Tories Lose 1,000 Council Seats – Which Was Meant To Be Worst-Case Scenario

Twitter enjoys the show as the Conservative Party's expectation management strategy gets a hammering.
Prime minister Rishi Sunak leaves the Conservative Party headquarters in central London, after the party suffered council losses in the local elections.
Prime minister Rishi Sunak leaves the Conservative Party headquarters in central London, after the party suffered council losses in the local elections.
Stefan Rousseau - PA Images via Getty Images

The Conservative Party has been mocked after a dire set of local election results reached a benchmark.

At around 7.30pm on Friday, the Conservatives had lost more than 1,000 council seats in England – and rising – with some authorities still to declare.

For the last month, Tory party chairman Greg Hands has been telling anyone who will listen they were on course to lose 1,000 councillors.

But it doesn’t take a seasoned political watcher to know this is “expectation management” – a device used by all political parties during campaigning.

Conservatives hit 1,000 losses:

🌹 LAB: 2,552 (+505)
🌳 CON: 2,172 (-1,005)
🔶 LDM: 1,548 (+402)
🌍 GRN: 450 (+230)

— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) May 5, 2023

The idea is to set out the worst case scenario, so when it’s not so bad you have a positive story to tell. In short, the Conservatives really didn’t think the May 4 ballots would be this bad.

A Lib Dem spokesperson said: “Rishi Sunak has delivered three things in the past 24 hours – pizza, bacon sandwiches and 1,000 seats lost for the Tories.”

Labour frontbencher Wes Streeting said: “I take it all back Greg Hands – I thought losing 1,000 Conservative councillors was a cynical expectation management exercise, not an ambition. What is the point of Rishi Sunak?”

Twitter was enjoying the show too – with the refresh button getting a hammering.

Live scenes as govt attempts to play down losing 1,000 seats: pic.twitter.com/C3Eo48REbT

— Have I Got News For You (@haveigotnews) May 5, 2023

This is now statistically inevitable. I didn't see one person predict a result this bad for them. Not even Greg Hands doing expectation management. https://t.co/iLQlMpLo2Z

— Sam Freedman (@Samfr) May 5, 2023

Gleefully reloading the BBC website and watching the Tory loses pile up.

935 and counting.

That 1000 figure was meant to be OTT expectation management lads, not a target to aim for!

— Kirsty O'Brien (@CampaignKirsty) May 5, 2023

Lib Dem source: "Finally the Conservatives have delivered on something they promised - 1,000 seats lost."

— Kevin Schofield (@KevinASchofield) May 5, 2023

Watching them inch to -1000 like pic.twitter.com/t0PouDN5A4

— Stephen Sutherland (@sjsuth) May 5, 2023

Good thing the Tories didn't go around telling people that it would be a really bad night if they hit 1000 losses then, isn't it?

— Richard Cubitt (@richardrcubitt) May 5, 2023

Countdown to -1,000 is truly great Twitter

— The Columnist 🤷♂️ (@Sime0nStylites) May 5, 2023

1000 seats lost#ElectionResults

pic.twitter.com/BlqJRY3LaZ

— JR.Hartley’s Armchair (@JRsArmchair) May 5, 2023

Are you hitting refresh just like the rest of us?

Come on 1000.

30 councils to go. pic.twitter.com/LTPPNxNabq

— Josh Russell @MVTFWD StopTheTories.Vote (@JoshFwd) May 5, 2023

Greg Hands(Tory party Chair) biggest nightmare just came true.

Tory's lose a 1000+ seats in #LocalElection2023 pic.twitter.com/I28MbuQxXQ

— Haggis_UK 🇬🇧 🇪🇺 (@Haggis_UK) May 5, 2023

When we said we might lose 1,000 seats, that was just so could say whatever we ended up losing wasn't too bad. It wasn't meant to actually happen!#ElectionResults

— Parody Rishi Sunak (@Parody_PM) May 5, 2023

"I must just point out that losing 1,000 seats was a one-off"#ElectionResults pic.twitter.com/24Zzx1O5Ir

— Parody Rishi Sunak (@Parody_PM) May 5, 2023

Rishi Sunak remained defiant despite heavy losses, with both Labour and the Lib Dems seizing control of Tory councils across England.

Keir Starmer’s party was projected to have won a nine-point lead over the Conservatives if all of Britain had gone to the polls, as the Tories slid backwards.

Labour seized councils in Tory MPs’ seats that would be hotly contested at a general election – including in Swindon, Medway, Dover and East Staffordshire.

Sunak conceded the results were “disappointing”, but said he was “not detecting any massive groundswell of movement towards the Labour Party or excitement for its agenda”.

But the Tories will be concerned by Labour wins in the North, South and Midlands and a resurgent Lib Dems, as the prospect of a general election in 2024 looms.

Close

What's Hot