Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
David Rutley MP

GET UPDATES FROM David Rutley MP
 

Labour's 'Wishful Thinking' on the Economy Falls Short of the Mark

Posted: 02/07/2012 00:00

Over the weekend, all eyes were on Brussels while the Prime Minister attended a two-day summit with fellow EU leaders. They were busy thrashing out proposals to defuse the eurozone crisis and calm the financial markets. However, David Cameron would not have found any realistic advice from his opposite number in the Labour Party.

Labour's response to the eurozone crisis is the latest manifestation of its fiscal fantasy. When Hollande became President of France, Miliband rushed to claim him as an ally "against austerity". But President Hollande is more grounded in reality than Labour. Hollande admits that "national debt is the enemy of the left and the enemy of France". Hollande has been even clearer that the solution to dealing with the deficit "cannot be extra public spending since we want to rein it in". The French are now having to play catch up by cutting their deficit much faster than the UK, as are the Spanish and the Irish. It comes as little surprise that no-one is listening to Labour in Europe. Labour is an isolated voice, economically aloof, adrift and awry.

T.E. Lawrence wisely observed in his seminal Seven Pillars of Wisdom that "all men dream: but not equally". Lawrence of Arabia braved the desert storms acting out his dreams with clarity of purpose. In stark comparison, the Labour Party has faced the economic crisis with nothing more than daydreams: wishful thinking that is out of touch with reality.

The wishful thinking, inspired throughout by both Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, has evolved through each stage of the economic cycle. In office, they encouraged Gordon Brown to grandly boast about having put an end to "boom and bust", but all too clearly had not. After the credit crunch, they deteriorated into a bout of "deficit denial". Now, with the Eurozone crisis, we are seeing the patient presenting the symptoms of an equally concerning "fiscal fantasy."

The flaws in Labour's thinking while in office have been confirmed by senior figures of the day. Lord Turnbull, the former Cabinet Secretary and Permanent Secretary at the Treasury from 1998-2002, explained to me during a Treasury Select Committee hearing, how 60 quarters of uninterrupted growth had contributed to a deep sense of "wishful thinking" on economic policy. In this delusional state, the previous Government thought that it had actually cracked the economic cycle and that nothing could go wrong.

Labour steered our economy on unsustainable growth and straight into the biggest economic bust in living memory. Despite Labour's protests to the contrary, their staggering deficit was not the product of a mythical global economic crisis. Even before the credit crunch, there was clear evidence that spending and the burden of tax were too high, as Labour ran up a structural deficit for six years before the banking crisis hit. As a result, the UK entered the financial crisis with the largest structural deficit in the G7. The previous government was caught completely flat-footed as it faced the economic crisis.

As the credit crunch unfolded, Labour's wishful thinkers started to exhibit symptoms of 'deficit denial.' Labour chose to shy away from confronting the scale of the challenge and from setting out how it would tackle the deficit, ensuring defeat at the General Election.

In opposition, Labour's 'deficit denial' was most clearly defined when the Party tore up deficit reduction plans laid out by former Chancellor Alastair Darling. Since then, Labour has lashed out, opposing every saving put forward by the overnment. Labour's lamentable mindset has not been lost on Darling, who earlier this year said that Labour had to "restore [its] reputation for economic credibility", and offer a "credible and compelling position on the economy".

Let's take a closer look at the cost of Labour's fiscal fantasy. According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the UK would now be borrowing £200 billion more under a Labour government. Labour's five point plan would add an additional £20 billion on top of that. Labour won't admit that with all this extra debt, our country would be at far greater risk in the Eurozone crisis.

Labour's numbers simply don't stack up. Just look at their much vaunted bankers' bonus tax. The amount needed for the policies it would fund is over ten times as much as it is likely to raise.

Before the election, Gordon Brown said his party was made up of people who "dream the impossible dream". Actually, Labour is still daydreaming, pursuing the unworkable and ignoring the real world. Labour's dreams will remain in tatters until they get to grips with reality. While its leaders may have changed since the election, one thing is clear: the wishful thinkers are still in control.

 

Follow David Rutley MP on Twitter: www.twitter.com/DavidRutleyMP

FOLLOW UK POLITICS
 
 
  • Comments
  • 23
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
10:02 PM on 07/02/2012
New Labour may well have been a bad dream, this government is an absolute nightmare.
01:06 PM on 07/02/2012
this is a party who ruined this country all in the name of mass immigration
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richie2012
Your micro bio is empty.
04:30 PM on 07/02/2012
....and few hundred thousand extra voters!
12:36 PM on 07/02/2012
The very fact that this article calls the glbal meltdown 'mythical' robs it of any semblance of honesty or sense.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richie2012
Your micro bio is empty.
12:16 PM on 07/02/2012
"Even before the credit crunch, there was clear evidence that spending and the burden of tax were too high, as Labour ran up a structural deficit for six years before the banking crisis hit"

