2012 Preview: What Could Throw The Economy Off Course?

8fears

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 22/12/11 11:24 GMT Updated: 22/12/11 11:35 GMT

It was a year of political ebb-and-flow as Brussels was whipped into a frantic storm.

Policymakers were led by markets and markets became led by politics.

The eurozone crisis is still the most clear and present risk to the world economy over the next 12 months, but it is not the only one.

While there is some good news, such as the UK economy bouncing back between July and September with stronger growth than previously estimated, there are numerous risks lurking around the corner.

The Arab Spring is not over, there are stirrings of political dissent in Russia, a transition in North Korea, the danger of an escalation of tensions in Iran, as well as real economic concerns over China and the USA.

So what could throw the world economy into an even deeper crisis?

Here is a series of margin risks that could plunge the already fragile economic recovery off track in 2012. While unlikely, they are real and potentially devastating.


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It was a year of political ebb-and-flow as Brussels was whipped into a frantic storm. Policymakers were led by markets and markets became led by politics. The eurozone crisis is still the most c...
It was a year of political ebb-and-flow as Brussels was whipped into a frantic storm. Policymakers were led by markets and markets became led by politics. The eurozone crisis is still the most c...
 
 
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02:11 PM on 12/27/2011
God gave us life so God should come down to short out his world so what ever would happen i am sure it is his wish so why worry, if we die without food it was his wish, if there is a war, it was his wish, if there was earthquake at 9.9 or 20.5 it was God wish and if there is no food in one country it was God wish. Yes corruption and corrupted politicians are there because of it was God wish so why worry if we die on anything above, it was God wish live with peace and love all kids.
12:14 PM on 12/27/2011
The coming world /society ,you would do well to improve and expand your personal skill sets
because you are going to need them
12:08 PM on 12/27/2011
If we all just lived within our means there would be a lot of fat slags out of work !
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karim banned
A fool's mind is at the mercy of his tongue and a
07:35 PM on 12/23/2011
"A Harvard professor of international affairs says the warmongering calls for a military strike on Iran follow a classic model of deception that involves fabricating a threat and downplaying the repercussions of an attack. "

http://presstv.com/detail/217295.html

I would say a war with almost 80 million Iranians and WWIII.
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12:44 AM on 12/24/2011
Thanks for the link. Quick review of the comments is reason enough to hope that the fanatical Iranian regime and its diehard fans never get their hands on nuclear weapons.
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karim banned
A fool's mind is at the mercy of his tongue and a
02:42 AM on 12/24/2011
Do not worry, Iran is not building nuclear weapon.

The WMD in Iran is like the WMD id Iraq, it does not exist. It is only 1% elites' propaganda to start yet another war.

vote for Ron Paul for peace and prosperity everywhere in the world.
03:05 AM on 12/23/2011
The world is in a mess. Something big is going to happen, and we all are going to be in trouble.
11:44 AM on 12/23/2011
You've been reading too many sandwich boards
03:17 PM on 12/23/2011
Don't read cheese flavoured sandwich bopards late at night. You'll suffer from nightmares about the future
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AngryMonkey
Stop believing in fairy tales
02:55 AM on 12/23/2011
There are some good 'what if' lists on listservers. I wouldn't consider them worthy of a 'news' article, but they do drive up comments, i guess. bubble bubble toil and trouble
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
whapgra
02:24 AM on 12/23/2011
some countries will move closer towards dystopian societies.
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novelist2000
veritas non olet
01:57 AM on 12/23/2011
The worst that could happen is a war with Iran, because that would set the rest of the region alight, and create a world war. Millions of asylum seekers will then descend on Britain, continental Europe, Australia and North America, plunging these countries into some mixture of poverty and anarchy. Another flashpoint in that region is Egypt who needs to get rid of military rule, or they will turn to religion and then the mullahs will take over. True democracy does not mean that the military has the last say, which is what they are trying to install.

Let us hope, the US and/or Israel don't have so many domestic difficulties in 2012 that they have to distract from these through another war.
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Matthew Harrold
Huzzah!
08:48 PM on 12/22/2011
World War 3 would probably be at the top of the list. Well...it was a nice ride whilst it lasted, but to be honest things have yet to flat line, and that needs to happen before we have any real hope of rebuilding economies and what will be shattered nations. Maybe we'll learn a lesson or two about the folly of putting profit before stability? I doubt it though, greed is just too intrinsic to our nature.
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
08:27 PM on 12/22/2011
The worst thing that could happen in 2012 is another Arab-type-Spring happening here in the UK, or another world war following the credit crunch which nearly destroyed the world's financial system. Household bills are going through the roof and the government is putting up taxes. People are clinging on by their fingernails, yet more than 400 MP's have been found to be fiddling their expenses and the last lot ran up the biggest government debt in history. Its all touch and go if you ask me.
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jennielake
Intellect is Learned... Wisdom Already Knows
05:05 PM on 12/22/2011
FEMA Camps

Food Shortages

Martial Law

... Merry Christmas
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Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
08:29 PM on 12/22/2011
What does FEMA stand for?
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jennielake
Intellect is Learned... Wisdom Already Knows
10:05 PM on 12/22/2011
... the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and is part of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

I am sooooooo glad you asked - Please see what is going on behind your back.

... also, see how the TSA has now had over 9000 check points on roads & sports events.

Also, please see how there is a Bill about to be signed that ends our rights -

Google "NDAA"

I hope you become one of the - Awake!
03:52 PM on 12/22/2011
The biggest threat to our finances across is the European Stability Mechanism. A blank cheque for the EU to use however it likes with no legal redress against anyone involved in how it's used and no legal claim if it's abused. Is this the EU that we signed up to - a fascist superstate ?
03:38 PM on 12/22/2011
It would have to be, on course, in order for it be thrown "off course."
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Paul Wagland
Resistance is fertile
05:17 PM on 12/22/2011
And in order to be on course, we would need to decide where we want to go!
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Denemator
Has the world gone nuts?
03:26 PM on 12/22/2011
"US Default, Russian Discontent - What's The Worst That Could Happen In 2012?"

Well....... repubs could be voted back in.
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PiperSniper
03:03 PM on 12/22/2011
What's the worst that could happen in 2012? Well, if the mayan calendar theorists are right?
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MLukhman
Once you start down the dark path, forever will it
08:35 PM on 12/22/2011
Have you read the Nostradamus prediction of WW3 coming in 2013?
That it will be a war between the Christian and Muslim worlds?

I'm inclined to go with him over the Mayans, but that would suggest a GOP win in November.
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PiperSniper
08:47 PM on 12/22/2011
If the mayan terorists are right, you won't have to worry :)