“This strike was aimed at deterring future Iranian attack plans,” the Pentagon said in a statement. “The United States will continue to take all necessary action to protect our people and our interests wherever they are around the world.”
Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, a pro-Iranian militia leader who was a senior figure in Iraq’s government-linked Popular Mobilisation Forces, was also killed in the Iraq attack, according to reports from The Associated Press and Reuters.
The incident will have mammoth implications for the Middle East because Soleimani was the central figure in Iran’s significant network of influence across the region. It’s likely to seriously affect the US position there ― with Tehran’s allies already blaming Washington for the death, a greater escalation between US and Iranian forces and their partners appears inevitable. Thousands of US forces are currently within rocket range of Iran’s military and in close proximity to Iran-backed fighters, chiefly in Iraq and Syria, as part of deployments in the ongoing fight against the self-described Islamic State (ISIS).
The US launched strikes against targets linked to Iran on Friday, officials told Reuters. At least five people died in the flare-up, according to The New York Times, including Soleimani and Muhandis.“The American and Israeli enemy is responsible for killing the mujahideen Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis and Qassem Soleimani,” Ahmed al-Assadi, a spokesman for the Iraqi militia coalition to which Muhandis belonged, told Reuters.Senator Chuck Schumer, the top Democrat in the Senate, was not given any advance notice of the airstrike, according to an aide.Trump administration officials did not immediately provide information on their plans to manage the fallout from the strike.“I worked the Iran account for years at the [White House] under two presidents. I’m honestly terrified right now that we don’t have a functioning national security process to evaluate options and prepare for contingencies,” Kelly Magsamen, a vice president at the Center for American Progress, wrote on Twitter. “God help us.”
The US and Iran both work closely with the Iraqi state and tacitly cooperated in the country for years to combat ISIS. Both have major presences in the country. Experts worry that if their relationship deteriorates further ― and if Baghdad becomes wary of the US because of Iranian pressure or Iraqi anger about American violations of the nation’s sovereignty ― America could face a new national security risk and lose crucial gains in the counterterrorism fight.
Demonstrators connected to Iran besieged the US Embassy in Baghdad earlier this week after Trump ordered strikes on a pro-Iranian militia in Iraq last weekend. Analysts expected some kind of American pushback, but most appeared surprised by how far Trump went. Though hawks like Republican Congressman Adam Kinzinger celebrated the news, their messages didn’t extend to commentary on the long-term effects of the killings.
It’s also unclear what degree of military action Washington will now choose to engage in, and scholars dispute the legal interpretations it will base them on. Soleimani and Muhandis were both members of organisations that the US designates as terrorist groups, but American decision-makers have not in recent years made a habit of targetting their forces or leaders of their rank in this way.
Soleimani’s absence could reshape Mideast politics. Local power brokers saw him as a highly capable operative who could cause serious damage ― including to American interests ― yet managed to largely do so in ways that served his and Iran’s overall strategy. His country’s leadership is likely to feel it must react strongly and loudly, and could do so in a variety of contexts.
“Soleimani was an enemy of the United States. That’s not a question,” Democrat Senator Chris Murphy wrote on Twitter. “The question is this - as reports suggest, did America just assassinate, without any congressional authorisation, the second most powerful person in Iran, knowingly setting off a potential massive regional war?”