UK Economy: GDP Falls By 0.3% In Last Quarter Of 2011

Posted: 28/03/2012 09:41 Updated: 28/03/2012 10:01

Pounds

GDP fell by 0.3% in the last quarter of 2011, lower than the initial estimate of 0.2%, official statistics showed on Wednesday.

The Office for National Statistics found for the whole of last year the UK's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.7%.

The drop in the final quarter of 2011 was the first time GDP has fallen since the final quarter of 2010 when the Arctic weather was blamed for a 0.5% decline.

Azad Zangana, Economist at Schroders said the data suggested "weaker momentum" in 2012 and we could be heading for a recession, where growth contracts in two consecutive quarters.

"Growth for 2011 as a whole is now 0.7% rather than the previous estimate of 0.9%. Our view is that the weakness highlighted in this release in combination with the poor production and retail sales data so far for, it is more likely than not that the economy also contracted in the first three months of this year, which would put the UK in a technical recession."

But Jeremy Cook, Chief Economist at World First foreign exchange said the revision down was "slight blip".

“Even though this figure has been revised lower, we do however believe that we can now attribute this to being a slight blip.

"Business surveys such as the recent Purchasing Manager surveys have shown that Q1 should be growing at around a 0.3/0.4% pace, although we would like to see more in the form of business investment, which fell in Q4 by 3.3%. Hopefully the recent Budget will give that a prod in the right direction.

“The UK growth profile looks to continue to “bump along the bottom” in 2012 with no single quarter expected by us to print over 0.5%."

FOLLOW UK

GDP fell by 0.3% in the last quarter of 2011, lower than the initial estimate of 0.2%, official statistics showed on Wednesday. The Office for National Statistics found for the whole of last year t...
GDP fell by 0.3% in the last quarter of 2011, lower than the initial estimate of 0.2%, official statistics showed on Wednesday. The Office for National Statistics found for the whole of last year t...
Filed by Dina Rickman  | 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 169
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Post Comment Preview Comment
To reply to a Comment: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to.
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3  Next ›  Last »  (3 total)
03:50 PM on 03/29/2012
Let us not forget labour successes

Britain’s inward investment standing drops from 2nd place to 27 place.

Britain drops behind Brazil in the economic league

Manufacturing collapse from 1997 20% of GDP from manufacturing. 2010 only 9% of GDP

25% of people in work only work part time.

OECD stated that the NHS was the 3rd most inefficient health service out of a peer group of 29 countries.

Machine tool investment barometer shows investment in machine tools in Britiain is lower Many countries with populations a fraction of the size of ours invest more than we do.


We are 18th in the league and invest one 10th what the Germans invest.

Germany spends 47pc more on research and development than the UK.

At our best, we had the third-lowest corporate tax in the EU-15. Now we are eighth.

Manufacturing has halved as a share of our economy,

Business investment fell by 5.6 per cent.

In the case of airports courting the green vote is more important than the economic benefits of new routes to the growing economies of the world. As a result Britian loses 1,8 billion per year and our competitors get the business.

The history of Labour 1997 to 2010 was that apart from borrowing hundreds of billions, throwing obscene amounts of money at the public sector , creating huge unfunded liabilities on pfi and public sector pensions , putting us in a crippling economic and financial position, they did not implement anything.
11:17 PM on 03/29/2012
no one is saying that the socialists got it right, no where near that. Can you point a finger at what has happened since the coaltion came into office that meant anything for the good? Anything that did not cost us dearly?
02:17 PM on 03/29/2012
Britain back in recession, well if you take everybody's money, they tend to stop spending, ever thought of that one George.
05:47 PM on 03/29/2012
We're not in recession until George says so.
11:13 PM on 03/29/2012
lol....I hope that was meant as sarcasm. Whatever GO says is not believable any more. If he told me it was dark at midnight I would be sceptical.
02:10 PM on 03/29/2012
Let's face it every time the Tories take office the country descends into chaos. In less than 2 years we have had riots on our streets, mass youth unemployment an unprecedented onslaught on the poor and disabled, privatization of the NHS and now eradication of our countryside in favour of rich property developers. It amazes me how these blinkered Daily Mail reading Tories are completely in denial to the main cause of the dire economic situation... The Banks. Their greed and and casino mentality are totally to blame for destroying the world's economies. Osborne has absolutely no clue if and when we will ever get growth and his policy of cut cut cut is just not working. One only needs to look at the U.S. economy to see continued growth of 3%, why because they are investing in people, business and jobs.
11:06 AM on 03/29/2012
2012, 2013, 2014 the economy would fall from well below 0.3% to -0.5% and it could be even lower then this. Europe heading for second recession as European looking for other means to survive like going to stone age deal where no Euro involves in few Euro zone nation they buying and selling without currecny yes they doing it. This would hit export here in UK so less work and less tax mean less in benefit so more cuts. War in Gulf mean less fuel needed here and less export and import of goods so it is all enter link with everything else. How could anyone survive with world economu falling apart. UK is still safe zone when it comes to export of goods, UK have one of the best quality of product in the world so UK would survive and UK would come out from recession and more job losses because businesses could borrow with very low interest rates. I hope politicians stop borrowing with huge interest rate so no borrowing no recession. At present cuts are important borrow less now would help paying off debt mean road to recovery.
12:18 PM on 03/29/2012
Did you cut up your comment with a pair of scissors into individual words, then put those words in a bucket? Then, I assume you shook the bucket to ensure absolute randomness of words, then plucked them out one by one, and typed them into the comments box in the order they came out of the bucket...
02:11 PM on 03/29/2012
Hey.... Crimeboy, don't be so critical, the guy is trying and you can understand it.
03:18 PM on 03/29/2012
And so in the name of Milton Freidman onward we go. Wear yoo frum godschild Nigeria
10:53 AM on 03/29/2012
We have to be aware that the Government could be sidelining us with 'small in comparison' stories that they know we will object to, for example: Has the 'Pastie' Tax diverted us away from the 'Granny tax?' which is a much larger issue.
How many people now remember with concern the Liam Fox affair and DC's promise to release the names of all ministers that met with Werrity?
Even the Murdoch affair has lost space in our media due to 20% on pasties.
I believe this is all worked out by the 'spivs' in government.
Watch out for extra tax on 'Tap-Washers'.
10:50 AM on 03/29/2012
It seems that people are lacking patience or an understanding of how long it takes to turn round an economy that was ritually destroyed by the Labour government over a 13-year period.

