Political Week Ahead Monday 18th June 2012

Theresa May Takes On Judges - The Political Week Ahead

First the good news - the Leveson inquiry is not hearing from witnesses this week. It means there won't be the build-up in the media to what turns out to be quite uninteresting evidence from politicians. That's something that dominated politics last week but in the end revealed very little new.

It's a week where a lot will go on behind the scenes, with the G20 summit in Mexico starting later on Monday and running through the week. David Cameron is there on Monday and Tuesday, as is George Osborne.

Nobody expects the G20 to produce anything substantive in terms of reversing the global economic crisis, but it at least offers Barack Obama a chance to bang European heads together. As the PM pointed out on Monday morning, the fact Greece has elected a pro-bailout, pro-Eurozone party to form its next government just puts another sticking plaster on the Eurozone - one which will probably fall off fairly quickly, just as all the previous plasters did.

At home Theresa May is to push a motion through the Commons redefining Britain's interpretation of Article 8 of the European Convention on Human Rights - this is tabled for Wednesday afternoon. The motion should be passed comfortably but the issue will be thrown into sharp relief on Thursday when a key test case relying on Article 8 reaches a conclusion at the Supreme Court.

This shows where Theresa May's real battle lies - getting judges to accept what elected politicians view as the misinterpretation of Article 8, allowing criminals rights to things like a family life, for example. Ministers and judges appear to be at odds over what that actually entails. May hopes a Commons motion will send a strong signal to the judiciary. It's not clear whether judges will be under any compulsion to stick to it.

The monthly unemployment figures come out on Wednesday morning - after two good months for the government will this be a turning point, when the shrinking of the economy which took place in the first quarter of 2012 begins to filter into the jobs market? As usual the stats will no doubt prompt a row about the economy at Prime Minister's Questions.

Later this week the Progress wing of the Labour Party holds a policy conference which will be attended by among others Harriet Harman. This would not normally be news but there's a fairly furious row going on within the Labour party at the moment regarding Progress.

The unions which largely bankroll the party want to see Progress cast into the wilderness. Ed Miliband is resisting the union's calls, but it's all indicative of a struggle for control of the party, one which Progress appears to be losing, on the face of it.

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