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Martin Wilding Davies

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Whoever Wins in Eastleigh, We'll Still Hate Politicians

Posted: 21/02/2013 23:00

The half-term general election rehearsal currently underway in Eastleigh might be fascinating those in the politics business but the result won't begin to restore the electorate's trust in politicians.

Whether or not Nick Clegg's broken promises shake the loyalties of Lib Dem voters; whether or not Maria Hutchings's distain for her party's more liberal policies wins over potential Lib Dem defectors; whether or not Diane James's Euro-bashing chimes with the cognitive bias of traditional Tory voters and whether or not John O'Farrell benefits by default from the machinations of his rivals, it won't matter a jot to the majority of Eastleigh citizens who, like most of the British electorate, lost faith in politicians long before Chris Huhne's mealy-mouthed "acceptance of responsibility" outside Southwark Crown Court.

In focus groups, non-voters find it hard to propose attributes that might make politics more appealing but 'honesty' usually tops the list. The lack of morality in politics explains why politicians are almost universally loathed. It's not the 'expenses scandal' specifically, nor the 'cash for questions' scandal nor the 'cash for honours' scandal nor even the 'cash for influence' scandal. It's not the self-interest, the expediency or the hypocrisy. It's that politicians believe they can get away with it. When they parrot the soundbite prepared for them by their press officers they think we'll be mollified. In other words, they think we're stupid.

Perhaps this mindset explains why so many Westminster insiders were willing to defend Huhne in the face of incontrovertible evidence of his guilt. Perhaps it explains why he clung to his story until the final minute of the eleventh hour. Presumably that's why he decided to lie in the first place.

Outside Westminster, things have moved on since the days when representation meant little more than putting a man on a horse and sending him off to London to do as he saw fit. As our society has become more complex, as media coverage has exposed politicians to more detailed scrutiny, as technology has allowed us to share our opinions with all and sundry, so our political aspirations have changed too. The aspirations of the political class, meanwhile, have remained the same: get power and keep power at all costs. The end justifies the means.

As trust in politicians plummeted to an all-time low last year--18% trust politicians to tell the truth according to Ipsos MORI, turnout in by-elections collapsed to an average of 22%. Whilst a few progressive backbenchers expressed alarm at this extraordinary level of political disengagement, party leaders dismissed as apathetic those who refused to play the election game.

Ordinary people are aware of the democratic deficiency inherent in the system and they resent it. This goes some way towards explaining the revolution of sorts that took place last November when nearly everyone (85%) entitled to vote in the Police and Crime Commissioner elections made a point of not doing so. The huge number of spoiled ballot papers left nobody but the politicians in any doubt that voters had consciously boycotted a land grab by the political class.

Eastleigh was no exception. Turnout in Hampshire was 14.8%. Former Conservative government minister Michael Mates - as well as the Lib Dem, Ukip and Labour candidates - were defeated by an independent, Simon Hayes, the only person standing for election who was properly qualified to do the job.

People are not prepared to vote for the empty suits on offer. They've had enough of ineptitude and mediocrity. They've had enough of broken promises. They're sick of the cynicism that pervades every aspect of our society as a result of perpetual political spin. They want the right to participate in decisions about selling off their forests or hospitals or schools and they want the right to say 'no'. They want their priorities represented ahead of those of the businessmen and trades union leaders that bankroll the parties for personal gain. More than anything else, they want to tell politicians where to stick their bombastic self-importance.

The latest opinion polls suggest that, thanks to the chronically undemocratic first-past-the-post electoral system, Eastleigh's new MP will get in with less than 35% of the vote. Assuming an above average turnout of 40% as a result of all the hoo-hah, that equates to less than 15% of those on the electoral register. The 85% whose opinions are not represented will feel aggrieved but politicians won't be listening.

It's difficult to see where meaningful political change will come from given that the political class inevitably prioritises its own interests. But it's equally difficult to see how politicians can recover their reputation. When the majority of the electorate no longer vote, politicians no longer have a democratic mandate.

