Inflation At Lowest Level In More Than Two Years, With CPI At 3%

PA/The Huffington Post UK  |  Posted: Updated: 22/05/2012 10:08

Inflation fell to its lowest level in more than two years last month, official figures showed on Tuesday, as high street discounting took the pressure off household budgets.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate of inflation fell to 3% in April, compared with 3.5% in March, its lowest level since February 2010, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

In further evidence that the weak economic climate is forcing retailers to cut prices to draw in customers, clothing and footwear prices rose by just 0.2% in the period compared with 1.4% last year.

And softer excise duty rises on alcohol and tobacco, as well as lower air fares due to the timing of Easter, also helped keep a lid on the rising cost of living.

Bank of England Governor Sir Mervyn King narrowly avoided sending his 10th "Dear Chancellor" letter to explain why inflation is higher than the Government's 2% target, as at 3% it is now within one percentage point of that goal.

Inflation has fallen from 5.6% last September due to the waning impact of the VAT hike at the start of 2011, falling energy, food and commodity prices and a number of bill cuts from utility providers.

However, it has not dropped as quickly as the Bank of England expected after fears over increasing tensions between the West and Iran pushed oil prices higher in March.

The sharp decrease in inflation in April is likely to bolster the case for the Bank to pump more emergency cash into the economy through its quantitative easing programme.

The economy entered a technical recession in the first quarter of the year as gross domestic product declined 0.2%, following a 0.3% drop in the final quarter of 2011.

Chloe Smith, the economic secretary to the Treasury, said: "Inflation is down and back within the target range for the first time since 2010, which is good news and will provide some welcome relief for family budgets."

The most significant downward pressure on prices in April came from the transport sector, which saw prices rise 1.2% compared with a 2.8% rise the previous year.

The largest downward effect came from air transport where the timing of Easter meant fares rose 7.4% compared with a huge 29% surge last year.

A smaller downward impact came from second-hand cars, the ONS said, where prices rose by less than a year ago.

Alcohol and tobacco prices rose 2.9%, compared with a record 5.3% rise last year, as excise duty rises in the March Budget had a smaller impact on overall prices.

The softer rise in clothing prices was driven by cheaper womenswear, the ONS said.

Retailers have kept prices low and sacrificed profit margins in a bid to draw in cash-strapped consumers, whose confidence has been knocked by the weak economic climate.

The most significant upward contribution came from restaurant and hotel prices, which rose 1% compared with a 0.6% increase a year ago.

Housing and household services also had an upward effect as lower utility bills were overshadowed by higher rents.

Alternative measures of inflation also fell, as the Retail Price Index fell to 3.5% from 3.6% in the period.

Jeremy Cook, chief economist at currency experts, World First, said the figure came on the back of lower oil prices.

“Unfortunately, this will provide no genuine comfort to households given that wage growth is nowhere near this number.

“Of course, the slip in CPI will give those people who believe that further QE is needed to keep the UK economy going more room to manoeuvre. This is ahead of tomorrow’s publication of the minutes from the latest Bank of England meeting that we expect to show only one vote for another round of QE.

“This is the first print within the target zone since late 2009 although the defining characteristic of the UK inflation picture through the crisis has been its “stickiness”; its refusal to fall. We expect the CPI figure to remain around 3% for the rest of the year."

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Inflation fell to its lowest level in more than two years last month, official figures showed on Tuesday, as high street discounting took the pressure off household budgets. The Consumer Price Inde...
Inflation fell to its lowest level in more than two years last month, official figures showed on Tuesday, as high street discounting took the pressure off household budgets. The Consumer Price Inde...
 
 
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01:40 PM on 05/23/2012
Who...ops, I think this was accidential rather than policy driven by the BoE and the PM. Remember inflation over 2% was supoosed to be temporary. Yeah, 2% maximum and target not achieved in last 30 months. Would love to know the content of the BoE monthly letter to the PM explaining failure.

Probably starts, " To D, Oh, those were the days we thought they would never end but they did and no worries because I do not know how to fix. That aside pay and bonuses are great and that gold plated pension is fab, thanks a lot, Luv, M"
11:08 AM on 05/23/2012
This means the benefit cheats will get more for their money.
10:18 AM on 05/23/2012
don,t know why you are all arguing this is the biggest pile of proppaganda i have read for ages .
they are telling you that your better off to get you ready for the fuel rise . but what ever you say people are sick of the blame labour exuse and the money they wasted , we are still giving billion to foreign aid when we could use it here to benefit the hard pressed tax payers .
12:51 PM on 05/23/2012
I understand that people are sick of the "blame Labour" excuse but lets face the facts - it is a short memory that forgets Labour had 13 years blaming the Conservatives!

