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Michael Dugher

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Cameron's Government is Starting to Look Increasingly Like That of Major's

Posted: 12/04/2012 00:00

In a recent speech in his constituency, David Cameron reportedly compared himself to both Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill (adding, somewhat immodestly, that he and Barack Obama were also "quite similar"). On Monday, it was the 20th anniversary of John Major's general election victory in 1992 and the truth is that Cameron's government is starting to look increasingly like that of Major's.

Firstly, Major and now Cameron presided over a failed economic policy. Under the first four years of Major's premiership, growth was anaemic, though it did slowly recover after 1992 when Britain was forced to change track after crashing out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism on Black Wednesday. Add to that, there were high levels of unemployment with youth unemployment peaking at 924,000 in 1993 ("a price well worth paying", said Major's chancellor Norman Lamont, whose special adviser at the time was one David Cameron).

In 2010, Prime Minister Cameron inherited an economy that was growing and where unemployment was falling. Today the recovery has been choked off, UK growth has flat-lined and the OECD warn of a double-dip recession. Unemployment now is at its highest rate since 1995 (when John Major was PM) and youth unemployment stands at over a million.

There are other comparisons too: Major, and now Cameron too, had a penchant for, to use Thatcher's own phrase, "a privatisation too far" (whereas Major broke up and flogged off the Railways, Cameron seems to be doing the same to the NHS); Major was weak internationally, especially in Europe, and so too is Cameron; and history may argue that both were prime ministers of dysfunctional coalition governments of one sort or another.

Yet perhaps the most striking similarity between Cameron and Major is their complete lack of any vision for the future of the country. John Major's 'forward offer' in 1992 was simply that he wasn't Margaret Thatcher or Neil Kinnock. There was no vision, no big ideas and a feeling in the end that he had been content to oversee a period of national decline.

Under Major the closest thing to a vision we got was 'Back to Basics', which backfired almost immediately (it is also worth noting that Cameron's words on last summer's riots drew unfavorable comparisons with Major's Back to Basics speech). And who could forget Major's 'Citizen's Charter'? This was famously dubbed a "big idea from a mediocre mind" by Peter Hennessy. The Charter established such brilliant reforms as a motorway cone hotline, which in its first year received 11,500 calls and saw six sets of traffic cones moved at a cost of £68 per phone call. It also introduced a law making it illegal not to signpost toilets.

As for David Cameron, the respected conservative-supporting columnist Iain Martin put it well when he wrote recently: "Mr Cameron is highly competitive and pragmatic, pleased to have got the top job but not gripped with a desire to take the country in a particular direction."

For instance, is David Cameron's big idea really 'the Big Society'? This has been launched and re-launched umpteen times. Today it is seen as partly a tactical device used by the Prime Minister to divert attention away from bad headlines elsewhere, and partly as a means of providing political cover for imposing the biggest spending cuts in a generation. The fact is the government is making it much, much harder for community and voluntary organisations to survive, let alone flourish.

And does anyone believe that historians will look back in twenty years and say "hey - remember the Happiness Index?" This, I remind you, is the government's £2million survey of 34,000 people over five months to find out what makes them happy. I very much doubt it.

In the end, Vince Cable probably put it best in describing the deficit of ideas at the heart of Cameron's Government. His leaked letter said:

"There is still something important missing: a compelling vision of where the country is heading beyond sorting out the fiscal mess; and a clear and confident message about how we will earn our living in future...We need a more strategic and proactive approach using all of the government's policy levers - rather than simply responding to crises after they have developed, or waiting to see what the market dictates."

A recent Com Res poll found that 72% of adults said the Government was "out of touch with ordinary people". This has followed a disastrous budget that gave tax cuts to millionaires but clobbered grannies, pasties, caravans and working families. This has been compounded by the ongoing 'cash4cameron' scandal - that once again drew comparisons with the 'Tory sleaze' that marked Major's time in office. Until recently, Cameron's supporters might have said that their man is much better at photo-shoots with fashion mags than John Major ever was. Maybe that's right. But even David Cameron's PR machine seems to be losing its shine of late.

Yet John Major's anniversary this week does remind us that there is one very big difference between these two Conservative prime ministers: namely that Major, unlike Cameron, did manage to win a general election. So maybe the Tories should be wishing a happy anniversary to Sir John after all.

 

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In a recent speech in his constituency, David Cameron reportedly compared himself to both Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill (adding, somewhat immodestly, that he and Barack Obama were also "quit...
In a recent speech in his constituency, David Cameron reportedly compared himself to both Margaret Thatcher and Winston Churchill (adding, somewhat immodestly, that he and Barack Obama were also "quit...
 
 
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01:34 PM on 04/13/2012
PEOPLE'S HEALTH WARNING:

Voting for this Government could seriously damage your health.
Richard Britton
British Socialist Global Realist
11:24 PM on 04/12/2012
This Coalition becomes less and less legitimate with every passing day and every policy blunder.

Failure to win an outright majority, when facing the least popular Prime Minister in living memory (which is an impressive feat considering the shear hatred some have for Thatcher including me), following 13 years of a New Labour government project that failed and included the illegal Iraq War and everything that went with that, indicates that the Conservative Party had not recovered sufficiently to carry the support of the nation.