As Democratic Audit concluded in its 2012 report 'How Democratic is The UK?', "representative democracy is in long-term, terminal decline". The Eastleigh result is irrelevant in the big scheme of things. What matters now is how we establish a viable alternative model of democracy where citizens participate in government instead of politicians.

 

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The half-term general election rehearsal currently underway in Eastleigh might be fascinating those in the politics business but the result won't begin to restore the electorate's trust in politicians...
The half-term general election rehearsal currently underway in Eastleigh might be fascinating those in the politics business but the result won't begin to restore the electorate's trust in politicians...
 
 
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07:38 PM on 02/24/2013
People will vote because they hope.....voting is a lottery ticket in the rich tapestry of a democracies life!
07:43 PM on 02/23/2013
A rather lack lustre group of candidates enlivened by UKIP. The Labour chap should win the day and the Liberals driven to extinction by the UKIP vote. I cannot see how Huhne could have been concentrating on his job both as a Minister and constituency MP given all that we now know about his strife and domestic situation.
11:12 PM on 02/22/2013
Martin - regardless of the content of your article, the headline: "Whoever Wins in Eastleigh, We'll Still Hate Politicians" is spot on and worthy of a big thumbs up.
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Dan Belcher
BNP against the New World Order
06:21 PM on 02/22/2013
'What is the use of parliment' by Frederick Jowett provides an effective solution to the problem of party control over representation.Ridding parliment of the elitist party system by instead creating proportional working commitees of all elected mp's would allow the interests of all British people to be represented as opposed to the one party with its cabinet we have at the moment
05:50 PM on 02/22/2013
Dodgy Politicians Rule Our Land with Lies and Deceit and Slight of Hand.
University Education in Scotland it's Free ! In Wales and Northern Ireland a miniscule fee.
But pity the poor English for they pay the most!
Verily in truth tis no boast ! Nine thousand a year the Universities demandeth if the bank manager say's no thou art confoundeth! Foreign students of means is what they seek. Pity the poor English be they ever so meek. Their politicians have forsaken them tis quite true whether they be Red Yellow or Blue.
To find out how this poem continues visit Eastleigh tomorrow and read our posters.
Mike Walters English Democrat Candidate Eastleigh.
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lordmak
the pen is mightier than the sword.
01:54 PM on 02/22/2013
wow! nice read. i agree totally.
i think at the end of the day, everyone knows politicians are all crooks and it is rigged so their families will always be politically accepted. our entire political class are either corrupt or incompetent.
there is not much we can do to correct the errors and get the best people in the jobs and get the crooks locked up.
your idea seems pheasable. i have heard for months now. people complaining etc that we can never get rid of them. i think you are correct. we can... and if we all stick together we can do it an awful lot quicker.
a great read which has got me thinking.
thanks
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Martin Wilding Davies
02:08 PM on 02/22/2013
I thank you. You'll find a lot more food for thought here: http://www.ordinarypeople.org.uk
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vividrick
I came, I saw...I had a cup of tea!
01:01 PM on 02/22/2013
The major flaw which often stifles me is national party policy against local issues. For me they've often clashed, not that an MP or councillor not liking their own leader is a bad thing, but doesn't translate well to the electorate. So a 'people's participation' of sorts can play a major influential role.
11:56 AM on 02/22/2013
I don't really envy the people of Eastleigh, they have a choice between:

A pro-life homophobe isolationist.

A gadfly who has written about how he wished that a former PM had been murdered, and wished however-many thousand British soldiers and sailors dead "for the good of the country".

A local councellor representing the 40%-of-our-ministers-have-already-resigned party.

A councellor from an adjoining county who only joined her current party because she was "utterly disillusioned with political interference on a local level"

Plus the usual varieties of no-hopers, religious fanatics, regional isolationists and joke parties.