It was always going to be at least a five-year project to restore the dire situation left behind and it takes a long time to pass the necessary legislation. One part of this that I am distantly connected to is a bill presented to parliament in December 2010 that will not be fully in force until mid-summer 2012. That's how slow the process is.

Be patient. Right now we have a pretty good Chancellor in George Osbourne. He may not get everything right but he is a miracle compared to his predecessor. I hope he continues to roll back the bloated government we can't afford to a smaller version we can afford.

If the prospects of cuts offend you (and they've barely started yet), then be reminded of the saying: "God bless the younger generation for they shall inherit the national debt." Do let your kids know what you intend to bequeath to them but don't expect gratitude.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SATCHMAN99
11:07 AM on 03/29/2012
Osbourne a good chancellor? Someone is is clock land today lol!!!! As for growth..Don't hold your breath is all I can say on that one!
12:21 PM on 03/29/2012
Someone is is clock land today lol!!!! Whaaaaaattttt?
11:40 AM on 03/29/2012
It took labour 13 years to sort out what we had left after the thatcher selling spree, now we will have to it until the next goverment is elected to see what we have left if anything, and then they will have no option but to put up taxes because this country wont belong to us, but to the rich tories who will move abroad to cheat the system as they always do, the non beleivers have now seen enough of the tories to see what they are all about, and that is look after the rich and stuff the poor and working man
11:55 AM on 03/29/2012
The great and lasting contribution of Prime Minister Thatcher was to finally unload the overmanned, outdated, inefficient, uncompetitive, tax-eating state-owned enterprises that consumed far more wealth than they ever created. This policy is now in force virtually in every country around the world. We should be proud that under Mrs. Tatcher's leadership we were probably the first nation to see the inevitable logic of this strategy and our prosperity since then has been the result. Sadly, socialists still don't get it even when the evidence stares them in the face.
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
10:08 AM on 03/29/2012
Osborne hasn't got a growth prediction right since he started, but he keeps trying. A bit like the crowd who go around predicting the end of the world. Eventually they must get it right. Only trouble being there will be no one left to congratulate them.One thing is that his figures are always revised downwards. His optimism seems to be matched only by his incompetence. He always looks so miserable into the bargain. Perhaps he's thinking about his governments past blunders,and the ones they still intend to make. Or he's worried about his majority at election time.
10:21 AM on 03/29/2012
Neither by the way did Gordon Brown they are all the same, pasty eaters
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SATCHMAN99
11:08 AM on 03/29/2012
No but the economy did grow under labour.
katertaif
My wife thinks I have one fault. Everything I do!
11:45 AM on 03/29/2012
Oh, I couldn't argue with that, I agree, they are all the same, power hungry control freaks.
06:57 AM on 03/29/2012
I see the Huffstapo work early mornings too, dont be too scathing about Daves lot or your posts will vanish into the ether
08:35 AM on 03/29/2012
Yea an dont mention anything involving Peeps what live in the Land of the Whitehouse either lol.
06:46 AM on 03/29/2012
banking .. fraternity I can spell but its early
06:45 AM on 03/29/2012
Its funny how this country is in the sheet but Daves lot arent reining in the baning fraternith. While these fat cats are getting multi millions in bonuses they will never realise the trouble we are supposedly in.

