Eurozone Crisis: Markets Slide As Finance Ministers' Meeting Cancelled

Ecofin

Huffington Post UK   First Posted: 25/10/11 17:35 Updated: 25/12/11 10:12

The Ecofin meeting of European finance ministers scheduled for Wednesday has been cancelled, as markets await a critical crisis response package from European leaders.

Back-to-back summits of European Union and eurozone heads of government will still go ahead, as policymakers and politicians try to thrash out the details of an agreement that will put a floor under spiralling confidence in the single currency and the EU’s economic stability.

The main European markets slid after the announcement, and safe haven assets, including the German bund, saw strengthening demand.

A disagreement between Germany and France over the continued role of the European Central Bank (ECB) in buying sovereign bonds from private sector holders is among the most critical impasses to bridge before the “grand plan” to resolve the debt crisis is revealed tomorrow evening.

Other proposals for bolstering the firepower of the eurozone’s mechanisms for managing the knock-on effects of a sovereign default include using financial engineering tricks to boost the size of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which currently stands at €440 billion (£380 billion). Some in the markets have suggested that upwards of €2 trillion would be needed to

“If the EFSF is increased in size either by using leverage or accounting tricks such as those used in the US mortgage market prior to the financial crisis, then any initial positive market response is likely to prove short lived,” Carl Astorri, global head of economics at Coutts said.

“To draw a line under the crisis once and for all, the ECB’s balance sheet needs to be put on the line. Such an approach currently remains off the table due to German objections.”

The run up to the meeting has also been marred by serious disagreements between policymakers and market participants over the size of the funds needed to recapitalise the eurozone’s banking sector, and over the scale of the “haircut” on Greek debt that the private sector must swallow in order to bring the country back towards sustainability.

France and Germany have clashed over this as well, with the German government more keen to crystallise losses in the private sector in the near term than the French, who are searching for a voluntary agreement with the public sector carrying some of the risk. The French banks are large holders of Greek sovereign debt, and are likely to be more exposed than their German peers.

Italy, which is struggling to pull itself out of the mire of slow growth and unsustainable debt levels that engulfed Greece, Portugal and Ireland, threw a further spanner in the works on Monday night.

Raising the retirement age – a reform demanded by other EU states as a condition of continuing support of the Italian bond market – did not make it through Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s increasingly divided cabinet.

While a default in Greece, however painful, would ultimately be manageable for the eurozone, Italy, the third largest economy in the single currency area, would cause deep, and possibly irreparable damage.

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The Ecofin meeting of European finance ministers scheduled for Wednesday has been cancelled, as markets await a critical crisis response package from European leaders. Back-to-back summits of Europ...
The Ecofin meeting of European finance ministers scheduled for Wednesday has been cancelled, as markets await a critical crisis response package from European leaders. Back-to-back summits of Europ...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard Bartholomew
My micro-bio isn't empty.
11:50 on 26/10/2011
And yet, for all of the euro zone's troubles, the euro is still trouncing the US dollar. The latest exchange rate: 1.00 EUR = 1.39303 USD (see http://www.xe.com/ucc/convert/?Amount=1&From=EUR&To=USD&image.x=33&image.y=10&image=Submit). That's hideous. If this keeps up, the dollar won't even be worth it's weight in toilet paper.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Lawyer13
retired Lawyer, General and Psychiatric Nurse, wit
05:46 on 26/10/2011
If this Euro problem was not so serious for all of us you would have to laugh at the way it is being dealt with, or perhaps I should say not dealt with.
01:45 on 26/10/2011
http://www.oftwominds.com/blogoct11/euro-debt-dominoes10-11.html

After 19 months of denial, propaganda and phony fixes, the political and finance leaders of the European Union are claiming a "comprehensive solution" will be presented by Wednesday, October 26-- or maybe by the G20 meeting on November 3, or maybe on Christmas, when Santa Claus delivers the gift global markets are demanding: a "solution" that actually pencils out and that forces monumental writeoffs of debt and thus equally monumental losses on European banks and bondholders.

There have been any number of insightful descriptions of what's going on beneath the artifice, spin and lies, for example:

Four Facts that PROVE the EFSF (rescue fund) Doesn’t Matter At All (Zero Hedge)

Revised Troika Forecast Sees Total Greek Debt-To-GDP Peaking At 186%: Here Is What Happens Next (Zero Hedge)

There Is No Bailout Spoon: The Math Behind The €2 Trillion EFSF Reveals A "Pea Shooter" Not A "Bazooka" (Zero Hedge)

Citi Expects A 76% Haircut On Greek Debt (Zero Hedge)

EU Bank Stress Test: When No. 1 Financial-Strength Ranking Spells Doom (Bloomberg)

I have summarized the fundamentals in this one graphic: the European dominoes of debt. Simply put, there is no way the EU authorities can stop the first domino--Greek default or equivalent writedown of its impossible debt load--from toppling the over-leveraged banks which will be rendered insolvent when forced to recognize their losses.
23:54 on 25/10/2011
I wonder how long this will keep limping on for? Its time to cut the wheat from the chaff. Its time for the PIIGS to be booted out of the euro.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sdgreen
20:20 on 25/10/2011
I have to wonder if the European leaders know what they are doing. This is a prime example of the failure of the EU!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Itsbeenalongday
Eliminating poverty is smart business
18:31 on 25/10/2011
There goes a ten billion dollar collapse of the world share markets decision.