If I lived there then I'd probably finish up voting for the Elvis Loves Pets Party.
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Martin Wilding Davies
03:22 PM on 02/22/2013
Your observation neatly illustrates the point, Rufus. Isn't this more or less the choice you'll get wherever you vote?
10:25 PM on 02/22/2013
It could be worse though. At least none of the candidates are trying to have their court dates changed for where they're being prosecuted for malfeasance in public office and soliciting sex with a minor because it would interfere with their campaign...
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u s of england
power to the sheeple
11:38 AM on 02/22/2013
Nice article dude, how do I get involved?
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Martin Wilding Davies
02:02 PM on 02/22/2013
I thank you. You'll be warmly welcomed here: http://www.ordinarypeople.org.uk

and here: http://www.meetup.com/OrdinaryPeopleMovement/events/104983032/
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u s of england
power to the sheeple
04:12 PM on 02/22/2013
I had a look, seems like an extremely worthwhile cause so I signed up...

I'm a graphic designer, so I'd be more then happy to help with flyers, posters etc. Free of charge of course. Democracy is priceless, whatever democracy is.
11:02 AM on 02/22/2013
If Labour wins Eastleigh or misses out but does well David will be in big trouble! Good luck Labour.
11:29 AM on 02/22/2013
Win it! - It should be a slaughter for them in this part of the election cycle.
If the new/old/real/true/whatever Labour party don't dominate the vote with an outright majority (50%+) of the turnout, leaving all other parties licking their wounds with massively reduced voting figures, it's the Real Labour party that's in real trouble come the general election in two years time.
12:03 PM on 02/22/2013
I so hope your right but I think your playing with us heads!
01:36 PM on 02/22/2013
Labour got 5,000 votes in the last election. To turn that around, and sweep to victory in Eastleigh would be a swing never before seen in any bye-election in British history.

They cannot win, and your attempt to portray that as some kind of disaster for them is ridiculous.
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Roy Fowler
I try....I really do!
01:01 PM on 02/22/2013
Can you give me one political/practical reason why any sane person would consider voting Labour?
01:36 PM on 02/22/2013
They aren't Tories, Liberals or UKIP.
01:46 PM on 02/22/2013
Because they are the only party that has given us the masses a better life, what other party has done that, they have talked about what we should have and what shouldn't have, but only the Labour Party has actually given us the masses anything,
10:35 AM on 02/22/2013
Anything other than the present system would be preferable, we're presently governed by the chosen few voted by the faithful gullible and find our hands tied whichever way we vote, tot up the scandals played out at the expense of the taxpayer and it surprises me we aren't undergoing Egypt or Syrian style revolution as that appears the one way for reform to take place.
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Ian Rennie
It irritates people that I'm a librarian :)
09:47 AM on 02/22/2013
the question becomes (and I'm genuinely asking this, not using it as a rhetorical device) what's the alternative?

Martin, I know in the past you've argued for government by "demarchy", in other words letting the country be governed by people selected at random from the population. Would you still see this as a viable option, and if so, how would you implement it?
11:22 AM on 02/22/2013
It would make a government that's about as effective and intelligent as the jury (picked at random) who were not confident in their understanding of the concept of reasonable doubt in the Vicky Price trial.
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Martin Wilding Davies
01:57 PM on 02/22/2013
Mr/Ms Majority, you seem to have pronounced judgement based upon evidence not presented in the case! You have no more idea than I do what went on in the jury room.

I do not accept that ordinary people are inherently stupid and that judgement must be handed down by an 'intelligent' elite. Random selection ensures equality but the sample size has to be big enough to be representative of the community making the judgement.

In my opinion, based upon years of research, there's nothing wrong with the principle of juries. The problem lies in our anachronistic legal system and specifically in court protocol.
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u s of england
power to the sheeple
11:41 AM on 02/22/2013
Referenda based policy making would be interesting.
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Ian Rennie
It irritates people that I'm a librarian :)
11:48 AM on 02/22/2013
interesting but possibly hard to implement.  Without considerable expenditure or a really superb technology infrastructure, you're limited in terms of what you can hold referenda on.  There's also the risk that continual referenda will basically make it constant campaign season.
 
Nonetheless it's in intriguing prospect if the kinks can be worked out.