Will the tories rein in their rich friends and backers ................................ not on your nelly

Will the tories tax the poor out of existance .............................................. you betcha


You have the government you voted for , and shame on you tory voters
12:01 PM on 03/29/2012
Will red ed give up being bankrolled by a communist Len McLuskey of unison ? ....not on your nelly
Will labour bankroll the workshy and immigrants dreams........you betcha

Thank goodness we have this government , and shame all you previous labour voters for your ignorance .
07:38 PM on 03/29/2012
Have you got to pick the brain of a Labour supporter to get your point across.You seem to be using Labour ignorance for your own benefit.
03:09 AM on 03/29/2012
OK... all is not lost, I have a way to get this country out of the mire.
Slap VAT on donations to the Tory party... there'll also be some change.
12:02 PM on 03/29/2012
Would you also slap vat on contributions made to the loony labour party from unison ?
01:48 PM on 03/29/2012
Yep!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:46 PM on 03/28/2012
I closed down a successfull business I started from scatch because of Labour's taxes. I cannot see myself starting it back up again anytime soon. I think things will get a lot worse before they get better. The IMF reckon it will take us 20 years to get back to where we were before the crash.
12:37 AM on 03/29/2012
I hope you will be around to see that date 20 years hence...it wil be far too late for a great many, including me.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:11 PM on 03/29/2012
There is around another 16-17 years left to go.
06:59 AM on 03/29/2012
Why close it down if it was successful ???? , Or do you need a scapegoat cos it failed ?
10:44 AM on 03/29/2012
Vinniedog, you obviously know little about business and how a successful business can be ruined by fiscal matters that seem to arise from nowhere... there comes a point where the 'stress' becomes just too much.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
Mickey Mouse 1
There are no lies or deceit on a chess board.
10:08 PM on 03/29/2012
I closed it down because of Labour's taxes: there is no point in continuing if the government penalises enterprise instead of welcoming it. After the credit crunch hit, it became obvious that every successful business would be penalised to pay for Labour's mistakes.
09:59 PM on 03/28/2012
Ideology socialist capitalist communist fascists they all have their ideology what they don’t have is an idea that works, the socialist opened the doors and let everyone in. Spent what we didn’t have gave away what we did have sold off anything they could and patted themselves on the back, the fascist/nationalist just look at the last world war it’s all you need to know. The communist they live in a dream world where all are equal but some are more equal than others and no one is allowed to ask who or why. Capitalist they are all about greed their aim is to take as much for themselves and their friends striping the country to the bone, as for employment they would all prefer slaves there will be no need to produce anything other than food and medication because no one will have money. No money means no recession but what they haven’t worked out the money they have is only paper, that paper is only a promise to pay so is worthless and there won’t be enough gold for all.

So the answer is manufacture in your home land not China, grow your own food invest in your own people not imports be proud of this land party politics are killing us all. Listen to the people they have the answers not the men of greed and money, invest in training, health, research, and education believe in this land it is great to be British love us.
10:23 PM on 03/28/2012
well said .
12:51 AM on 03/29/2012
I can see that Bank of England owned by the Bank of China..we will all be working for the yellow state, will have no say, won't be able to express our views on here, to do so would mean death, we will only be allowed one child and that child will only be born to parents who are of use to the state, those who are thick, ill or deformed will not be catered for, the NHS will only be something we will only read about in History courses at Uni, cars won't exist unless they are used by the hierarchy, the Houses of Parliament will be linked to China and only questions that the Chinese like will be allowed to be asked, all debate will cease. There will be no such thing as money or savings, just a card with a number of credits and the best citizen for not using all his or her credits in the year will get an extra bag of rice for a month Every street will have it's own political commisar and every area it's Crown Court, magistrates courts will no longer exist and the USA will be dubbed building area number three. Does anyone think some of these things don't exist now or can see just over the horizon just what is comine along?
07:56 PM on 03/28/2012
thanks labour you gave us so much debt through your selfish ideas our own country & culture are sinking beneath the burden .
08:36 PM on 03/28/2012
Dont blame labour.. that is wearing very thin now
northern git
fed up with all the political crap in life
09:16 PM on 03/28/2012
you must have a very short memory or mud in your eye
10:20 PM on 03/28/2012
I would not publicly hold them to blame if I had not witnessed the change first hand over their period in office . it is not a intended to offend anyone's personal belifes , it is to remedy this dire situation we find ourselves in+/ not let these mistakes repeat themselves .
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
whapgra
10:05 PM on 03/28/2012
In two years the conservative/libdems have made it much worse.... borrowing up, unemployment up, inflation up economic growth down. and 2 years ago cameron said his policies would create jobs and growth, how wrong he was.
10:32 PM on 03/28/2012
thats how bad a state we are in because when the coalition took office in gov. the full damage of labours fiscal+social meddling had nt flowed through .
This comment has been removed.