On Wednesday morning David Cameron promised an in/out referendum on the EU and set the date for 2017.
Only thing is, there is a rather large obstacle in the way and we're not talking about Nigel Farage's unusually wide grin.
A very important election which the Conservatives must win otherwise all of this referendum talk is as relevant as Donald Trump.
Currently, online bookmakers, Paddy Power, are offering odds of 11/4 for a Conservative majority in 2015 and 5/2 on an EU referendum taking place in 2017.
Lets put these into context with a look at the odds offered on some other things on the political (and not so political) horizon...
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