Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
John Wight

GET UPDATES FROM John Wight
 

What Next For Libya?

Posted: 23/08/11 01:00 BST

With the Gaddafi regime now consigned to the dustbin of history, and amid the triumphalism that is already starting to emanate from Washington, Paris and London over the fact, it is worth reminding ourselves that regime change was the objective from the very start of this sordid business; in fact from the moment Sarkozy gave official recognition to the Libyan opposition in advance of the no fly zone that was implemented back in March with the stated objective of 'protecting civilian life', rubber stamped by a UN resolution.

What is clear by now is that since the emergence and spread of the free market around the globe the concept of a state enjoying economic sovereignty has been rendered a redundant concept. Equally by now it is also the case, particularly for those nations of the developing world, that national and political sovereignty has likewise been rendered redundant, and in the last analysis a matter for the White House and its European satraps.

The unravelling of the patchwork of autocratic dictatorships, one-party states and unpopular regimes that hitherto predominated throughout the Middle East is a symptom of the global crisis of capitalism. This has either been from pressure within as in the cases of Tunisia, Egypt and still quite possibly Yemen and even Syria, where the Assad regime is coming under increasing pressure, or from without, as in the case of Iraq under Saddam and now Libya under Gaddafi. It is the result of global economic geopolitical factors exacerbating already deep contradictions in a region scarred by a century of colonialism and western intervention. These contradictions have burst asunder into political and social fissures on the ground.

Above all perhaps, the key lesson of the Arab Spring is how adept the western powers have become over their long experience in the business of exerting control over the resource rich developing world at adapting their approach according to shifting conditions on the ground. The notion of London, Paris or Washington being concerned with the protection of innocent human life and upholding the human and democratic rights of the people of the Arab world should by now have been so comprehensively refuted by their actions since the end of the First World War that only those drawing their arguments from a deep well of mendacity or ignorance would dare suggest otherwise.

Even during the course of this short period of Arab revolution and turmoil the hypocrisy and naked opportunism of the dominant powers has been laid bare. Former and recent economic partners and strategic allies such as Ben Ali in Tunisia, Mubarak in Egypt, and now Gaddafi in Libya, have or are being sacrificed upon the altar of realpolitik - in other words because of their inability to continue to rule in the old way and control their own people in the interests of the West. Here Orwell's statement is apropos. Colonialism, he said, is like a policeman holding a man down while a thief rifles his pockets. The difference between colonalism and imperialism is in form not content. Under the former nations were controlled and administered from afar, while the latter involves the use of a local dictator or western controlled oppressive regime to effect the same result: namely the theft of the subject nation's natural resources.

The hypocrisy during the course of the Arab Spring on the part of the western powers has been striking. At the same time as our leading politicians beat their chests as champions of freedon and democracy in the region, they continue to support the most oppressive and retrograde of all, the Saudis.

Wherever he is currently holed up, Gaddafi will be entitled to feel more than a little aggrieved at the way he's been so unceremoniously removed from power. After all, in recent years he had gone out of his way to appease the West, opening Libya up for business, which meant signing away billions of dollars worth of Libyan oil to western oil companies. He has just learned the hard way the same lesson that Saddam Hussein, Hosni Mubarak and a host of dictators around the world learned before him. Any regime in the developing world that has the fortune, or misfortune as is the case, to sit on a sea of oil and other natural resources, is sitting on a political timebomb, its fortunes resting on the fluctuating state of the hyper economies of the West.

With NATO so crucial to the toppling of Gaddafi, the question now becomes what next? Hopefully the collective brains in Washington, London and Paris have given the state of a post-Gaddafi Libya some thought. If not, if they have failed to learn from the disaster that was Iraq, rather than bring an end to the suffering of the Libyan people, the removal of Gaddafi may well mark its beginning.


 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 7
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Recency  | 
Popularity
lastpost
see biography
03:17 PM on 08/23/2011
"regime change"
What’s sauce over the Gaddafis, is sauce from the gullible?

"the patchwork of autocratic dictatorships, one-party states and unpopular regimes"
and two plus one party pantomimes pretending to be democracies.

"deep contradictions"
that only surface when the suppression of questioning is curtailed.

"democratic rights"
are enslaved by republican wrongs.

"Colonialism, he said, is like a policeman holding a man down while a thief rifles his pockets."
While conservatism is using the police as a human shield, whilst decimating them from the rear.

"our leading politicians beat their chests"
When so far detached from the people, what else is there?

"Saddam Hussein"
Didn’t Saddam seek to withdraw his reserves from Western institutions shortly before invasion? I wonder how Hugo will fare?

"the question now becomes what next?"
Control of a society is facilitated if it is confined to the selection of personalities rather than actual polices. The party system provides just such a proselytising procedure. Whereas real democracy permits majority mandates to mess up matters somewhat.

"collective brains"
overruled by cliques, has brought us to this. But look around and ask. Is this where we need to be?
photo
wom122
Primum non nocere
03:47 AM on 08/23/2011
Great post thank you very much!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Freddie27
Liberal Gay Jewish Atheist
02:05 AM on 08/23/2011
Naive cynicism always leads to a lazy analysis. To blame everything on "big oil" and those "meanie" multinational corporations shows no independence of thought and just a lazy reliance on a silly talking-point anyway. Wow, you just accused a Western country of intervening in the Middle East for oil, how original. I sure never heard that before!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
John Wight
09:54 AM on 08/23/2011
Freddie, perhaps the reason you've heard Western countries being accused of intervening in the Middle East for oil is that it happens to be true. Of course, you may choose to accept this 'accusation' or not. But facts are funny things, and the fact is that even the most cursory study of the history of the region since the collapse of the Ottoman Empire reveals that a veritable scramble for control of the region's natural resources has taken place ever since. Starting from the Sykes Picot Agreement of 1916 all the way up to the war in Iraq and now Libya, it is a history of western intervention for the purpose of controlling the region via a panoply of client regimes in order to either control or ensure access. The US does not get its oil from the region. Its oil comes largely from Canada, Latin America, and the west coast of Africa. But the objective for them is not access but control, with the ability of breaking OPEC's control over production and global prices key to acting as a bulwark against the increasing economic threat posed by China, who does get most of its oil from the region and which is therefore dependent on maintaining good relations with whoever has their hands on the tap.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
12:58 AM on 08/23/2011
Personally, I'm very glad that Gadaffi, a cruel tyrant for over 40 years, has been deposed.

So long as countries are paid the market rate for their oil and natural resources what is the problem?
09:53 PM on 08/22/2011
The immoral, violent, criminal psychos who run various countries and criminal organisations cannot be defeated by nations of laws being on accordance with the rules which constrain them. So, come off your high and mighty attitude and remember, if but for a moment, that one contribution to your current freedom was the willingness of a lot of nice chaps to blow hundreds of thousands of women and children to bits.

If this planet is not going to be dominated by crimelords and warlords, we need to play hard when we take them on. And also, I did not support Iraq or Afghanistan invasions. And Blair and Bush are also criminals.

Your worldly cynicism is worthless and wrong. It is only by helping Arab countries reinvent themselves that we will get off their backs! The West is not a monolith of corporations. You are also part of it. And there are hundreds of millions who do not support corporatism. Yet you reify ''the West'' into this corporate monster that you then harangue and moralise over. Kinda cheap. Up your game for goodness sake.
12:43 PM on 08/22/2011
Libya will become another colony of NATO's Oil Industry Brigade that saved the likes of BP from having to pay more to Libya and now Great Britain and France can try to organize the thugs that have taken over so the oil keeps flowing.