We have become a blame culture indeed but the bottom line is that serious financial difficulties exist around the world and unpopular decisions need to be taken to eventually take us out of the straits we currently find ourselves.
01:22 PM on 05/23/2012
government leaders like cameron should be big enough to get on his job without calling anyone , as far as world financial difificulties it does not matter how much money we throw at other countries we cannot fix them because of fraud in said countries so we may as well keep the money and try to sort out the uk , its no good us being worse off trying to help countries that are riddled with fraud
12:26 AM on 05/23/2012
That will please the 21/2 million without a job.
10:16 PM on 05/22/2012
Put simply, this means that a saver is losing money at a rate of about 3 percent... WHY? Because the previous government sold us down the river by pouring money it didn't have into the sewer of welfarism so that it could win votes from the feckless and incompetent.
12:36 AM on 05/23/2012
getting a bit boring now keep blaming labour especially after 2+ years,you will still be saying the same when the cons term as finished.
09:27 AM on 05/23/2012
If we had a Tory PM we might get out of this but sadly we don't. Cameron is a Liberal no question.
09:09 PM on 05/22/2012
where is my post
08:15 PM on 05/22/2012
Do the goverment really think that anyone living in the 'real world' believes that inflation is at 3%?
Maybe it is ... if you don't eat, drive or use gas or electricity - not forgetting train fares, water company bills, etc, etc...
Just another trick to reduce pension increases...
The Bank of England is busily debasing the purchasing power of the pound - we all see it day by day'
07:30 PM on 05/22/2012
A lower rate of inflation is good news because inflation is theft from those people whose assets are of a fixed price including those with pensions and who hold government bonds.

I have a theory that the way we create money has inflation built into it. This is theory is explained on my web log in an essay titled "LETS go to market: dealing with the economic crisis."

On the other hand deflation would lead to economic chaos.

Therefore the goal should be steady prices.

(The author of this comment has a web log on economics at https://economics102.wordpress.com/)
07:25 PM on 05/22/2012
its not going to drop quickly is it when this and the last government printed over 300 billion pounds
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fozwords
Abandon hope when you post on here
06:54 PM on 05/22/2012
That must mean we are going to pay more, when Ted Heath was in power you got an automatic pay rise for every point rise in the RPI, NOW THE PRICES SEEM TO RISE FOR EVERY DROP IN THE RPI, OR SHOULD IT BE THE RIP???????
05:47 PM on 05/22/2012
the people of britain are getting screwed rotten, something needs to be done about it, hopelessness,
10:17 PM on 05/22/2012
WE'RE being screwed because a daft voting system meant that the minority of people who voted Labour held the rest of the country to ransom.
04:31 PM on 05/22/2012
Very very misleading and totally wrong. Prices have remained high as I keep the till receipt each week from my weekly shop and it has gone up and its the same with other things I shop for . These figures are put out to try and gain consumers confidence so people will go out and spend money the can,t afford . This country can no longer control prices that`s why its in such a mess.
07:33 PM on 05/22/2012
Your correct nothings getting cheaper quite the opposite the utility have announced forthcoming rises
09:05 PM on 05/22/2012
I think the people who check these prices must have been shopping at pound-land
02:53 PM on 05/22/2012
YES but they all forgot its been going up monthly 2% 2% 2% so whats the real level then.???
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SouthernJewel
That All Important I-4 Corridor in Central FL
01:53 PM on 05/22/2012
Wages are stagnant.
http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2011/07/11/265311/graph-family-26-percent-wages/
The above is from a year ago, but the same still stands true.
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
01:13 PM on 05/22/2012
There are several reasons why inflation has gone down. The first being that these are official figures, and have been subjected to the same sort of massaging as the unemplyment figures. they are meaningless, except for giving the government reason to say their policies are working. Secondly, The manufacturers have hit on the idea of selling smaller amounts for the same money. Anyone who goes shopping knows that. Then again, of course the inflation rate will appear to fall, as more and more people are able to buy less and less. As usual the truth is very different from government hype.