In fact, it is quite embarrassing for Mr Cameron to realise that he could not get the country to trust him to deal with the economic and social issues facing this country following the global banking crisis.

As it turns out, the Great British public were right to be skeptical about the ability of the Tories to govern in an equitable manner as it becomes more and more evident that Tory ideology is wildly incompatible with the mood of the nation.

Time to end this coalition and put it to the country in a General Election. It has no mandate and they keep messing up. Election or all out strike I say
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Dombeyandson
10:54 AM on 04/12/2012
For instance, is David Cameron's big idea really 'the Big Society'? This has been launched and re-launched umpteen times. Today it is seen as partly a tactical device used by the Prime Minister to divert attention away from bad headlines elsewhere, and partly as a means of providing political cover for imposing the biggest spending cuts in a generation AND worse subversive privatisation of services for which we [ALL?] pay taxes. You cannot privatise essential social requirements to make others rich at the expense of the taxpayer. Privatisation requires choice and competition and truning a service into a profit centre will lead to disaster and greater cost to the public at large. Just look at rail and bus travel once cheap means of transport. Now of course very expensive and privateers capitalising on a ready made "business" instead of a ready made service. Cameron and his ilk are determined to plunder a clent base for their profit instead of providing the services we all need.
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Drg40
Representative Democracy is all we have.
10:18 AM on 04/12/2012
There is a contradiction in Cable's view. Clearly the UK will be dragged out of recession iin the longer term by a massive resurgence in manufacturing. By that I mean manufacturing by UK companies using UK money and UK workers, not foreign money with foreign boards using UK workers because they're easy to sack and it's a quick export route to the EC. Exactly like Germany. Of course, Cameron won't do any such thing, because every red cent he's got goes to the financial sector who pay for his support via contributions to his party. So, Mr Cable, the first step of the route out of recession is for you to cause this lacklustre govt to fall. Something you could do today.
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
08:56 AM on 04/12/2012
I have no torch at all for the tories (or any of the present crew for that matter) however for the editorial to claim that the economy was growing under a labour rule, and now has been choked off, is not only misleading,but an inappropriate political statement. The economy under labour 'appeared' to be growing becausel abour was borrowing more and more money to pay for it. Just as we could live comfortably, and apparently affluently if we simply borrowed from the bank,and maxed out all our credit cards. Trouble being sooner or later the piper demands to be paid. then the 52" TV, etc have to go back and still we owe for them. I don't say the tories have gone about it the right way or the best way, but one way or another we have to repay what we owe, so let's not forget who raided the piggy bank in the first place. Also that most jobs were in fact going to foreign workers whose abilities and work ethics were apparently superior to ours.Now it seems our education system has been failing as well, and who was in charge then? Not the tories, so let's be fair and balanced shall we?
11:07 AM on 04/12/2012
I agree with the majority of what you say, but hasnt this always been the way with this constanst back and forth system of voting labour,then tories,then labour again then tories? same old same old
Dont blame me, I voted Nationalist, otherwise its ping-pong politics till the end of time
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
12:02 PM on 04/12/2012
Good morning dan-b.Ping Pong poltics describes it very well, and it has failed the people of this country miserably. We need a change, and need it very badly indeed. Strangely, they all know the answers to the countries problems when they are in opposition, but when in power, just keep on digging the hole ever deeper. The truth is they have no idea, and are mostly from a legal background with little or no experience of the real world. Many are rich people just meddling in the game of power. I personally believe we will have one more chance at averting catastrophe at the next general election. If the voters fail to take it, I shdder to think of the consequences, in every direction.
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Gunderan
Who let the Libertarians out without supervision?
12:43 PM on 04/13/2012
I notice in the article above no mention of the housing bubble which is down to Blair Brown which is what fueled growth,without that bubble there would have been a massive contraction of the economy.If Cameron was the answwer then we the voters were asking the wrong question.Dan-b is rightbut IMHO does not go far enough,people gave the \Lib/dems a chance to be the balance and they just ran straight into coalition.I dont care that they went to the Tory's instead of Labour that should not have even been an option.They should have supported individual bills and voted against the bad ones.Clegg had a chance to put the Lib/dems on the map and by joining one party blew it.The Lib dems will pay quite rightly for that misjudgement but the country already is.If Labour does not get rid of the neo-con Blairites then it too does not deserve power
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FearlessFreep
A radical leftist with a JS Woodsworth avatar.
01:22 AM on 04/12/2012
Major probably wouldn't have won in 1992 if not for voters disenfranchised due to the poll tax boycott. And he certainly wouldn't have won if the election had happened six months later, after the financial crisis of August.
Richard Britton
British Socialist Global Realist
11:14 PM on 04/12/2012
The failure of Labour to win the 92 election and the premature death of John Smith are two events that will have very long term consequences for Britain and indeed the world.

They allowed Tony Blair to come to power and all that ensued.

Perfect example of the Butterfly Effect. When in future people write "alternative histories" they may well decide that a good point to start would be a Labour victory in 92 and John Smith becoming PM and having a similar length of duty to Blair.