicide bombers, and the Hezbollah missile blitz of the Second Lebanon War in 2006.

If you don't recognise how this type of warfare aimed at civilians can twist a nation's psyche, you are not really entitled to join the debate about how to solve the Israeli-Arab conflict.

But Israel's historic anxiety has been exploited by the 'strategy of paranoia', fuelled by morose generals and hyperbolic journalists, that the aggressive right-wingers now running Israel are the most enthusiastic purveyors.

For your average Israeli it means just clinging to the status quo and self-medicating on consumerism. As a leading Israeli political insider colourfully put it: "We are currently in the process of enjoying the buffet on the Titanic."

But whilst Israel still believes in 'the map' it will remain on the road to nowhere.

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
greenj76
01:27 PM on 07/31/2011
God will be giving the Jews ten times what they have today. The actual borders start near the Nile River in Egypt extending north to the Euphrates River, taking in half of Egypt, all of Israel, Lebanon, Syria and Jordan.

The borders go south along the Euphrates to the Persian Gulf, which will take in half of Iraq and three quarters of Saudi Arabia. All of this real estate is promised to the Jewish people. Ezekiel starts to reveal only a portion of all that God will give the Jews.
lastpost
see biography
09:17 AM on 07/14/2011
"For General Rothschild the glass of peace will always be half empty."
Perhaps the General sees the situation as something like the arrival of Lawrence in Arabia. While those tribes are disparate and distracted by the demands of defence against each other, a distant foe has little to fear. But the arrival of anything that might even briefly bind them together, could be bad news and not bode well for an outside opponent. It may be that he can’t conceive that the answer is possibly, to become more adept than those you oppose. Rather than simply becoming a simile, for that strife they see as their means to survive. In his rendition of reality the rules are clear and concise. It is tribe against tribe. But in actual reality, it is all tribes in total against the greater terrors. On offer is a top-up, to whatever he has left in that glass?
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Vlady
Better Late
09:28 PM on 07/13/2011
"We are currently in the process of enjoying the buffet on the Titanic."

This is a sign of unrelenting Jewish optimism. To enjoy life as it goes contrary to an approach of a pessimist who may be right at the end but don't enjoy his life along the way.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Simon Stylites
Dreamer, reader, writer, fool.
09:02 PM on 07/13/2011
One of the arguments often presented to me to support the “map” mentality was that these neighbours of Israel were all highly undemocratic and control of them could change at in an instant – an assassination; a military coup etc. How could Israel move towards meaningful dialogue when even if there were soundings of recognition, any agreements would have such an insecure foundation?

Does the Arab Spring change this view? No, not really. In fact I would argue it only confirms this apprehension. Until the Arab Spring holds its summer vocation and eventually begins the hard work of a new term of democracy – building upon its new institutions – then Israel will do well to consider the glass half empty. The opposite could be suicidal.
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victorianism
Theultrathinnothingnesshasabeautifulendforusall.
03:39 PM on 07/13/2011
Just fill the blank.