Boris Johnson On Course For London Victory, Poll Predicts

The Huffington Post UK  |  By Posted: 3/05/2012 15:07 Updated: 3/05/2012 15:07

Boris Johnson is on course to secure a second term as Mayor London, according to a poll published on Thursday.

A survey conduced by YouGov for the Evening Standard shows Johnson defeating Ken Livingstone by 53-47% - the same margin by which he won four years ago.

Writing on The Huffington Post UK on Thursday, as voters go to the polls, Peter Kellner, the president of YouGov, said the main reason for Johnson's expected victory was the "Boris Labour" vote.

"We looked at people who told us they were certain to vote today, and would vote Labour if today’s contest were a general election," he explained.

"One in 10 told us they will vote for Boris. If they voted for Ken, he'd win by 52-48%. Another one-in-ten Labour supporters will withhold their mayoral vote from both men (though most will vote Labour in the Assembly election). If they all backed Ken, he'd win by 54-46%."

Kellner also predicted that Boris will be helped by Tory supporters who are disenchanted with David Cameron and would vote Ukip in a general election. They prefer Boris to Ken by ten-to-one.

FOLLOW UK POLITICS

Boris Johnson is on course to secure a second term as Mayor London, according to a poll published on Thursday. A survey conduced by YouGov for the Evening Standard shows Johnson defeating Ken Livin...
Boris Johnson is on course to secure a second term as Mayor London, according to a poll published on Thursday. A survey conduced by YouGov for the Evening Standard shows Johnson defeating Ken Livin...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 12
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Post Comment Preview Comment
To reply to a Comment: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to.
View All
Recency  | 
Popularity
photo
casual agent
Advocate for social justice
05:58 PM on 05/04/2012
They reckon that the Mayoral race is gonna be closer than earlier thought in the 1st pref'?...Come on Ken'..London needs you..
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hugh Albert
Moderation in somethings
07:20 PM on 05/07/2012
Like a hole in the head!
04:25 PM on 05/04/2012
Whoever is elected Mayor, will work in the best interests of Londoners, and where necessary I believe they will not be contained by party political lines
06:47 PM on 05/03/2012
In a way I hope Boris loses. Not because I prefer Ken, and as for Paddy, well that's a no brainer, but I miss him on Have I got news for you.
04:44 PM on 05/03/2012
An election of supreme indifference to the rest of the UK
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ben Wilson
What's the story mourning Tories?
04:35 PM on 05/03/2012
People would rather vote for a trainspotter than a prostitute. Ken has been selling himself too cheaply that much is clear whereas the sad man in a pac a mac has bumbled along the edge of the train station platform Ken spent millions putting bollards around.
03:54 PM on 05/03/2012
When was this Poll taken? Surely at some con/social club at last orders,some people might be in for a very big surprise.LOL
photo
casual agent
Advocate for social justice
04:17 PM on 05/03/2012
If you really want to kick the coalitions ass'..Vote for Ken..
Lord Elpus
If you're going through hell, keep going
01:13 PM on 05/04/2012
Ass already well kicked but veto for Ken!