Exactly, Mr Rutley. But just you wait and see all the denial that will follow your comments. Somehow - somewhere - spome will even try and blame Maggie! Dear oh, dear.
06:44 PM on 07/02/2012
No facts, no stats and no evidence. Just sound bites and narratives. People who beleive this myth are doing themselves and their family no favours- talking down the economy. If you are brave enough here are the facts. There is no shame in being wrong you won't look foolish or stupid for not understanding economics after all your not an economist like myself. However, people carry on talking down the economy regardless of the economic facts do look stupid. Read PLEASE SHARE THIS: Shocking News! The IMF, OECD, HM Treasury & watch George Osborne admit the last goverment did not create the deficit, didn't overspend and did not have the biggest deficit/ debt in the universe. It is a must watch and read. This video and article provides proof from the horses mouth. I can confidently say this is the most important article and video you'll ever watch and if there is one thing in you do in your life you must watch this 4 min video and read this article: Watch George Osborne admits UK never had the biggest debt/deficit - Must Read & Watch! - Betrayal & Treachery in our Time! http://bit.ly/wbWOcM Please share this with one friend today via your phone and ask them to watch and read and pass it on to just one more person via, twitter, mobile and share it on your facebook page. PLEASE SHARE - Thank You for your help as I can do it on my own : )
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
09:57 PM on 07/02/2012
What can one say, thank you for the link. I am definatly going to share it. Sadly I fear most of the turkeys will continue self basting, but we must keep trying because they will take us all down with them.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richie2012
Your micro bio is empty.
10:18 PM on 07/02/2012
Interesting. So the size of public sector was not damaging to the UK economy and wasn't in any way related to other recessions? You see, I was told by a leading organic economist that it was. So now I'm confused.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
10:50 AM on 07/02/2012
We know what caused the big deficit. If the crash hadn’t happened in 2008 their wouldn’t be an issue and The Tories would have carried on with Labours economic plans as stated by them before the the bank crash. The banks were not meant to fail. The economic argument of previous decades had been won for less regulation and for the bankers to chose the best option for their business. For 4 years now this has been shown to be a load of ole cobblers, and the Tories were calling for total deregulation of the bank market beforehand. If anything we are living in a banking crises and a banking crises that has affected the whole of the economy here in the UK, The USA and the Euro area.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Drg40
Representative Democracy is all we have.
09:59 AM on 07/02/2012
The trouble is, Mr Rutley, Conservative MP for Macclesfield., if I wrote a note criticising the Tories in the same tone and pretence at logical argument as your anti-labour rant above, I would rapidly be accused of bringing politics into disrepute. I could start with your party's extraordinary record on manifesto promises (who reads a manifesto anyway?) I could wander through fields of Warsi and Smith and Hunt with the silly smirk ( such an honourable man). I could stray across a double dip recession, linger over loving memories of Eton and some very, very dubious Oxford clubs, talk about omnishambles budgets and U turns, and even have a foray into wondering exactly what is your 'party's' policy with regard to Europe, given the many options you seem to have on offer. I might even think about your party's corrupt relationship with the bankers, a 40% rate bringing in more revenue than 50%, and a total failure to regulate. And I haven't even got to Murdoch yet. In fact I might end up reaching the conclusion that you and your so called 'party are a complete bunch of hapless amateurs. Wouldn't that be good?
08:26 AM on 07/02/2012
This is the biggest load of bull I've read for ages. So the global crisis was 'mythical' was it? Tell that to all the countries that have gone down the plug hole thanks to the banksters' operations. So the previous government was 'caught flat-footed' was it? Didn't you notice they brought in Keynesian measures that restored growth before everything was snuffed out by Osborne's useless policies? So Labour are wrong to want to bring in 'their much-vaunted bankers' bonus tax'? Yes, great idea to let Diamond et al rip us off for ever. Thanks a lot Mr Rutley, you've settled any problems about which way I'll be voting next election. (Clue: it isn't gpoing to be Tory.)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Laatab
All The Worlds A Stage
05:42 AM on 07/02/2012
Well whatever the party there are only two types of politician as far as I can see. The bland who have nothing to say and spend their time bleating about how it's someone or somethings elses fault, and the venal, armed with sociopathic personality traits in that their social consciences have atrophied due to lack of use, if not indeed clinicaly insane.

The former are clever people but dont manifest a wit of wisdom. They follow a formula of maintaining the status quo as long as it benefits them. They take the salary and the expense account, then show up to make the mandatory animal noises required by the ritual of prime ministers quesion time.

The latter always float to the top in any psychologicaly competative environment due to their ruthless disregard for anybody. Their main weapon is a facade of charm that hides what they truley are, consumate liars laced with obsessive self interest.

All this took root during Thatchers premiership as she admired these traits and our parliment became infested with them.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richie2012
Your micro bio is empty.
04:36 PM on 07/02/2012
What an interesting summary of Left and Right. You sceptic! :)
01:25 AM on 07/02/2012
Well said David Rutley! I won't disagree with a single word.

You represent a constituency not very far geographically from where I live, so you are well aware of the difficulties, jobs, adequate salaries, investment in business, infrastructure, housing etc.!

I would prefer that you put your efforts in coming up a workable solution to the problems we face, rather than constantly analysing where the previous government got it wrong!

Theoretically, or so we are quite often told: Lessons will and can be learned! I would like to see some practical evidence that a learning process has actually taken place. Please!
12:55 AM on 07/02/2012
This article is a neat example of right-wing bluster and obfuscation. It seeks to distract people from the cause of the crisis. As the public are given another example of corruption in the city and blatant gerrymandering, The Tories seek to blame labour. Looked at in a good light it's intellectual laziness. in the worst light it's mendacity and complicity to support the real authors of the crisis, casino bankers. So in all of this we have to ask who represents ordinary people in parliament? This article makes clear that the Tories want the old the sick and the needy pay for the mistakes of the banking industry. They also want to protect their mates in the City and pretend that everything will be ok as long as we can shift the blame to poor people on benefit. That is pitiful, decietful but not at all surprising. This article shows that a party of millionaires cannot be trusted with the affairs of the 99%